Minas vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 70-63

23-9 15-25 16-16 16-13

Position#2

Record13-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game72.5

Minas 🏆

Paulistano

Position#4

Record9-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game75.5

NBB

Other2020-21

Meetings · Minas v Paulistano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

108-99

108

H21/11

NBB

Brasilia

#16

105-100 OT

105

100

H02/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

94-63

+31

A04/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

97-77

+20

H06/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

20-0

+20

H14/12

NBB

Mogi

80-74

A16/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

96-92

H19/12

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

84-76

A21/12

NBB

Franca

89-82

H23/12

NBB

Bauru

85-75

+10

A05/01

NBB

33-24

26-25

23-22

26-28

29-32

27-16

12-23

19-16

18-17

24-18

22-13

30-15

17-12

27-21

29-17

24-27

–

22-22

15-15

19-18

24-19

19-21

13-28

28-22

36-21

23-19

24-14

20-17

17-26

22-28

15-18

24-28

28-8

19-20

14-13

27-12

25-30

159.6Avg total

85.8Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	83.9	72.5	156.4	+11.4	93%
Season at home (7)	84.4	72.0	156.4	+12.4	100%
Season away (7)	83.3	73.0	156.3	+10.3	86%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	73.8	159.6	+12.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	79.8	166.6	+7.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	68.0	102.0	170.0	-34.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	83.9	80.7	164.6	+3.2	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	87.2	73.2	160.4	+14.1	95%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#14

72-61

+11

H20/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

86-62

+24

A22/11

NBB

Mogi

69-62

H04/12

NBB

Bauru

62-81

-19

A08/12

NBB

Flamengo

76-104

104

-28

A10/12

NBB

Pato

#11

75-68

H12/12

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

103-101 OT

103

101

H17/12

NBB

Franca

87-85 OT

H28/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

64-78 OT

-14

A30/12

NBB

Cearense

#10

78-73

H05/01

NBB

21-16

13-14

17-26

21-5

18-15

27-13

18-20

23-14

12-12

10-11

19-18

28-21

22-20

19-14

12-22

9-25

10-26

30-28

17-22

19-28

14-21

16-14

22-17

23-16

18-20

21-16

25-19

20-29

22-13

10-22

23-20

15-15

12-11

8-16

24-19

17-15

28-12

19-18

14-22

17-21

154.7Avg total

77.2Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	76.7	75.5	152.2	+1.2	75%
Season at home (7)	79.9	74.9	154.7	+5.0	100%
Season away (5)	72.2	76.4	148.6	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	77.5	154.7	-0.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	81.0	162.4	+0.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	75.0	84.3	159.3	-9.3	22%
vs Similar (13)	81.8	83.2	164.9	-1.4	54%
vs Weaker (8)	78.8	74.6	153.4	+4.1	75%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasPaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	25.0	50.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.9	18.9	41.9	+4.0	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.6	34.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.4	34.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	19.6	39.1	+0.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.6	18.7	39.2	+1.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	34.0	49.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.4	36.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	17.3	34.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	16.6	33.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	17.2	32.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	56%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	18.8	37.9	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	50%	-

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

59-49

+10

H21/11

NBB

Brasilia

#16

56-48

H02/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

42-35

A04/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

44-33

+11

H06/12

NBB

Mogi

37-37

A16/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

32-49

-17

H19/12

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

47-33

+14

A21/12

NBB

Franca

37-46

-9

H23/12

NBB

Bauru

33-33

A05/01

NBB

83.3Avg total

43.0Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.3	39.3	80.7	+2.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	40.0	81.7	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	38.6	79.6	+2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.0	40.3	83.3	+2.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.6	76.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	59.0	99.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.3	39.7	77.0	-2.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.7	38.0	81.7	+5.7	61%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#14

