Paulistano vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 78-73

28-12 19-18 14-22 17-21

Position#4

Record8-3

FormLWWWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game75.7

Paulistano 🏆

Cearense

Position#10

Record8-5

FormLWWLW

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game70.0

NBB

Other2020-21

Meetings · Paulistano v Cearense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cearense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

75-74

H19/11

NBB

Cerrado

#14

72-61

+11

H20/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

86-62

+24

A22/11

NBB

Mogi

69-62

H04/12

NBB

Bauru

62-81

-19

A08/12

NBB

Flamengo

76-104

104

-28

A10/12

NBB

Pato

#11

75-68

H12/12

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

103-101 OT

103

101

H17/12

NBB

Franca

87-85 OT

H28/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

64-78 OT

-14

A30/12

NBB

20-20

21-13

20-14

14-27

21-16

13-14

17-26

21-5

18-15

27-13

18-20

23-14

12-12

10-11

19-18

28-21

22-20

19-14

12-22

9-25

10-26

30-28

17-22

19-28

14-21

16-14

22-17

23-16

18-20

21-16

25-19

20-29

22-13

10-22

23-20

15-15

12-11

8-16

24-19

17-15

154.5Avg total

76.9Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	76.5	75.7	152.3	+0.8	73%
Season at home (6)	80.2	75.2	155.3	+5.0	100%
Season away (5)	72.2	76.4	148.6	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	77.6	154.5	-0.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	87.2	168.2	-6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.0	84.3	159.3	-9.3	22%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	82.1	83.2	165.3	-1.2	54%
vs Weaker (8)	78.8	74.6	153.4	+4.1	75%

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

67-69

-2

A17/11

NBB

Minas

67-82

-15

H19/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

85-78

H02/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

75-73

A04/12

NBB

Brasilia

#16

71-63

H06/12

NBB

Mogi

85-88

-3

H14/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

20-0

+20

A16/12

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

79-62

+17

H19/12

NBB

Franca

81-98

-17

A21/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

92-85

H23/12

NBB

17-21

12-19

23-20

15-9

18-21

9-25

23-19

17-17

27-15

18-22

23-26

17-15

19-27

25-11

15-13

16-22

15-7

15-19

18-18

23-19

24-17

16-24

23-27

22-20

–

24-16

22-12

15-14

18-20

18-26

31-22

14-24

15-20

21-21

32-29

24-15

142.0Avg total

72.2Scored

69.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	72.4	70.0	142.4	+2.4	62%
Season at home (7)	78.3	77.1	155.4	+1.1	57%
Season away (6)	65.5	61.7	127.2	+3.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	69.8	142.0	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	66.6	138.0	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	71.9	82.4	154.4	-10.5	7%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	75.5	73.8	149.2	+1.8	38%
vs Weaker (8)	77.9	68.2	146.1	+9.6	88%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.4	34.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.2	33.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	17.5	37.4	+2.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	14.8	34.2	+4.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	17.3	34.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	17.3	37.5	+2.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.1	33.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	18.5	37.9	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	14.9	20.0	34.9	-5.1	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	14.8	34.5	+5.0	62%	-

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

41-33

H19/11

NBB

Cerrado

#14

34-30

H20/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

45-28

+17

A22/11

NBB

Mogi

22-23

-1

H04/12

NBB

Bauru

41-34

A08/12

NBB

Flamengo

40-54

-14

A10/12

NBB

Pato

#11

30-35

-5

H12/12

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

39-36

H17/12

NBB

Franca

32-35

-3

H28/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

20-27

-7

A30/12

NBB

67.9Avg total

34.4Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	36.1	72.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	36.3	71.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	35.9	73.9	+2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	33.5	67.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	37.4	69.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.7	38.3	74.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.3	36.0	75.3	+3.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	34.0	33.8	67.8	+0.2	38%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

