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Michigan vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 59-53
21-23 38-30
Position#44
Record24-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game71.8
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Wisconsin
USA
Position#43
Record26-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan v Wisconsin
14 Mar 2026
MICH68
WISC65
10 Jan 2026
MICH88
WISC91
16 Mar 2025
MICH59
WISC53
07 Feb 2024
MICH72
WISC68
26 Feb 2023
MICH87
WISC79
12 Jan 2021
MICH77
WISC54
27 Feb 2020
MICH74
WISC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
40-36
44-39
42-44
38-34
24-41
25-21
24-25
49-57
35-25
30-31
43-62
22-33
43-38
28-50
34-29
40-36
46-32
38-34
43-46
147.3Avg total
72.3Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.871.8150.6+7.173%
Season at home (20)82.671.4154.0+11.275%
Season away (13)73.172.4145.5+0.769%
Last 10 (10)72.375.0147.3-2.760%
Last 5 (5)73.478.2151.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.576.2143.8-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.873.4152.2+5.478%
vs Weaker (8)83.269.2152.5+14.088%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H13/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
58-47
47-41
48-33
38-26
28-40
43-28
45-34
34-32
28-39
33-27
41-40
40-35
35-51
37-30
33-33
48-29
38-41
37-33
40-41
152.2Avg total
79.4Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.570.8151.3+9.776%
Season at home (19)82.268.3150.5+13.984%
Season away (15)78.373.9152.3+4.467%
Last 10 (10)79.472.8152.2+6.670%
Last 5 (5)76.472.0148.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.877.5155.2+0.242%
vs Weaker (17)81.366.4147.6+14.9100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
MichiganWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/03
NCAA
72.1Avg total
34.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.835.574.3+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.036.077.0+5.067%-
Last 30 away (12)35.434.870.2+0.675%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.272.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.868.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.537.869.2-6.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.535.173.6+3.467%-
vs Weaker (8)43.035.478.4+7.688%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H13/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A15/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
39.3Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.632.370.9+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.931.470.3+7.587%-
Last 30 away (15)38.333.171.4+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)39.331.871.1+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)39.030.869.8+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.732.671.2+6.183%-
vs Weaker (17)39.032.171.1+6.976%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Michigan wins
3
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Wisconsin v Michigan64-67
08/02/24Michigan v Wisconsin72-68
26/02/23Michigan v Wisconsin87-79 OT
15/02/23Wisconsin v Michigan64-59
20/02/22Wisconsin v Michigan77-63
14/02/21Wisconsin v Michigan59-67
13/01/21Michigan v Wisconsin77-54
28/02/20Michigan v Wisconsin74-81
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AMaryland81-80
15/03/25HPurdue86-68
09/03/25AMichigan State62-79
05/03/25HMaryland65-71
02/03/25HIllinois73-93
28/02/25HRutgers84-82
25/02/25ANebraska49-46
22/02/25HMichigan State62-75
16/02/25AOhio State86-83
12/02/25HPurdue75-73
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AMichigan State77-74
14/03/25AUCLA86-70
13/03/25HNorthwestern70-63
08/03/25HPenn State75-86
06/03/25AMinnesota74-67
02/03/25AMichigan State62-71
26/02/25HWashington88-62
22/02/25HOregon73-77 OT
19/02/25HIllinois95-74
15/02/25APurdue94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW73%
HomeLWLLW75%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %73%75%69%
Points / game78.882.673.1
Allowed / game71.871.472.4
Point differential+7.1+11.2+0.7
Avg total150.6154.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (16)75% (8)75% (8)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWLWLW84%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %76%84%67%
Points / game80.582.278.3
Allowed / game70.868.373.9
Point differential+9.7+13.9+4.4
Avg total151.3150.5152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%63%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3327682%78.267.2+10.9
2 Wisconsin3426876%80.570.8+9.7
3 Maryland3325876%81.767.0+14.7
4 Michigan3324973%78.871.8+7.1
5 Oregon3324973%76.270.9+5.3
6 UCLA32221069%74.865.7+9.0
7 Purdue33221167%77.971.1+6.8
8 Illinois33211264%83.874.6+9.2
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC33161748%76.975.5+1.4
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan213859
Wisconsin233053
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