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Minas vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-82
24-27 18-20 21-20 23-15
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game69.3
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#12
Record7-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.1
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Paulistano
18 Nov 2025
MINA94
PAUL63
20 Dec 2024
MINA86
PAUL82
11 Mar 2024
MINA72
PAUL70
09 May 2023
MINA71
PAUL67
07 May 2023
MINA68
PAUL83
27 Apr 2023
MINA85
PAUL82
03 Apr 2023
MINA105
PAUL70
15 Feb 2022
MINA104
PAUL67
07 Jan 2021
MINA70
PAUL63
13 Feb 2020
MINA66
PAUL71
30 Jan 2019
MINA88
PAUL85
01 Feb 2018
MINA80
PAUL88
16 Feb 2017
MINA85
PAUL96
24 Feb 2016
MINA76
PAUL82
13 Feb 2015
MINA72
PAUL69
27 Mar 2014
MINA75
PAUL65
20 Feb 2013
MINA109
PAUL114
01 Mar 2012
MINA69
PAUL75
12 Dec 2010
MINA89
PAUL94
25 Mar 2009
MINA96
PAUL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
86-64
86
64
+22
93avg 81
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 81
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 81
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-58
78
58
+20
75avg 81
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
74avg 81
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
95-68
95
68
+27
103avg 81
A02/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-70
97
70
+27
95avg 81
H05/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
60avg 81
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 81
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
24-10
21-16
16-28
19-19
22-20
19-27
18-10
18-24
27-18
27-13
17-16
17-16
22-10
21-19
18-13
19-21
17-14
21-23
24-12
25-13
21-19
20-20
29-16
30-19
22-19
23-14
22-18
14-23
9-13
21-21
20-24
17-18
20-9
22-16
14-17
21-31
18-14
20-17
25-11
151.6Avg total
82.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.069.3152.3+13.787%
Season at home (6)86.266.8153.0+19.3100%
Season away (9)80.970.9151.8+10.078%
Last 10 (10)82.569.1151.6+13.490%
Last 5 (5)82.670.4153.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.380.1157.4-2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.471.3155.7+13.187%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 70
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 70
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 70
A08/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
49-66
49
66
-17
34avg 70
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
52avg 70
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
63avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
73avg 70
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
102-87
102
87
+15
105avg 70
A18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
19-12
19-19
27-16
20-24
13-21
25-20
11-10
21-14
16-11
19-18
19-19
15-19
16-15
9-14
9-18
27-21
15-14
27-19
17-15
15-15
20-21
9-12
21-18
16-15
12-16
23-23
19-22
16-15
14-16
23-15
25-19
20-17
17-19
20-17
25-19
32-21
22-27
24-22
24-17
147.2Avg total
76.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.674.1151.7+3.547%
Season at home (8)79.575.4154.9+4.150%
Season away (7)75.472.6148.0+2.943%
Last 10 (10)76.470.8147.2+5.660%
Last 5 (5)79.473.2152.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.881.0153.8-8.20%
vs Similar (13)78.372.1150.4+6.254%
vs Weaker (11)79.267.3146.5+11.964%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
MinasPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H05/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/12
Champions League Americas
74.7Avg total
40.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.475.6+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.234.576.7+7.775%-
Last 30 away (18)38.836.174.8+2.772%-
Last 10 (10)40.734.074.7+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.937.973.7-2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.434.776.1+6.778%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A08/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A18/12
NBB
72.5Avg total
36.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.875.7+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.276.1+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.575.3+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.672.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.473.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.343.379.7-7.017%-
vs Similar (13)38.835.974.8+2.938%-
vs Weaker (11)40.334.474.6+5.964%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.9
52.4%
50.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.8
36.7%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
72.7%12.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.0
52.3%
50.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.8
33.8%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
72.7%14.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWLWWWWWWW
Paulistano
WWWLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#12
+16.9
Net rating
+7.6
108.5
Offensive rating
106.8
91.6
Defensive rating
99.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.7%
3-point %
33.8%
63.3%
Assist %
58.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 106.8Defence91.6 · 99.2Shooting53.4% · 51.7%3-point %36.7% · 33.8%Ball care20.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
3
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
11/03/24Minas v Paulistano72-70
25/11/23Paulistano v Minas71-86
09/05/23Minas v Paulistano71-67
07/05/23Minas v Paulistano68-83
02/05/23Paulistano v Minas68-77
30/04/23Paulistano v Minas80-76
27/04/23Minas v Paulistano85-82
03/04/23Minas v Paulistano105-70
03/12/22Paulistano v Minas90-73
15/02/22Minas v Paulistano104-67
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AQuimsa84-73
14/12/24ABigua73-60
09/12/24AVasco64-81
05/12/24HPato97-70
02/12/24ABotafogo95-68
30/11/24AFlamengo81-70
16/11/24ACaxias do Sul78-58
14/11/24AUniao Corinthians89-71
11/11/24HUnifacisa78-76
07/11/24HCearense86-64
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24ABrasilia102-87
12/12/24HCaxias do Sul82-72
10/12/24HUniao Corinthians78-65
04/12/24HVasco70-76
17/11/24APato65-66
14/11/24AUnifacisa86-69
11/11/24ACearense49-66
08/11/24ASao Jose75-62
05/11/24HCorinthians Paulista69-75
02/11/24HBotafogo88-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %87%100%78%
Points / game83.086.280.9
Allowed / game69.366.870.9
Point differential+13.7+19.3+10.0
Avg total152.3153.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW47%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game77.679.575.4
Allowed / game74.175.472.6
Point differential+3.5+4.1+2.9
Avg total151.7154.9148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1513287%83.069.3+13.7
2 Flamengo1512380%83.271.0+12.2
3 Brasilia1611569%83.981.2+2.7
4 Bauru1510567%80.278.7+1.5
5 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
6 Vasco159660%74.571.7+2.9
7 Sao Paulo159660%79.578.1+1.5
8 Pinheiros159660%74.372.9+1.3
9 Uniao Corinthians158753%78.180.6-2.5
10 Paulistano157847%77.674.1+3.5
11 Sao Jose1771041%74.975.1-0.2
12 Unifacisa1771041%74.976.8-1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista156940%80.481.6-1.2
14 Pato1661038%82.184.0-1.9
15 Mogi1651131%70.277.9-7.6
16 Botafogo1651131%71.680.3-8.8
17 Cearense1741324%69.177.4-8.3
18 Caxias do Sul1531220%70.778.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2418212386
Paulistano2720201582
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