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Florida International vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-73
35-32 34-41
Position#330
Record6-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#76
Record9-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Florida International v Middle Tenn. St.
05 Mar 2026
FLOR67
MIDD73
02 Jan 2025
FLOR69
MIDD73
10 Feb 2024
FLOR66
MIDD68
28 Jan 2023
FLOR82
MIDD74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida International winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida InternationalUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#302
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H19/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A22/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H04/12
NCAA
New College (FL)
#385
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A14/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A18/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H21/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
35-40
27-30
31-30
26-38
38-26
30-29
29-31
39-40
38-48
29-31
41-32
47-28
34-44
29-35
35-40
28-43
47-26
47-19
33-47
141.1Avg total
71.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.270.2144.5+4.046%
Season at home (5)74.472.2146.6+2.260%
Season away (8)74.169.0143.1+5.138%
Last 10 (10)71.070.1141.1+0.950%
Last 5 (5)74.069.0143.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.277.0147.2-6.831%
vs Similar (11)70.771.9142.6-1.236%
vs Weaker (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H21/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
103-55
103
55
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A24/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
37-44
32-31
43-44
51-33
44-55
37-39
32-41
38-28
38-41
54-26
49-29
30-38
49-44
25-23
50-41
37-30
30-35
40-34
24-48
153.2Avg total
77.8Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.571.1150.6+8.569%
Season at home (7)81.766.7148.4+15.086%
Season away (6)77.076.2153.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.875.4153.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)77.669.6147.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.675.9142.5-9.340%
vs Similar (10)73.473.3146.7+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.862.6153.4+28.2100%
This opponent (Florida International) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -2.6-2.6
Florida InternationalMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida InternationalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#302
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A22/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/12
NCAA
New College (FL)
#385
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A18/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H21/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H30/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.436.069.4-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.834.869.6-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)32.436.969.3-4.624%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.866.5+0.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.031.267.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.938.470.3-6.425%-
vs Similar (11)33.234.868.0-1.636%-
vs Weaker (2)38.029.567.5+8.550%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H21/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
37.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.968.6+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.130.765.9+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)34.336.871.1-2.425%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.670.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.230.267.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.934.767.6-1.940%-
vs Similar (10)30.734.865.5-4.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)48.229.878.0+18.4100%-
This opponent (Florida International) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida International wins
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HUtah Tech80-66
21/12/24HIU Indy75-69
18/12/24AEast Carolina64-75
14/12/24AStetson81-72
07/12/24HNew College (FL)70-63
04/12/24HFlorida Atlantic77-88
24/11/24AFlorida Gulf Coast59-60
23/11/24ACSU Bakersfield76-73 OT
22/11/24ANortheastern58-60
19/11/24HHoward70-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24ATennessee64-82
20/12/24HLipscomb67-65
17/12/24HCalifornia Baptist75-64
07/12/24ABelmont79-82
05/12/24HRhodes Lynx103-55
01/12/24AUAB76-69
24/11/24ABradley69-80
22/11/24ASouth Florida95-88
21/11/24HOhio83-81 OT
16/11/24HMurray State67-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida International
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW46%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %46%60%38%
Points / game74.274.474.1
Allowed / game70.272.269.0
Point differential+4.0+2.2+5.1
Avg total144.5146.6143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game79.581.777.0
Allowed / game71.166.776.2
Point differential+8.5+15.0+0.8
Avg total150.6148.4153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1312192%81.458.2+23.2
2 Louisiana Tech1311285%80.567.0+13.5
3 UTEP1310377%74.565.9+8.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.139469%79.571.1+8.5
5 Western Kentucky139469%80.676.2+4.5
6 Jacksonville State138562%81.569.7+11.8
7 Kennesaw State138562%81.174.8+6.2
8 New Mexico State137654%74.570.3+4.2
9 Sam Houston St.137654%81.278.2+2.9
10 Delaware137654%78.076.5+1.5
11 Missouri State147750%72.370.9+1.4
12 Florida International136746%74.270.2+4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida International353469
Middle Tenn. St.324173
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