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Michigan vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-79 (OT)
35-27 33-41 19-11
Position#174
Record16-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#158
Record16-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan v Wisconsin
14 Mar 2026
MICH68
WISC65
10 Jan 2026
MICH88
WISC91
16 Mar 2025
MICH59
WISC53
07 Feb 2024
MICH72
WISC68
26 Feb 2023
MICH87
WISC79
12 Jan 2021
MICH77
WISC54
27 Feb 2020
MICH74
WISC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A29/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-23
37-33
35-41
35-34
32-49
29-34
26-25
42-26
41-36
36-33
46-34
47-38
37-33
24-29
32-31
27-33
33-36
51-36
26-23
32-22
134.0Avg total
69.1Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.968.4141.3+4.657%
Season at home (16)75.867.5143.3+8.375%
Season away (12)69.169.5138.6-0.433%
Last 10 (10)69.164.9134.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.063.0134.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.068.7135.7-1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (21)71.567.7139.2+3.852%
vs Weaker (6)78.369.5147.8+8.883%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#87
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A26/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H28/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A03/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
A09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
63-73 OT
63
73
-10
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-32
37-34
28-32
27-41
16-20
35-41
43-27
22-33
23-26
29-28
35-29
33-39
35-24
26-37
31-32
33-27
34-36
23-22
27-26
37-26
124.3Avg total
61.3Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.662.8127.4+1.859%
Season at home (17)63.558.1121.6+5.571%
Season away (10)66.570.9137.4-4.440%
Last 10 (10)61.363.0124.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)65.463.2128.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.864.0125.8-2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (14)64.562.9127.4+1.650%
vs Weaker (4)70.057.5127.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -2.6-2.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -2.6-2.6
MichiganWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A29/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A24/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.569.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.670.9+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)32.334.666.9-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.166.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.466.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.736.368.0-4.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)35.533.869.3+1.762%-
vs Weaker (6)37.231.268.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#87
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A23/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
16-20
16
20
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A03/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H15/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H23/02
NCAA
58.2Avg total
29.8Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.627.857.4+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (20)29.327.556.8+1.845%-
Last 30 away (10)30.228.558.7+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)29.828.458.2+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.461.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)26.827.254.0-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.129.560.6+1.636%-
vs Weaker (4)32.824.056.8+8.8100%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Michigan wins
3
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23Wisconsin v Michigan64-59
20/02/22Wisconsin v Michigan77-63
14/02/21Wisconsin v Michigan59-67
13/01/21Michigan v Wisconsin77-54
28/02/20Michigan v Wisconsin74-81
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23ARutgers58-45
19/02/23HMichigan State84-72
15/02/23AWisconsin59-64
11/02/23HIndiana61-62
08/02/23HNebraska93-72
05/02/23HOhio State77-69
03/02/23ANorthwestern68-51
29/01/23APenn State61-83
27/01/23HPurdue70-75
22/01/23HMinnesota60-56
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23HIowa64-52
18/02/23HRutgers57-58
15/02/23HMichigan64-59
11/02/23ANebraska63-73 OT
09/02/23APenn State79-74 OT
05/02/23HNorthwestern52-54
03/02/23AOhio State65-60
28/01/23HIllinois51-61
26/01/23AMaryland55-73
23/01/23ANorthwestern63-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game72.975.869.1
Allowed / game68.467.569.5
Point differential+4.6+8.3-0.4
Avg total141.3143.3138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)43% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeLLWLW71%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %59%71%40%
Points / game64.663.566.5
Allowed / game62.858.170.9
Point differential+1.8+5.5-4.4
Avg total127.4121.6137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)60% (10)67% (6)
Overtime %19%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA2824486%74.259.8+14.4
2 Purdue2924583%73.462.2+11.2
3 USC2921872%72.766.3+6.4
4 Maryland2920969%71.262.8+8.4
5 Indiana2920969%75.567.6+8.0
6 Northwestern2920969%67.962.4+5.5
7 Illinois29191066%74.265.6+8.6
8 Iowa29181162%80.474.4+5.9
9 Rutgers28171161%68.859.8+9.0
10 Penn State28171161%73.468.8+4.6
11 Michigan State28171161%69.867.0+2.8
12 Wisconsin27161159%64.662.8+1.8
13 Michigan28161257%72.968.4+4.6
14 Oregon29161355%70.567.2+3.3
15 Washington29161355%68.769.0-0.3
16 Nebraska29151452%67.369.0-1.7
17 Ohio State29121741%72.969.1+3.8
18 Minnesota2772026%62.070.8-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Michigan35331987
Wisconsin27411179
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