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Middle Tenn. St. vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-64
37-27 44-37
Position#76
Record11-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#92
Record9-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Jacksonville State
11 Jan 2025
MIDD81
JACK64
24 Jan 2024
MIDD75
JACK67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
103-55
103
55
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
32-41
38-28
38-41
54-26
49-29
30-38
49-44
25-23
50-41
37-30
30-35
40-34
24-48
32-35
41-34
25-42
38-31
43-39
41-40
147.1Avg total
75.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.471.6149.9+6.869%
Season at home (8)82.068.2150.2+13.888%
Season away (8)74.874.9149.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)75.371.8147.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)70.273.6143.8-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.077.1145.1-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.673.9149.5+1.770%
vs Weaker (6)87.863.7151.5+24.2100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#499
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H03/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A08/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#556
W
111-70
111
70
+41
H31/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
39-48
29-40
36-31
36-28
53-31
30-39
44-37
32-31
38-35
40-41
32-42
33-33
58-47
58-40
53-30
36-36
35-47
24-27
49-40
153.3Avg total
79.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.370.4150.7+9.960%
Season at home (6)86.563.5150.0+23.083%
Season away (9)76.175.0151.1+1.144%
Last 10 (10)79.673.7153.3+5.950%
Last 5 (5)83.676.6160.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.070.5135.5-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.875.3148.1-2.633%
vs Weaker (13)75.467.4142.8+8.054%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
Middle Tenn. St.Jacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
36.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.870.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.431.968.3+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)34.737.372.0-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)36.133.469.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.071.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.436.169.6-2.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.435.367.7-2.940%-
vs Weaker (6)45.530.776.2+14.883%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#499
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#556
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H31/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A10/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.433.066.4+0.445%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.832.466.2+1.462%-
Last 30 away (16)33.133.566.6-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.970.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.473.6+2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.534.265.8-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.934.768.6-0.833%-
vs Weaker (12)31.530.361.8+1.258%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
1
Jacksonville State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HKennesaw State84-79
04/01/25ALiberty63-73
03/01/25AFlorida International73-69
24/12/24ATennessee64-82
20/12/24HLipscomb67-65
17/12/24HCalifornia Baptist75-64
07/12/24ABelmont79-82
05/12/24HRhodes Lynx103-55
01/12/24AUAB76-69
24/11/24ABradley69-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25AWestern Kentucky73-67
04/01/25AKennesaw State71-83
31/12/24HFort Valley State Wildcats111-70
21/12/24AEastern Kentucky91-80
18/12/24AMissouri72-83
14/12/24HUtah Valley State70-66
08/12/24ASouth Alabama74-76
03/12/24HColumbia International89-59
23/11/24HJames Madison65-71
22/11/24AToledo80-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game78.482.074.8
Allowed / game71.668.274.9
Point differential+6.8+13.8-0.1
Avg total149.9150.2149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %60%83%44%
Points / game80.386.576.1
Allowed / game70.463.575.0
Point differential+9.9+23.0+1.1
Avg total150.7150.0151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1614288%79.859.9+19.9
2 UTEP1512380%74.665.9+8.7
3 Louisiana Tech1612475%77.267.7+9.6
4 Middle Tenn. St.1611569%78.471.6+6.8
5 Western Kentucky1711665%78.675.7+2.9
6 Jacksonville State159660%80.370.4+9.9
7 New Mexico State159660%74.868.9+5.9
8 Kennesaw State169756%80.375.8+4.5
9 Delaware179853%79.477.1+2.4
10 Sam Houston St.178947%79.277.8+1.4
11 Missouri State167944%70.971.3-0.4
12 Florida International1771041%73.971.4+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.374481
Jacksonville State273764
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