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Middle Tenn. St. vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-61
33-30 36-31
Position#271
Record12-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#158
Record17-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Liberty
29 Jan 2026
MIDD65
LIBE81
06 Mar 2025
MIDD81
LIBE86
05 Mar 2024
MIDD69
LIBE61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
53-88
53
88
-35
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H16/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-23
40-44
33-34
46-27
38-38
27-50
31-40
22-48
32-39
36-27
24-38
52-31
38-32
30-36
30-35
38-41
34-36
40-36
36-48
28-33
147.6Avg total
71.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)65.769.7135.4-4.141%
Season at home (17)70.965.4136.4+5.565%
Season away (12)58.275.8134.0-17.78%
Last 10 (10)71.875.8147.6-4.060%
Last 5 (5)75.677.6153.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)64.071.5135.5-7.532%
vs Similar (6)64.768.0132.7-3.350%
vs Weaker (1)84.047.0131.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-33
41-33
31-33
31-40
37-35
32-34
37-29
30-36
40-31
48-22
22-29
43-33
27-50
46-33
34-37
37-39
38-32
45-26
23-35
28-32
139.7Avg total
71.5Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.664.9139.4+9.759%
Season at home (20)76.860.5137.2+16.275%
Season away (9)69.774.7144.3-5.022%
Last 10 (10)71.568.2139.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)68.669.2137.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (8)65.675.2140.9-9.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.061.0138.9+17.071%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +5.3+5.3
Middle Tenn. St.Liberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H16/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/03
NCAA
69.4Avg total
33.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.663.3-1.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.529.460.8+2.141%-
Last 30 away (13)29.736.866.5-7.18%-
Last 10 (10)33.136.369.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.870.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.532.863.3-2.323%-
vs Similar (6)28.835.063.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H03/03
NCAA
67.4Avg total
33.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.767.2+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.029.465.5+6.665%-
Last 30 away (10)34.336.370.6-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.467.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.836.665.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)30.835.966.6-5.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.329.967.2+7.471%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
1
Liberty wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Liberty v Middle Tenn. St.88-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ASam Houston St.64-81
25/02/24HWestern Kentucky74-72
22/02/24AJacksonville State68-76
17/02/24HUTEP96-90 OT
16/02/24HNew Mexico State76-69
10/02/24AFlorida International68-66
09/02/24ALiberty53-88
04/02/24AWestern Kentucky65-88
27/01/24HFlorida International79-61
25/01/24HJacksonville State75-67
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HUTEP51-67
01/03/24HNew Mexico State83-58
23/02/24AFlorida International71-76
18/02/24ASam Houston St.73-83
11/02/24HLouisiana Tech65-62
09/02/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-53
04/02/24AUTEP67-65
02/02/24ANew Mexico State73-79 OT
27/01/24AJacksonville State62-73
21/01/24HSam Houston St.82-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL41%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %41%65%8%
Points / game65.770.958.2
Allowed / game69.765.475.8
Point differential-4.1+5.5-17.7
Avg total135.4136.4134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %14%24%0%
Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games29209
Win %59%75%22%
Points / game74.676.869.7
Allowed / game64.960.574.7
Point differential+9.7+16.2-5.0
Avg total139.4137.2144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%65%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2921872%75.063.9+11.1
2 Western Kentucky29191066%80.374.8+5.5
3 Sam Houston St.29181162%72.069.6+2.3
4 Liberty29171259%74.664.9+9.7
5 Delaware31181358%73.570.2+3.3
6 Missouri State31161552%72.072.3-0.3
7 UTEP30151550%72.869.1+3.7
8 Kennesaw State31151648%82.880.8+2.1
9 Jacksonville State30141647%70.065.6+4.4
10 Middle Tenn. St.29121741%65.769.7-4.1
11 New Mexico State30121840%67.372.0-4.6
12 Florida International29101934%74.176.6-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.333669
Liberty303161
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