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Minas vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-59
19-13 13-21 18-12 20-13
Position#1
Record18-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game71.3
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record13-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.6
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Pinheiros
21 Nov 2025
MINA77
PINH81
15 Feb 2025
MINA70
PINH59
27 Mar 2024
MINA81
PINH51
12 Jan 2023
MINA74
PINH67
11 Jan 2022
MINA91
PINH84
04 Apr 2021
MINA93
PINH61
19 Dec 2019
MINA57
PINH64
03 Nov 2018
MINA83
PINH79
10 Jan 2018
MINA80
PINH75
02 Dec 2016
MINA88
PINH94
12 Apr 2016
MINA67
PINH85
04 Apr 2016
MINA83
PINH79
12 Jan 2016
MINA70
PINH83
03 Apr 2015
MINA87
PINH110
11 Jan 2014
MINA66
PINH75
23 Feb 2013
MINA101
PINH75
03 Mar 2012
MINA73
PINH104
19 Dec 2010
MINA93
PINH86
27 Mar 2009
MINA91
PINH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Bigua
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 77
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
70avg 77
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 77
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 77
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
74avg 77
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
61-58
61
58
+3
55avg 77
H28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
50avg 77
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
84avg 77
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 77
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 77
H13/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
23-21
17-16
20-29
21-21
19-16
28-20
12-12
20-29
21-19
19-31
28-19
23-13
19-21
17-20
20-14
16-24
20-14
25-18
21-10
17-10
18-18
7-15
19-15
13-10
17-15
17-18
14-21
27-20
21-10
18-19
20-15
22-19
19-20
20-21
20-17
13-15
19-30
15-13
16-14
147.9Avg total
76.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.471.3153.7+11.182%
Season at home (11)83.569.5152.9+14.091%
Season away (11)81.473.1154.5+8.373%
Last 10 (10)76.671.3147.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)70.467.0137.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (4)77.570.8148.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.570.7153.2+11.888%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-76
77
76
+1
62avg 65
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
98avg 65
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
48avg 65
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
66avg 65
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
75-63
75
63
+12
69avg 65
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 65
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
59-91
59
91
-32
49avg 65
A26/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#12
L
61-69
61
69
-8
32avg 65
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 65
H08/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
23-27
23-21
18-7
25-23
22-17
14-18
21-24
30-22
8-19
17-24
18-15
16-22
18-19
25-21
27-28
20-10
24-18
12-14
19-21
27-15
25-24
17-19
18-12
25-24
14-26
19-26
7-10
14-25
14-21
16-23
15-22
13-16
19-15
15-20
14-18
16-15
24-15
27-26
13-15
155.2Avg total
76.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.774.6150.3+1.257%
Season at home (12)74.975.9150.8-1.050%
Season away (11)76.673.1149.7+3.564%
Last 10 (10)76.478.8155.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)70.477.4147.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.173.8140.9-6.625%
vs Similar (12)75.176.8151.8-1.742%
vs Weaker (9)79.271.2150.4+8.089%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
MinasPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A22/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/01
Super 8
Brasilia
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/02
NBB
74.9Avg total
39.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.375.6+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.035.976.9+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.634.674.1+5.079%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.674.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.470.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (4)40.833.874.5+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.935.976.8+5.071%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/02
NBB
78.4Avg total
39.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.637.674.2-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.938.677.6+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)34.636.671.2-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.478.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.037.071.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (12)36.940.477.3-3.542%-
vs Weaker (9)39.433.372.8+6.178%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.5
46.7%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.311.5
62.8%
72.7%11.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.8
50.8%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.8
29.2%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.214.6
68.9%
72.7%14.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWWLWWWLWW
Pinheiros
WLLLWWLLWW
#1
League position
#5
+8.5
Net rating
-3.0
102.8
Offensive rating
102.1
94.3
Defensive rating
105.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
47.9%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.4%
3-point %
29.2%
60.2%
Assist %
54.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 102.1Defence94.3 · 105.1Shooting50.5% · 47.9%3-point %37.4% · 29.2%Ball care18.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.2% · 34.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Pinheiros v Minas67-77
27/03/24Minas v Pinheiros81-51
16/12/23Pinheiros v Minas61-91
12/01/23Minas v Pinheiros74-67
18/10/22Pinheiros v Minas81-72
14/04/22Pinheiros v Minas83-93
11/01/22Minas v Pinheiros91-84
04/04/21Minas v Pinheiros93-61
21/12/20Pinheiros v Minas76-84
19/12/19Minas v Pinheiros57-64
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HCorinthians Paulista63-72
10/02/25HBigua81-77
08/02/25HQuimsa86-64
01/02/25HFlamengo61-64
28/01/25HBrasilia61-58
25/01/25HSao Paulo82-66
22/01/25AMogi79-68
20/01/25ASao Jose88-98
13/01/25HQuimsa80-69
12/01/25ABigua85-77
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HSao Paulo80-71
05/02/25HPaulistano61-69
26/01/25AFranca59-91
18/01/25HFlamengo65-86
11/01/25HVasco87-70
09/01/25HBotafogo75-63
27/12/24APato86-90
23/12/24AUniao Corinthians73-80
21/12/24ACaxias do Sul101-92 OT
17/12/24ASao Jose77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWWLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%91%73%
Points / game82.483.581.4
Allowed / game71.369.573.1
Point differential+11.1+14.0+8.3
Avg total153.7152.9154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%64%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game75.774.976.6
Allowed / game74.675.973.1
Point differential+1.2-1.0+3.5
Avg total150.3150.8149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2218482%82.471.3+11.1
2 Flamengo2217577%84.173.0+11.1
3 Brasilia2617965%82.580.0+2.5
4 Franca2213959%81.478.1+3.2
5 Uniao Corinthians24141058%78.578.9-0.4
6 Pinheiros23131057%75.774.6+1.2
7 Bauru23131057%78.679.4-0.9
8 Paulistano24131154%78.174.8+3.3
9 Corinthians Paulista25131252%80.778.9+1.8
10 Vasco25131252%75.575.7-0.2
11 Sao Jose24121250%78.877.7+1.0
12 Unifacisa24121250%75.574.8+0.7
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2591636%82.084.5-2.5
15 Mogi2691735%73.779.7-6.1
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Cearense2461825%70.577.6-7.1
18 Botafogo2461825%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1913182070
Pinheiros1321121359
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