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Virginia vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-61
29-31 41-30
Position#36
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game60.7
vs
Position#114
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A19/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-29
0-0
29-35
0-0
36-17
0-0
35-44
0-0
20-24
0-0
31-26
0-0
13-33
0-0
30-30
0-0
27-19
0-0
33-38
0-0
26-24
0-0
29-31
0-0
17-21
0-0
34-31
0-0
38-30
0-0
35-31
0-0
42-21
0-0
47-21
0-0
30-33
0-0
56-46
125.6Avg total
65.8Scored
59.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.760.7143.3+22.0100%
Season at home (2)81.051.5132.5+29.5100%
Season away (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.859.8125.6+6.070%
Last 5 (5)74.060.6134.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.163.9120.0-7.729%
vs Similar ◀ (13)66.863.9130.8+2.962%
vs Weaker (9)67.355.7123.0+11.789%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#159
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H18/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H20/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H08/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
86-48
86
48
+38
H12/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
103-65
103
65
+38
H15/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-38
47-47
29-30
31-25
37-43
37-29
33-31
30-34
29-33
25-20
26-30
27-38
46-31
41-26
39-23
47-25
63-33
40-32
28-37
51-33
139.0Avg total
75.2Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.860.0148.8+28.8100%
Season at home (3)92.056.7148.7+35.3100%
Season away (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.263.8139.0+11.480%
Last 5 (5)81.661.6143.2+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.475.2149.6-0.860%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.370.5143.7+2.864%
vs Weaker (14)78.960.6139.5+18.486%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +6.7+6.7
VirginiaIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-17
36
17
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
13-33
13
33
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
17-21
17
21
-4
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/11
NCAA
53.4Avg total
28.3Scored
25.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.127.456.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.024.854.8+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)28.130.458.6-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)28.325.153.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)30.625.856.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.728.354.0-2.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)29.029.958.9-0.938%-
vs Weaker (9)32.224.156.3+8.178%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#159
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H18/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H20/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H15/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A19/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.367.5+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.430.868.2+6.667%-
Last 30 away (12)34.532.066.5+2.558%-
Last 10 (10)37.632.970.5+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.871.2+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.531.766.2+2.773%-
vs Weaker (14)38.329.067.3+9.364%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22ABaylor86-79
12/11/22HMonmouth89-42
08/11/22HN. Carolina Central73-61
22/03/22HSt. Bonaventure51-52
20/03/22ANorth Texas71-69 OT
16/03/22HMississippi St.60-57
11/03/22ANorth Carolina43-63
10/03/22HLouisville51-50
05/03/22ALouisville71-61
26/02/22HFlorida State63-64
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22AUCLA79-70
15/11/22HMonmouth103-65
12/11/22HUMKC86-48
08/11/22HEastern Illinois87-57
20/03/22HHouston53-68
18/03/22HChattanooga Mocs54-53
11/03/22HIndiana63-65
07/03/22HIowa74-72
04/03/22HPenn State60-55
27/02/22AMichigan93-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.781.086.0
Allowed / game60.751.579.0
Point differential+22.0+29.5+7.0
Avg total143.3132.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.892.079.0
Allowed / game60.056.770.0
Point differential+28.8+35.3+9.0
Avg total148.8148.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State440100%88.263.5+24.8
2 Virginia330100%82.760.7+22.0
3 Virginia Tech550100%80.663.2+17.4
4 Georgia Tech330100%73.356.7+16.7
5 North Carolina440100%80.868.0+12.8
6 Notre Dame440100%78.873.0+5.8
7 Wake Forest54180%74.067.0+7.0
8 Duke43175%77.852.2+25.5
9 Clemson43175%73.866.2+7.5
10 Boston College43175%71.067.0+4.0
11 Syracuse32167%78.066.7+11.3
12 Miami (FL)95456%75.269.6+5.7
13 Stanford42250%70.063.8+6.2
14 SMU Mustangs42250%64.266.2-2.0
15 Pittsburgh52340%67.271.0-3.8
16 Louisville3030%66.067.0-1.0
17 California4040%61.869.0-7.2
18 Florida State4040%66.876.5-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana330100%90.060.3+29.7
2 Iowa330100%94.765.3+29.3
3 Illinois440100%88.860.0+28.8
4 Ohio State330100%79.350.7+28.7
5 Maryland550100%80.257.8+22.4
6 Purdue330100%74.055.7+18.3
7 Northwestern440100%70.853.8+17.0
8 Wisconsin330100%67.051.3+15.7
9 Penn State54180%76.664.8+11.8
10 Rutgers43175%75.555.5+20.0
11 UCLA43175%81.263.5+17.8
12 USC43175%74.865.8+9.0
13 Michigan43175%79.071.5+7.5
14 Michigan State43175%73.866.8+7.0
15 Washington43175%71.564.8+6.8
16 Minnesota43175%63.560.8+2.8
17 Oregon32167%72.355.0+17.3
18 Nebraska32167%68.065.7+2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia294170
Illinois313061
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