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Minas vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-81
23-21 20-20 14-21 20-19
Position#3
Record9-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.9
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Pinheiros
21 Nov 2025
MINA77
PINH81
15 Feb 2025
MINA70
PINH59
27 Mar 2024
MINA81
PINH51
12 Jan 2023
MINA74
PINH67
11 Jan 2022
MINA91
PINH84
04 Apr 2021
MINA93
PINH61
19 Dec 2019
MINA57
PINH64
03 Nov 2018
MINA83
PINH79
10 Jan 2018
MINA80
PINH75
02 Dec 2016
MINA88
PINH94
12 Apr 2016
MINA67
PINH85
04 Apr 2016
MINA83
PINH79
12 Jan 2016
MINA70
PINH83
03 Apr 2015
MINA87
PINH110
11 Jan 2014
MINA66
PINH75
23 Feb 2013
MINA101
PINH75
03 Mar 2012
MINA73
PINH104
19 Dec 2010
MINA93
PINH86
27 Mar 2009
MINA91
PINH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 75
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
86avg 75
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 75
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
72avg 75
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 75
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 75
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 75
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 75
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 75
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 75
H18/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-22
12-20
27-19
20-21
16-16
17-13
22-25
12-17
24-15
22-18
21-21
27-17
8-22
20-14
21-22
23-14
15-23
30-17
16-22
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
161.9Avg total
86.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.275.7161.9+10.590%
Season at home (6)86.075.3161.3+10.7100%
Season away (4)86.576.2162.8+10.275%
Last 10 (10)86.275.7161.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)90.473.6164.0+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.477.9156.2+0.550%
vs Weaker (21)82.270.7153.0+11.595%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
58avg 69
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
58-83
58
83
-25
38avg 69
A21/05
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 69
A18/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
60avg 69
H21/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
83-60
83
60
+23
84avg 69
H23/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
69-67
69
67
+2
59avg 69
A01/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
91-75
91
75
+16
86avg 69
H03/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
69avg 69
A06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
82-59
82
59
+23
81avg 69
H09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
104avg 69
H11/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
25-22
19-17
17-14
12-18
18-14
9-28
19-23
21-21
27-17
22-31
18-17
15-16
23-24
13-25
18-22
17-17
23-12
26-18
17-13
26-18
9-14
18-16
16-19
21-26
30-17
20-15
20-17
12-18
18-23
22-26
24-14
15-15
21-14
21-16
25-14
36-23
19-24
22-17
25-20
153.8Avg total
79.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.574.9157.4+7.675%
Season at home (5)85.473.0158.4+12.480%
Season away (3)77.778.0155.7-0.367%
Last 10 (10)79.074.8153.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)84.073.2157.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.680.1149.7-10.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.873.5149.4+2.354%
vs Weaker (10)85.673.1158.7+12.590%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
MinasPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
81.3Avg total
41.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.976.8+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.736.877.5+3.976%-
Last 30 away (13)38.837.175.8+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.681.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.887.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.141.081.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker (21)39.835.475.2+4.471%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/05
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A01/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H11/11
NBB
76.5Avg total
39.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.177.1+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.636.679.2+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)37.037.774.7-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.676.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.479.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.739.176.9-1.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.535.874.3+2.654%-
vs Weaker (10)43.537.480.9+6.180%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.7
52.4%
52.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.4
74.5%
72.8%16.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
52.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.5
31.4%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
72.8%13.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWLWWWWWWW
Pinheiros
WWLWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#2
+13.7
Net rating
+6.5
109.4
Offensive rating
106.1
95.7
Defensive rating
99.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
31.4%
67.9%
Assist %
63.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 106.1Defence95.7 · 99.6Shooting52.9% · 49.0%3-point %35.7% · 31.4%Ball care18.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Minas v Pinheiros70-59
29/10/24Pinheiros v Minas67-77
27/03/24Minas v Pinheiros81-51
16/12/23Pinheiros v Minas61-91
12/01/23Minas v Pinheiros74-67
18/10/22Pinheiros v Minas81-72
14/04/22Pinheiros v Minas83-93
11/01/22Minas v Pinheiros91-84
04/04/21Minas v Pinheiros93-61
21/12/20Pinheiros v Minas76-84
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70
01/11/25ACruzeiro84-76
27/10/25APato76-75
23/10/25HMogi79-71
20/10/25HSao Jose88-86 OT
18/10/25HCorinthians Paulista83-81
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25HUniao Corinthians102-84
09/11/25HCaxias do Sul82-59
06/11/25APaulistano76-81
03/11/25HOsasco91-75
01/11/25ABrasilia69-67
23/10/25HBauru83-60
21/10/25HFranca69-87
18/10/25ARio Claro88-86
21/05/25AFranca58-83
18/05/25HFranca72-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game86.286.086.5
Allowed / game75.775.376.2
Point differential+10.5+10.7+10.2
Avg total161.9161.3162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%17%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game82.585.477.7
Allowed / game74.973.078.0
Point differential+7.6+12.4-0.3
Avg total157.4158.4155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1110191%89.573.8+15.6
2 Minas109190%86.275.7+10.5
3 Brasilia108280%83.470.9+12.5
4 Mogi97278%82.465.1+17.3
5 Corinthians Paulista97278%86.475.4+11.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca118373%86.573.3+13.2
8 Sao Jose95456%76.675.4+1.1
9 Paulistano116555%80.176.8+3.3
10 Unifacisa105550%79.179.0+0.1
11 Uniao Corinthians84450%76.283.9-7.6
12 Bauru115645%71.474.0-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul73443%71.377.9-6.6
14 Cearense93633%80.184.8-4.7
15 Botafogo113827%70.880.1-9.3
16 Cruzeiro113827%76.586.1-9.6
17 Osasco102820%75.688.4-12.8
18 Rio Claro102820%76.490.2-13.8
19 Pato112918%70.380.5-10.3
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2320142077
Pinheiros2120211981
← all games of the day
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