29-40

-11

A17/11

NBB

Minas

27-46

-19

H19/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

45-37

H02/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

44-38

A04/12

NBB

Brasilia

#16

30-26

H06/12

NBB

Mogi

40-41

-1

H14/12

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

46-28

+18

H19/12

NBB

Franca

36-52

-16

A21/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

36-41

-5

H23/12

NBB

75.8Avg total

37.0Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.8	37.9	73.7	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	37.2	73.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	38.7	73.8	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.0	38.8	75.8	-1.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	32.1	41.4	73.6	-9.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.2	29.5	68.8	+9.8	88%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.1	42.1	-2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.6	20.9	43.4	+1.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	23.7	44.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.2	18.1	39.4	+3.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.1	39.4	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.5	82.8	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	42.3	83.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	42.7	82.3	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.2	42.7	80.9	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.4	44.7	85.1	-4.3	31%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.4	38.8	81.1	+3.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.9	40.6	80.5	-0.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	40.9	81.3	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	40.2	79.6	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.0	38.8	79.8	+2.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	41.6	85.6	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.8	41.0	80.8	-1.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	41.7	41.7	83.4	+0.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.1	38%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
06/03/20	Cearense v Paulistano	99-95 OT
22/11/19	Paulistano v Cearense	76-78
08/04/19	Paulistano v Cearense	74-84
05/04/19	Cearense v Paulistano	75-68
09/01/19	Cearense v Paulistano	65-77
22/10/18	Paulistano v Cearense	72-60
25/04/18	Cearense v Paulistano	57-98
22/04/18	Paulistano v Cearense	79-68
20/04/18	Paulistano v Cearense	93-89
17/04/18	Cearense v Paulistano	72-67

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/20	A	Sao Paulo	64-78 OT
28/12/20	H	Franca	87-85 OT
17/12/20	H	Campo Mourao	103-101 OT
12/12/20	H	Pato	75-68
10/12/20	A	Flamengo	76-104
08/12/20	A	Bauru	62-81
04/12/20	H	Mogi	69-62
22/11/20	A	Caxias do Sul	86-62
20/11/20	H	Cerrado	72-61
19/11/20	H	Corinthians Paulista	75-74

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/20	H	Sao Paulo	92-85
21/12/20	A	Franca	81-98
19/12/20	H	Pinheiros	79-62
16/12/20	A	Corinthians Paulista	20-0
14/12/20	H	Mogi	85-88
06/12/20	H	Brasilia	71-63
04/12/20	A	Cerrado	75-73
02/12/20	H	Caxias do Sul	85-78
19/11/20	H	Minas	67-82
17/11/20	A	Unifacisa	67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	73%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	100%	40%
Points / game	76.5	80.2	72.2
Allowed / game	75.7	75.2	76.4
Point differential	+0.8	+5.0	-4.2
Avg total	152.3	155.3	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	17%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	27%	33%	20%

Cearense

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	62%
Home	WWLWW	57%
Away	WLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	62%	57%	67%
Points / game	72.4	78.3	65.5
Allowed / game	70.0	77.1	61.7
Point differential	+2.4	+1.1	+3.8
Avg total	142.4	155.4	127.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	14%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	14	13	1	93%	83.9	72.5	+11.4
2	Flamengo	15	13	2	87%	88.6	70.5	+18.1
3	Bauru	12	9	3	75%	82.2	74.9	+7.2
4	Sao Paulo	15	11	4	73%	91.0	78.1	+12.9
5	Paulistano	11	8	3	73%	76.5	75.7	+0.8
6	Cearense	13	8	5	62%	72.4	70.0	+2.4
7	Franca	15	8	7	53%	86.1	83.1	+2.9
8	Unifacisa	13	6	7	46%	83.0	81.4	+1.6
9	Corinthians Paulista	12	5	7	42%	65.8	71.7	-5.8
10	Mogi	12	5	7	42%	79.0	85.3	-6.3
11	Campo Mourao	13	5	8	38%	78.3	84.2	-5.8
12	Pato	13	5	8	38%	75.2	81.7	-6.5
13	Pinheiros	13	4	9	31%	72.8	80.7	-7.8
14	Brasilia	13	2	11	15%	77.8	90.4	-12.6
15	Cerrado	12	1	11	8%	72.9	80.8	-7.8
16	Caxias do Sul	12	1	11	8%	71.9	84.4	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paulistano	28	19	14	17	78
Cearense	12	18	22	21	73

← all games of the day

Paulistano vs Cearense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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