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Baylor vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-86
33-30 46-56
Position#67
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game61.7
vs
Position#36
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game51.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#194
W
66-64 OT
66
64
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Kansas
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Texas
#94
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#26
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H17/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
H19/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
117-53
117
53
+64
H07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
31-24
31-32
49-38
27-30
41-31
39-29
36-39
33-27
34-45
43-27
42-22
29-42
51-38
61-21
56-32
42-34
45-36
44-26
51-36
148.8Avg total
82.6Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)99.761.7161.3+38.0100%
Season at home (3)99.761.7161.3+38.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.666.2148.8+16.480%
Last 5 (5)94.065.4159.4+28.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.965.1137.0+6.757%
vs Weaker (23)80.165.7145.7+14.483%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H12/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-30
0-0
36-35
0-0
34-29
0-0
29-35
0-0
36-17
0-0
35-44
0-0
20-24
0-0
31-26
0-0
13-33
0-0
30-30
0-0
27-19
0-0
33-38
0-0
26-24
0-0
29-31
0-0
17-21
0-0
34-31
0-0
38-30
0-0
35-31
0-0
42-21
0-0
47-21
121.7Avg total
63.3Scored
58.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.051.5132.5+29.5100%
Season at home (2)81.051.5132.5+29.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.358.4121.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)68.856.2125.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)58.465.2123.6-6.925%
vs Similar ◀ (12)65.262.7127.9+2.658%
vs Weaker (9)67.355.7123.0+11.789%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
BaylorVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#194
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Texas
#94
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#26
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H17/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H19/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
61-21
61
21
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H15/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
37.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.630.667.1+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.228.767.8+10.579%-
Last 30 away (11)32.133.865.9-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.830.468.2+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.830.073.8+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.129.362.4+3.971%-
vs Weaker (23)37.631.068.6+6.761%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-17
36
17
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
13-33
13
33
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
17-21
17
21
-4
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H12/11
NCAA
52.6Avg total
27.8Scored
24.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.127.856.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.025.955.9+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)28.030.258.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)27.824.852.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.023.053.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)26.230.256.5-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)28.929.758.6-0.842%-
vs Weaker (9)32.224.156.3+8.178%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baylor wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22HNorthern Colorado95-62
12/11/22HNorfolk State87-70
07/11/22HMiss. Valley St.117-53
19/03/22HNorth Carolina86-93 OT
17/03/22HNorfolk State85-49
11/03/22HOklahoma67-72
05/03/22HIowa State75-68
01/03/22ATexas68-61
27/02/22HKansas80-70
22/02/22AOklahoma State66-64 OT
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/22HMonmouth89-42
08/11/22HN. Carolina Central73-61
22/03/22HSt. Bonaventure51-52
20/03/22ANorth Texas71-69 OT
16/03/22HMississippi St.60-57
11/03/22ANorth Carolina43-63
10/03/22HLouisville51-50
05/03/22ALouisville71-61
26/02/22HFlorida State63-64
24/02/22HDuke61-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game99.799.7-
Allowed / game61.761.7-
Point differential+38.0+38.0-
Avg total161.3161.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game51.551.5-
Point differential+29.5+29.5-
Avg total132.5132.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State220100%84.041.0+43.0
2 Baylor330100%99.761.7+38.0
3 Houston440100%82.546.0+36.5
4 Arizona330100%105.376.7+28.7
5 West Virginia330100%77.357.3+20.0
6 Kansas State330100%75.055.3+19.7
7 Texas Tech330100%71.752.7+19.0
8 Kansas330100%80.062.3+17.7
9 Arizona State54180%72.463.0+9.4
10 Utah Utes43175%71.553.8+17.8
11 Cincinnati43175%76.261.5+14.8
12 TCU43175%77.065.5+11.5
13 UCF Knights32167%77.763.0+14.7
14 Oklahoma State32167%76.063.0+13.0
15 Brigham Young32167%67.067.3-0.3
16 Colorado53260%80.071.2+8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia220100%81.051.5+29.5
2 NC State330100%93.063.7+29.3
3 Virginia Tech550100%80.663.2+17.4
4 Georgia Tech330100%73.356.7+16.7
5 North Carolina330100%81.069.3+11.7
6 Wake Forest440100%73.864.5+9.2
7 Notre Dame330100%83.075.7+7.3
8 Duke32167%73.050.3+22.7
9 Clemson32167%73.066.3+6.7
10 Boston College32167%71.070.7+0.3
11 Miami (FL)74357%76.167.7+8.4
12 Syracuse21150%79.076.0+3.0
13 Stanford31233%66.770.7-4.0
14 SMU Mustangs31233%67.372.7-5.3
15 Pittsburgh41325%65.875.2-9.5
16 Louisville3030%66.067.0-1.0
17 California3030%60.367.3-7.0
18 Florida State3030%66.776.7-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor334679
Virginia305686
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