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Jacksonville State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-68
35-35 35-33
Position#92
Record21-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#76
Record22-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Middle Tenn. St.
31 Dec 2026
JACK v MIDD
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
JACK75
MIDD58
14 Mar 2025
JACK70
MIDD68
06 Feb 2025
JACK77
MIDD63
21 Feb 2024
JACK76
MIDD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H07/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
48-34
29-29
38-44
47-39
29-29
32-37
33-36
37-32
23-35
29-26
39-29
34-36
16-31
39-28
37-28
27-36
41-29
29-45
28-24
37-32
136.6Avg total
69.2Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.268.3142.5+5.866%
Season at home (16)76.164.6140.7+11.481%
Season away (16)72.372.1144.4+0.250%
Last 10 (10)69.267.4136.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)69.466.6136.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.367.7134.0-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.970.1141.1+0.860%
vs Weaker (11)74.667.4142.0+7.382%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-48
29-29
49-34
27-41
44-39
43-38
33-39
41-46
39-31
35-39
27-28
44-38
31-33
35-33
37-42
44-44
41-20
37-36
40-31
22-31
149.9Avg total
75.7Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.271.5147.6+4.769%
Season at home (17)77.668.7146.4+8.976%
Season away (15)74.574.6149.1-0.160%
Last 10 (10)75.774.2149.9+1.570%
Last 5 (5)76.671.6148.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.876.5145.2-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.474.4147.8-0.959%
vs Weaker (9)82.067.8149.8+14.2100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
Jacksonville StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H07/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
16-31
16
31
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H13/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.2Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.466.8+0.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.834.068.8+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)32.032.764.7-0.720%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.965.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.228.260.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.336.766.0-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.833.966.7-1.127%-
vs Weaker (11)33.131.164.2+2.055%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
NCAA
72.0Avg total
37.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.869.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.368.4+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)36.035.471.4+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)37.534.572.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.866.0+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.837.071.8-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.033.967.9+0.153%-
vs Weaker (9)40.632.072.6+8.667%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jacksonville State wins
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HFlorida International65-56
08/03/25HKennesaw State70-74
01/03/25AFlorida International84-79 OT
28/02/25ALiberty55-59
22/02/25HUTEP73-65
21/02/25HNew Mexico State52-61
15/02/25ALouisiana Tech70-68
14/02/25ASam Houston St.61-66
08/02/25HWestern Kentucky85-83
07/02/25HMiddle Tenn. St.77-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HLouisiana Tech77-75 OT
08/03/25HFlorida International78-56
07/03/25HLiberty81-86
01/03/25AUTEP76-75 OT
28/02/25ANew Mexico State71-66
22/02/25HSam Houston St.74-70
21/02/25HLouisiana Tech74-85
16/02/25AWestern Kentucky87-77
08/02/25AKennesaw State76-75
07/02/25AJacksonville State63-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW66%
HomeWLWLW81%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%81%50%
Points / game74.276.172.3
Allowed / game68.364.672.1
Point differential+5.8+11.4+0.2
Avg total142.5140.7144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)83% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeLWLWW76%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %69%76%60%
Points / game76.277.674.5
Allowed / game71.568.774.6
Point differential+4.7+8.9-0.1
Avg total147.6146.4149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (14)75% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3327682%76.562.8+13.7
2 Middle Tenn. St.32221069%76.271.5+4.7
3 Jacksonville State32211166%74.268.3+5.8
4 Louisiana Tech32201262%73.968.4+5.5
5 Kennesaw State33191458%76.573.2+3.3
6 UTEP33181555%72.570.8+1.7
7 New Mexico State32171553%69.765.9+3.7
8 Western Kentucky32171553%74.874.8+0.1
9 Delaware36162044%77.277.9-0.6
10 Sam Houston St.32131941%75.376.0-0.7
11 Florida International33102330%69.272.1-2.9
12 Missouri State3292328%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State353570
Middle Tenn. St.353368
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