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Minas vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-51
14-22 23-9 21-7 23-13
Position#3
Record23-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game74.2
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#13
Record13-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.1
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Pinheiros
21 Nov 2025
MINA77
PINH81
15 Feb 2025
MINA70
PINH59
27 Mar 2024
MINA81
PINH51
12 Jan 2023
MINA74
PINH67
11 Jan 2022
MINA91
PINH84
04 Apr 2021
MINA93
PINH61
19 Dec 2019
MINA57
PINH64
03 Nov 2018
MINA83
PINH79
10 Jan 2018
MINA80
PINH75
02 Dec 2016
MINA88
PINH94
12 Apr 2016
MINA67
PINH85
04 Apr 2016
MINA83
PINH79
12 Jan 2016
MINA70
PINH83
03 Apr 2015
MINA87
PINH110
11 Jan 2014
MINA66
PINH75
23 Feb 2013
MINA101
PINH75
03 Mar 2012
MINA73
PINH104
19 Dec 2010
MINA93
PINH86
27 Mar 2009
MINA91
PINH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cearense
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
70avg 83
H27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
73avg 83
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
102-65
102
65
+37
110avg 83
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 83
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
94-95
94
95
-1
77avg 83
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
no box
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
73avg 83
H11/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 83
A20/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 83
A22/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-56
73
56
+17
71avg 83
H25/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
15-15
12-14
15-20
21-19
19-21
24-26
22-25
35-10
30-19
22-18
15-18
28-17
11-27
23-22
24-28
25-31
23-22
22-21
24-21
24-22
19-26
16-14
15-12
23-18
23-14
9-18
17-20
21-24
12-20
17-16
19-19
22-31
26-24
11-28
37-15
17-12
20-14
15-21
21-9
163.8Avg total
83.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.974.2160.1+11.774%
Season at home (16)84.971.7156.6+13.281%
Season away (15)87.076.8163.8+10.267%
Last 10 (10)83.580.3163.8+3.240%
Last 5 (5)78.877.8156.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)84.286.2170.5-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.373.6159.8+12.776%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 70
H22/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 70
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 70
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
48avg 70
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 70
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 70
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
82avg 70
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
78avg 70
H09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
61avg 70
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 70
H23/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
18-14
15-14
22-21
21-24
29-26
20-18
18-24
23-21
15-15
18-19
28-21
14-23
17-15
21-28
9-16
17-26
13-19
12-19
9-16
30-23
17-20
14-14
13-22
14-13
20-21
17-11
29-18
22-13
18-13
14-10
18-25
19-24
19-21
10-23
19-21
20-28
14-19
21-19
22-24
151.1Avg total
73.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.478.1153.5-2.743%
Season at home (17)76.277.5153.8-1.347%
Season away (13)74.378.8153.1-4.538%
Last 10 (10)73.877.3151.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)74.076.4150.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.880.2154.0-6.435%
vs Similar (7)77.772.0149.7+5.771%
vs Weaker (6)77.279.2156.3-2.033%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
MinasPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
65-29
65
29
+36
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A22/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H25/03
NBB
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.536.582.0+9.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.133.378.4+11.778%-
Last 30 away (12)46.241.287.4+5.158%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.082.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.841.584.2+1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.035.781.7+10.276%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H22/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/03
NBB
77.9Avg total
38.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.579.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.639.478.9+0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)40.839.780.5+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.077.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.341.380.6-2.041%-
vs Similar (7)42.634.977.4+7.786%-
vs Weaker (6)39.739.879.5-0.217%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.4
59.0%
51.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.2
35.3%
33.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.5
72.4%
72.6%15.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.9
50.8%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.9
28.5%
33.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.813.4
79.8%
72.6%13.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLLWLLLWLW
Pinheiros
LLWWLLLWLW
#3
League position
#13
+7.4
Net rating
-2.6
116.2
Offensive rating
105.5
108.7
Defensive rating
108.1
56.1%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
28.5%
61.9%
Assist %
75.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 105.5Defence108.7 · 108.1Shooting56.1% · 47.7%3-point %35.3% · 28.5%Ball care15.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minas   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
3
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Pinheiros v Minas61-91
12/01/23Minas v Pinheiros74-67
18/10/22Pinheiros v Minas81-72
14/04/22Pinheiros v Minas83-93
11/01/22Minas v Pinheiros91-84
04/04/21Minas v Pinheiros93-61
21/12/20Pinheiros v Minas76-84
19/12/19Minas v Pinheiros57-64
10/01/19Pinheiros v Minas87-75
03/11/18Minas v Pinheiros83-79
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HSao Jose73-56
22/03/24AUnifacisa96-98
20/03/24ACearense69-79
11/03/24HPaulistano72-70
02/03/24ABauru84-86 OT
29/02/24AFranca94-95
15/02/24HSao Paulo86-94
08/02/24HMogi102-65
30/01/24HUnifacisa86-91
27/01/24HCearense73-69
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HCorinthians Paulista77-90
11/03/24HUnifacisa67-89
09/03/24HCearense72-61
05/03/24HCaxias do Sul80-63
29/02/24ASao Paulo74-79
16/02/24APaulistano51-80
12/02/24HFranca61-82
08/02/24HBauru84-76
24/01/24HBrasilia88-92
22/01/24HCerrado84-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW74%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayWLLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %74%81%67%
Points / game85.984.987.0
Allowed / game74.271.776.8
Point differential+11.7+13.2+10.2
Avg total160.1156.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %43%47%38%
Points / game75.476.274.3
Allowed / game78.177.578.8
Point differential-2.7-1.3-4.5
Avg total153.5153.8153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3126584%84.873.5+11.3
2 Franca3025583%87.675.7+11.9
3 Minas3123874%85.974.2+11.7
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru33221167%81.178.7+2.4
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano30181260%74.971.8+3.1
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Cearense31171455%79.176.9+2.3
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo30151550%78.479.5-1.1
12 Pinheiros30131743%75.478.1-2.7
13 Pato31131842%77.579.7-2.2
14 Uniao Corinthians31102132%74.583.4-8.8
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3182326%74.876.7-1.9
17 Caxias do Sul3182326%71.880.0-8.2
18 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1423212381
Pinheiros22971351
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