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Liberty vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-63
42-25 31-38
Position#19
Record12-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game59.1
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#76
Record10-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liberty v Middle Tenn. St.
14 Jan 2027
LIBE v MIDD
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
LIBE73
MIDD63
08 Feb 2024
LIBE88
MIDD53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#47
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
93-36
93
36
+57
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
124-50
124
50
+74
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
39-18
45-32
44-37
32-29
35-36
29-29
33-29
45-21
48-15
40-16
49-36
39-37
44-37
59-20
65-30
39-22
40-34
35-21
35-50
140.2Avg total
82.4Scored
57.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.659.1139.6+21.586%
Season at home (11)84.359.2143.5+25.182%
Season away (3)67.058.7125.7+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.457.8140.2+24.690%
Last 5 (5)89.060.6149.6+28.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)71.269.8141.0+1.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)75.563.6139.1+11.962%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H21/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
103-55
103
55
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
43-44
51-33
44-55
37-39
32-41
38-28
38-41
54-26
49-29
30-38
49-44
25-23
50-41
37-30
30-35
40-34
24-48
32-35
41-34
151.9Avg total
78.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.170.9150.0+8.171%
Season at home (7)81.766.7148.4+15.086%
Season away (7)76.475.1151.6+1.357%
Last 10 (10)78.473.5151.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)71.672.4144.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.777.1144.8-9.443%
vs Similar (10)73.473.3146.7+0.160%
vs Weaker (6)87.863.7151.5+24.2100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.6+13.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +11.0+11.02nd half: -1.2-1.2
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.6+13.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +11.0+11.02nd half: -1.2-1.2
LibertyMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#47
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
39.2Scored
25.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.065.4+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.128.465.5+8.875%-
Last 30 away (10)32.133.265.3-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.225.664.8+13.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.423.265.6+19.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)31.030.061.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)36.230.066.1+6.265%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H21/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
37.6Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.369.3+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.931.367.2+4.669%-
Last 30 away (17)34.236.670.8-2.524%-
Last 10 (10)37.631.769.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.064.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.435.669.0-2.136%-
vs Similar (10)30.734.865.5-4.130%-
vs Weaker (6)45.530.776.2+14.883%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liberty wins
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Middle Tenn. St. v Liberty69-61
09/02/24Liberty v Middle Tenn. St.88-53
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HWestern Kentucky70-71
21/12/24HUT Arlington79-56
18/12/24HSt. Andrews124-50
15/12/24HN. Carolina A&T83-74
08/12/24HMiss. Valley St.89-52
29/11/24HCentral Penn93-36
26/11/24HMcNeese State62-58
25/11/24AKansas State67-65
22/11/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-69
17/11/24ACharleston68-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AFlorida International73-69
24/12/24ATennessee64-82
20/12/24HLipscomb67-65
17/12/24HCalifornia Baptist75-64
07/12/24ABelmont79-82
05/12/24HRhodes Lynx103-55
01/12/24AUAB76-69
24/11/24ABradley69-80
22/11/24ASouth Florida95-88
21/11/24HOhio83-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %86%82%100%
Points / game80.684.367.0
Allowed / game59.159.258.7
Point differential+21.5+25.1+8.3
Avg total139.6143.5125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%9%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game79.181.776.4
Allowed / game70.966.775.1
Point differential+8.1+15.0+1.3
Avg total150.0148.4151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1412286%80.659.1+21.5
2 UTEP1411379%74.165.5+8.6
3 Louisiana Tech1511473%77.067.9+9.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.1410471%79.170.9+8.1
5 Western Kentucky1510567%79.076.3+2.7
6 Kennesaw State149564%81.274.6+6.6
7 New Mexico State159660%74.868.9+5.9
8 Jacksonville State148657%80.870.6+10.1
9 Delaware158753%78.375.9+2.4
10 Sam Houston St.147750%80.478.0+2.4
11 Missouri State147750%72.370.9+1.4
12 Florida International157847%74.670.1+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty423173
Middle Tenn. St.253863
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