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Middle Tenn. St. vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 62-83
31-35 31-48
Position#179
Record5-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#25
Record8-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Belmont
07 Dec 2025
MIDD62
BELM83
09 Dec 2023
MIDD65
BELM75
30 Nov 2019
MIDD59
BELM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-35
0-0
33-35
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
48-26
0-0
52-25
0-0
54-23
0-0
55-33
0-0
36-28
0-0
41-44
0-0
30-36
0-0
31-50
0-0
43-40
0-0
47-47
0-0
41-49
0-0
38-43
0-0
34-28
0-0
28-44
0-0
32-33
0-0
44-28
158.1Avg total
82.5Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.872.1153.9+9.662%
Season at home (5)90.869.4160.2+21.480%
Season away (3)66.776.7143.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)82.575.6158.1+6.950%
Last 5 (5)73.679.6153.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.381.8150.2-13.50%
vs Similar (14)73.872.7146.5+1.164%
vs Weaker (9)82.964.8147.7+18.1100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
51-99
51
99
-48
A06/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A16/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H24/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
40-25
24-64
27-35
34-32
53-47
42-39
41-21
25-24
50-44
46-25
50-24
36-28
58-29
36-33
51-39
49-31
47-42
43-41
33-43
152.8Avg total
82.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.470.4152.8+12.080%
Season at home (7)84.967.4152.3+17.486%
Season away (3)76.777.3154.0-0.767%
Last 10 (10)82.470.4152.8+12.080%
Last 5 (5)89.867.0156.8+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.074.3143.3-5.333%
vs Similar (12)80.177.0157.1+3.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.371.6152.9+9.780%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +10.1+10.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +10.1+10.1
Middle Tenn. St.Belmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
40.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.171.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.133.772.8+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)34.534.669.1-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.174.2+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.538.573.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (14)35.434.469.9+1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)39.729.869.4+9.967%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A06/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H04/12
NCAA
72.9Avg total
37.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.773.0+3.677%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.232.671.8+6.688%-
Last 30 away (13)37.237.574.7-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.572.9+1.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.031.673.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.333.070.3+4.367%-
vs Similar (12)39.434.173.5+5.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.635.673.2+2.087%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
3
Belmont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HUAB76-61
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56
05/11/25HMilligan100-51
19/03/25HChattanooga Mocs103-109 OT
14/03/25AJacksonville State68-70
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HRichmond Spiders76-84
30/11/25ACharleston96-73
26/11/25HToledo87-72
24/11/25HSt. Francis (PA)94-57
22/11/25HFisk96-49
20/11/25HLipscomb75-68
16/11/25AOral Roberts83-60
09/11/25HTennessee State87-79
06/11/25AElon51-99
04/11/25HAir Force79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game81.890.866.7
Allowed / game72.169.476.7
Point differential+9.6+21.4-10.0
Avg total153.9160.2143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game82.484.976.7
Allowed / game70.467.477.3
Point differential+12.0+17.4-0.7
Avg total152.8152.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State87188%74.265.6+8.6
2 Kennesaw State97278%94.676.3+18.2
3 Liberty86275%84.864.4+20.4
4 Western Kentucky86275%85.678.4+7.2
5 Sam Houston St.96367%86.375.3+11.0
6 Louisiana Tech85362%72.258.5+13.8
7 Middle Tenn. St.85362%81.872.1+9.6
8 Florida International85362%84.476.5+7.9
9 Missouri State84450%78.673.9+4.8
10 Jacksonville State73443%77.463.3+14.1
11 UTEP73443%74.372.0+2.3
12 Delaware82625%68.975.9-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois State108280%81.565.9+15.6
2 Belmont108280%82.470.4+12.0
3 Northern Iowa97278%73.457.4+16.0
4 Murray State107370%88.076.4+11.6
5 Valparaiso96367%73.467.8+5.7
6 Drake106460%79.665.4+14.2
7 Bradley106460%75.368.3+7.0
8 Indiana State106460%75.969.1+6.8
9 Southern Illinois95456%80.073.4+6.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)94544%77.273.2+4.0
11 Evansville104640%70.171.6-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.313162
Belmont354883
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