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San Diego State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 77-70
37-32 40-38
Position#15
Record21-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game60.3
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#118
Record15-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · San Diego State v Nevada
14 Feb 2026
SAN 71
NEVA57
08 Mar 2025
SAN 80
NEVA61
17 Jan 2024
SAN 71
NEVA59
10 Jan 2023
SAN 74
NEVA65
06 Feb 2022
SAN 65
NEVA63
08 Jan 2022
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
12 Mar 2021
SAN 77
NEVA70
09 Jan 2021
SAN 69
NEVA67
07 Jan 2021
SAN 65
NEVA60
18 Jan 2020
SAN 68
NEVA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
75-57
75
57
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
78-66 OT
78
66
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H27/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
63-30
24-27
51-28
47-43
47-29
38-25
33-27
44-28
32-20
35-33
36-26
39-31
29-17
34-46
24-20
38-38
35-28
36-34
33-32
36-34
136.8Avg total
76.9Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.260.3134.5+13.984%
Season at home (17)74.660.4135.1+14.288%
Season away (8)73.260.1133.4+13.175%
Last 10 (10)76.959.9136.8+17.0100%
Last 5 (5)71.061.8132.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)64.464.6129.0-0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)76.760.0136.6+16.796%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H06/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
21-33
43-38
33-34
55-59
46-30
43-30
26-30
46-32
28-33
46-39
32-31
41-31
25-41
47-34
23-39
43-48
37-44
48-38
51-45
38-37
151.8Avg total
77.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.369.6143.0+3.762%
Season at home (12)73.164.7137.8+8.483%
Season away (12)73.674.6148.2-1.042%
Last 10 (10)77.274.6151.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)77.077.6154.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.976.4150.3-2.540%
vs Similar (7)73.971.1145.0+2.757%
vs Weaker (13)74.866.4141.2+8.485%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
San Diego StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A21/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
24-20
24
20
+4
H27/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/03
NCAA
64.0Avg total
38.3Scored
25.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.428.264.6+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.728.264.9+8.476%-
Last 30 away (9)35.828.264.0+7.678%-
Last 10 (10)38.325.764.0+12.6100%-
Last 5 (5)31.424.656.0+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)30.726.357.0+4.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.128.867.0+9.378%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A27/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A01/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A11/03
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.568.3+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.033.069.0+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)33.634.067.6-0.460%-
Last 10 (10)32.236.068.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.073.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.437.872.2-3.440%-
vs Similar (7)32.332.064.3+0.343%-
vs Weaker (13)36.531.067.5+5.592%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
San Diego State wins
0
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
10/01/21San Diego State v Nevada69-67
08/01/21San Diego State v Nevada65-60
01/03/20Nevada v San Diego State76-83
19/01/20San Diego State v Nevada68-55
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21HWyoming69-66
04/03/21AUNLV71-62
27/02/21HBoise State62-58
26/02/21HBoise State78-66 OT
21/02/21AFresno State75-57
19/02/21AFresno State67-53
11/02/21HSan Jose State77-55
09/02/21HSan Jose State85-54
31/01/21HWyoming98-71
29/01/21HWyoming87-57
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21ABoise State89-82
06/03/21HColorado State85-82
01/03/21AUtah State66-87
27/02/21AUtah State72-75
07/02/21HBoise State73-62
06/02/21HBoise State74-72
03/02/21HUNLV72-62
01/02/21HUNLV89-60
24/01/21AWyoming88-93
23/01/21AWyoming64-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %84%88%75%
Points / game74.274.673.2
Allowed / game60.360.460.1
Point differential+13.9+14.2+13.1
Avg total134.5135.1133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%59%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)83% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%83%42%
Points / game73.373.173.6
Allowed / game69.664.774.6
Point differential+3.7+8.4-1.0
Avg total143.0137.8148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2521484%74.260.3+13.9
2 Colorado State2318578%75.765.6+10.1
3 Grand Canyon2216673%75.661.3+14.3
4 Utah State2417771%74.263.0+11.2
5 Boise State2517868%75.867.0+8.8
6 Nevada2415962%73.369.6+3.7
7 Wyoming25141156%76.675.5+1.1
8 Fresno State24121250%66.367.4-1.1
9 UNLV27121544%69.467.5+2.0
10 San Jose State2151624%65.881.4-15.7
11 New Mexico2041620%63.072.6-9.6
12 Air Force2552020%58.771.9-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State374077
Nevada323870
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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