34-30

H20/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

45-28

+17

A22/11

NBB

Mogi

22-23

-1

H04/12

NBB

Bauru

41-34

A08/12

NBB

Flamengo

40-54

-14

A10/12

NBB

Pato

#11

30-35

-5

H12/12

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

39-36

H17/12

NBB

Franca

32-35

-3

H28/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

20-27

-7

A30/12

NBB

Cearense

#10

47-30

+17

H05/01

NBB

68.2Avg total

35.0Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.3	35.9	72.2	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	36.1	73.8	+1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	33.2	68.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	32.6	66.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.7	38.3	74.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.7	35.8	75.5	+3.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	34.0	33.8	67.8	+0.2	38%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.0	18.8	40.9	+3.2	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	18.9	42.1	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	71%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.7	19.1	41.8	+3.6	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	7.0	19.0	26.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.5	19.8	42.2	+2.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	25.4	21.1	46.6	+4.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	20.8	46.8	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.8	42.0	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	23.4	43.4	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	24.7	45.1	-4.3	31%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.2	18.1	39.4	+3.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.5	38.6	83.1	+5.9	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	38.7	84.9	+7.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	38.5	81.2	+4.2	71%	-
Last 10 (9)	48.1	40.2	88.3	+7.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	40.2	89.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	43.0	71.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.7	39.5	84.2	+5.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.3	37.8	83.2	+7.5	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.6	82.5	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	42.4	82.6	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	42.8	82.4	-3.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	39.4	77.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.2	42.7	80.9	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.7	44.8	84.5	-5.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.4	38.8	81.1	+3.6	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
13/02/20	Minas v Paulistano	66-71
04/11/19	Paulistano v Minas	80-76
30/01/19	Minas v Paulistano	88-85
24/10/18	Paulistano v Minas	81-76
01/02/18	Minas v Paulistano	80-88
16/11/17	Paulistano v Minas	93-86 OT
16/02/17	Minas v Paulistano	85-96
26/11/16	Paulistano v Minas	98-86
24/02/16	Minas v Paulistano	76-82
08/12/15	Paulistano v Minas	82-50

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/21	A	Bauru	85-75
23/12/20	H	Franca	89-82
21/12/20	A	Pinheiros	84-76
19/12/20	H	Sao Paulo	96-92
16/12/20	A	Mogi	80-74
14/12/20	H	Corinthians Paulista	20-0
06/12/20	H	Cerrado	97-77
04/12/20	A	Caxias do Sul	94-63
02/12/20	H	Brasilia	105-100 OT
21/11/20	H	Unifacisa	108-99

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/21	H	Cearense	78-73
30/12/20	A	Sao Paulo	64-78 OT
28/12/20	H	Franca	87-85 OT
17/12/20	H	Campo Mourao	103-101 OT
12/12/20	H	Pato	75-68
10/12/20	A	Flamengo	76-104
08/12/20	A	Bauru	62-81
04/12/20	H	Mogi	69-62
22/11/20	A	Caxias do Sul	86-62
20/11/20	H	Cerrado	72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	93%	100%	86%
Points / game	83.9	84.4	83.3
Allowed / game	72.5	72.0	73.0
Point differential	+11.4	+12.4	+10.3
Avg total	156.4	156.4	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	43%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Paulistano

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	75%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	75%	100%	40%
Points / game	76.7	79.9	72.2
Allowed / game	75.5	74.9	76.4
Point differential	+1.2	+5.0	-4.2
Avg total	152.2	154.7	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	14%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (4)	-
Overtime %	25%	29%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	14	13	1	93%	83.9	72.5	+11.4
2	Flamengo	15	13	2	87%	88.6	70.5	+18.1
3	Paulistano	12	9	3	75%	76.7	75.5	+1.2
4	Sao Paulo	15	11	4	73%	91.0	78.1	+12.9
5	Bauru	13	9	4	69%	80.5	74.6	+5.8
6	Cearense	15	9	6	60%	72.3	69.9	+2.5
7	Franca	15	8	7	53%	86.1	83.1	+2.9
8	Unifacisa	13	6	7	46%	83.0	81.4	+1.6
9	Corinthians Paulista	13	6	7	46%	68.2	71.7	-3.5
10	Mogi	13	6	7	46%	78.9	83.6	-4.7
11	Pato	14	5	9	36%	74.4	81.4	-7.1
12	Campo Mourao	14	5	9	36%	77.9	85.0	-7.1
13	Pinheiros	13	4	9	31%	72.8	80.7	-7.8
14	Cerrado	13	2	11	15%	74.8	81.1	-6.3
15	Brasilia	14	2	12	14%	78.3	90.9	-12.6
16	Caxias do Sul	12	1	11	8%	71.9	84.4	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	23	15	16	16	70
Paulistano	9	25	16	13	63

← all games of the day

Minas vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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