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Michigan vs UCLA Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 86-56
40-38 46-18
Position#6
Record23-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game68.8
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
UCLA
USA
Position#73
Record17-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan v UCLA
14 Feb 2026
MICH86
UCLA56
30 Mar 2021
MICH49
UCLA51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCLA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
50-54
39-30
43-42
40-41
41-30
40-29
46-43
33-30
41-32
48-50
27-22
42-26
41-45
56-24
54-45
44-34
38-27
35-44
52-31
156.4Avg total
84.8Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)90.868.8159.6+22.096%
Season at home (15)94.767.5162.1+27.293%
Season away (9)84.371.1155.4+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)84.871.6156.4+13.290%
Last 5 (5)87.469.6157.0+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.374.3145.7-3.067%
vs Similar (4)84.265.2149.5+19.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.369.2159.5+21.296%
This opponent (UCLA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H11/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H04/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
41-35
38-21
29-34
29-23
42-37
36-42
38-44
32-32
37-35
41-31
30-33
36-22
37-35
36-30
40-46
52-40
46-26
30-34
47-39
147.5Avg total
76.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.869.8148.7+9.071%
Season at home (16)82.267.3149.5+14.988%
Season away (8)72.174.9147.0-2.838%
Last 10 (10)76.970.6147.5+6.370%
Last 5 (5)83.271.6154.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.772.7141.3-4.033%
vs Similar (11)72.877.0149.8-4.227%
vs Weaker (16)82.163.7145.8+18.4100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +2.3+2.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +2.3+2.3
MichiganUCLA
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A15/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
NCAA
76.0Avg total
41.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.732.976.6+10.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.331.277.4+15.189%-
Last 30 away (12)39.935.475.3+4.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.534.576.0+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.680.6+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.030.366.3+5.767%-
vs Similar (4)37.231.869.0+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.933.479.3+12.578%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H11/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H08/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
36.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.732.769.4+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.731.269.9+7.574%-
Last 30 away (11)33.235.468.5-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.132.068.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.470.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.335.067.3-2.70%-
vs Similar (11)32.736.669.4-3.936%-
vs Weaker (16)40.229.669.8+10.688%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan wins
1
UCLA wins
DateGameScore
08/01/25UCLA v Michigan75-94
31/03/21Michigan v UCLA49-51
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26ANorthwestern87-75
08/02/26AOhio State82-61
05/02/26HPenn State110-69
31/01/26AMichigan State83-71
28/01/26HNebraska75-72
24/01/26HOhio State74-62
21/01/26HIndiana86-72
17/01/26AOregon81-71
15/01/26AWashington82-72
10/01/26HWisconsin88-91
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HWashington77-73
04/02/26HRutgers98-66
31/01/26HIndiana97-98 OT
29/01/26AOregon73-57
24/01/26HNorthwestern71-64
21/01/26HPurdue69-67
17/01/26AOhio State74-86
15/01/26APenn State71-60
11/01/26HMaryland67-55
07/01/26AWisconsin72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %96%93%100%
Points / game90.894.784.3
Allowed / game68.867.571.1
Point differential+22.0+27.2+13.2
Avg total159.6162.1155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%80%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
UCLA
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %71%88%38%
Points / game78.882.272.1
Allowed / game69.867.374.9
Point differential+9.0+14.9-2.8
Avg total148.7149.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2423196%90.868.8+22.0
2 Nebraska2421388%79.866.7+13.2
3 Purdue2420483%82.869.1+13.8
4 Illinois2520580%84.768.9+15.8
5 Michigan State2520580%78.866.7+12.1
6 Iowa2418675%77.864.3+13.5
7 Wisconsin2518772%83.775.6+8.1
8 USC2518772%81.375.8+5.4
9 UCLA2417771%78.869.8+9.0
10 Indiana2517868%81.571.4+10.2
11 Ohio State2416867%81.673.7+7.9
12 Washington25121348%77.273.0+4.1
13 Minnesota24111346%71.568.9+2.6
14 Penn State25111444%75.678.8-3.3
15 Maryland24101442%72.078.6-6.6
16 Northwestern25101540%75.073.2+1.8
17 Rutgers2491538%70.176.4-6.3
18 Oregon2481633%71.875.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan404686
UCLA381856
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