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Sam Houston St. vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-64
48-36 33-28
Position#93
Record17-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#271
Record12-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Middle Tenn. St.
18 Feb 2026
SAM 78
MIDD70
23 Jan 2025
SAM 75
MIDD77
02 Mar 2024
SAM 81
MIDD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#158
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H26/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H16/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H18/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
79-58
79
58
+21
A23/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
33-41
38-37
41-30
28-28
32-28
38-42
41-35
36-26
25-42
23-40
45-39
39-29
31-27
50-27
33-46
48-23
31-35
29-25
36-29
138.0Avg total
71.0Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.669.8141.5+1.861%
Season at home (12)75.766.8142.4+8.983%
Season away (16)68.672.1140.8-3.544%
Last 10 (10)71.067.0138.0+4.070%
Last 5 (5)73.064.0137.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.878.2151.0-5.350%
vs Similar (11)69.172.5141.5-3.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)70.164.6134.7+5.573%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#285
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
53-88
53
88
-35
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H16/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-34
36-39
35-23
40-44
33-34
46-27
38-38
27-50
31-40
22-48
32-39
36-27
24-38
52-31
38-32
30-36
30-35
38-41
34-36
40-36
146.6Avg total
71.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)65.769.3135.0-3.643%
Season at home (17)70.965.4136.4+5.565%
Season away (11)57.675.4133.0-17.79%
Last 10 (10)71.675.0146.6-3.460%
Last 5 (5)76.474.6151.0+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)64.071.0135.1-7.033%
vs Similar (7)64.967.6132.4-2.757%
vs Weaker (1)84.047.0131.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
Sam Houston St.Middle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#158
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A02/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H18/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A23/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A25/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.465.4+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.128.267.3+10.892%-
Last 30 away (18)30.633.664.1-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.231.868.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.828.866.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.537.872.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (11)32.231.964.1+0.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)33.928.562.5+5.464%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#285
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H16/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
32.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.431.962.3-1.527%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.229.360.4+1.939%-
Last 30 away (12)29.235.865.0-6.78%-
Last 10 (10)32.134.967.0-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.067.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.232.062.3-1.824%-
vs Similar (7)28.434.062.4-5.614%-
vs Weaker (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sam Houston St. wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Middle Tenn. St. v Sam Houston St.51-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AUTEP65-54
23/02/24ANew Mexico State79-58
18/02/24HLiberty83-73
16/02/24HFlorida International70-56
09/02/24AJacksonville State68-79
03/02/24AFlorida International61-68
02/02/24AWestern Kentucky79-77
27/01/24HUTEP60-56
26/01/24HNew Mexico State79-67
21/01/24ALiberty66-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HWestern Kentucky74-72
22/02/24AJacksonville State68-76
17/02/24HUTEP96-90 OT
16/02/24HNew Mexico State76-69
10/02/24AFlorida International68-66
09/02/24ALiberty53-88
04/02/24AWestern Kentucky65-88
27/01/24HFlorida International79-61
25/01/24HJacksonville State75-67
21/01/24ANew Mexico State62-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %61%83%44%
Points / game71.675.768.6
Allowed / game69.866.872.1
Point differential+1.8+8.9-3.5
Avg total141.5142.4140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW43%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %43%65%9%
Points / game65.770.957.6
Allowed / game69.365.475.4
Point differential-3.6+5.5-17.7
Avg total135.0136.4133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %14%24%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2921872%75.063.9+11.1
2 Western Kentucky29191066%80.374.8+5.5
3 Sam Houston St.28171161%71.669.8+1.8
4 Liberty29171259%74.664.9+9.7
5 Delaware31181358%73.570.2+3.3
6 UTEP30151550%72.869.1+3.7
7 Kennesaw State30151550%82.780.4+2.3
8 Missouri State30151550%72.172.8-0.7
9 Jacksonville State30141647%70.065.6+4.4
10 Middle Tenn. St.28121643%65.769.3-3.6
11 New Mexico State30121840%67.372.0-4.6
12 Florida International29101934%74.176.6-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.483381
Middle Tenn. St.362864
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