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Mineros vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 02:05
Final 96-75
23-14 28-17 24-23 21-21
Position#7
Record14-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.7
Mineros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#10
Record10-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game89.2
MexicoLNBP· Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mineros v Santos
07 Oct 2026
MINE82
SANT93
06 Oct 2026
MINE96
SANT75
03 Oct 2025
MINE109
SANT86
02 Oct 2025
MINE91
SANT77
03 Aug 2025
MINE84
SANT66
02 Aug 2025
MINE89
SANT79
09 Oct 2023
MINE81
SANT78
08 Oct 2023
MINE83
SANT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mineros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinerosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMineros
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
75-81
75
81
-6
70avg 79
H10/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
98-85
98
85
+13
97avg 79
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
90avg 79
A16/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
73avg 79
A17/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 79
H21/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
87-85
87
85
+2
73avg 79
H22/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 79
A26/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 79
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 79
H02/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 79
H03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-22
21-20
14-24
20-17
29-18
29-22
20-28
20-24
26-21
22-25
24-22
20-25
28-18
16-20
20-24
20-18
25-22
19-27
25-29
21-24
20-15
17-25
29-21
16-25
18-23
16-25
18-18
14-30
26-18
21-12
23-21
31-14
24-18
17-31
18-15
27-23
16-24
16-18
15-16
171.5Avg total
85.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.984.7170.6+1.254%
Season at home (12)90.083.5173.5+6.567%
Season away (14)82.485.8168.1-3.443%
Last 10 (10)85.086.5171.5-1.550%
Last 5 (5)80.683.2163.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.984.2165.1-3.438%
vs Similar (8)86.488.6175.0-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.182.9170.1+4.257%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSantos
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
89-101
89
101
-12
74avg 74
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
74-103
74
103
-29
60avg 74
H12/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 74
A16/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
109-78
109
78
+31
102avg 74
A17/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 74
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 74
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 74
A26/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 74
A27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 74
H02/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
108-87
108
87
+21
110avg 74
H03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
16-24
16-28
23-26
15-25
27-18
14-37
18-23
20-23
22-26
15-14
20-26
32-21
31-19
23-24
23-14
14-26
22-25
23-18
27-26
15-27
19-27
27-25
23-20
21-25
21-23
22-18
23-20
22-21
14-27
23-18
19-26
22-28
32-22
18-13
24-18
22-16
30-24
30-27
26-20
179.9Avg total
88.8Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.689.2173.8-4.638%
Season at home (14)86.889.3176.1-2.543%
Season away (12)82.089.1171.1-7.133%
Last 10 (10)88.891.1179.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)90.689.0179.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.192.4173.6-11.322%
vs Similar (10)90.385.6175.9+4.760%
vs Weaker (2)74.585.5160.0-11.050%
This opponent (Mineros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
MinerosSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A17/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A26/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H02/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/10
LNBP
85.5Avg total
44.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.186.0+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.140.487.6+6.786%-
Last 30 away (16)41.143.684.7-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.485.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.885.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.642.283.9-0.662%-
vs Similar (8)44.244.688.9-0.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.040.685.6+4.464%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H12/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A17/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H02/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H03/10
LNBP
92.1Avg total
45.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.247.390.5-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.245.989.2-2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)43.248.992.1-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)45.147.092.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.648.091.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)42.449.191.4-6.733%-
vs Similar (10)46.345.191.4+1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)35.542.578.0-7.050%-
This opponent (Mineros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mineros: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.3
51.4%
54.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.2
33.8%
34.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.014.1
78.3%
71.7%14.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santos: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.8
53.0%
54.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
34.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws26.116.2
62.1%
71.7%16.2
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mineros
LWWLWLLWWL
Santos
WWLWLLWLLL
#7
League position
#10
-2.3
Net rating
-3.1
98.7
Offensive rating
96.9
101.0
Defensive rating
99.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
11.1%
Turnover %
11.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.8%
3-point %
32.7%
62.0%
Assist %
48.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 96.9Defence101.0 · 99.9Shooting51.2% · 51.5%3-point %33.8% · 32.7%Ball care11.1% · 11.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Mineros   ■ Santos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mineros wins
4
Santos wins
DateGameScore
25/07/26Santos v Mineros95-80
24/07/26Santos v Mineros87-86
04/10/25Mineros v Santos109-86
03/10/25Mineros v Santos91-77
04/08/25Mineros v Santos84-66
03/08/25Mineros v Santos89-79
19/09/24Santos v Mineros87-82
18/09/24Santos v Mineros107-62
10/10/23Mineros v Santos81-78
09/10/23Mineros v Santos83-78
Mineroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HAbejas74-81
02/10/26HAbejas90-78
27/09/26ALobos Plateados84-81
26/09/26ALobos Plateados68-91
22/09/26HGambusinos87-85
21/09/26HGambusinos89-96
17/09/26AFuerza Regia84-87
16/09/26AFuerza Regia101-100 OT
11/09/26HDiablos Rojos98-85
10/09/26HDiablos Rojos75-81
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HFreseros108-87
02/10/26HFreseros96-81
27/09/26AAbejas78-92
26/09/26AAbejas87-86
22/09/26HLobos Plateados84-99
21/09/26HLobos Plateados86-95
17/09/26AGambusinos109-78
16/09/26AGambusinos77-89
12/09/26HFuerza Regia74-103
11/09/26HFuerza Regia89-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mineros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL54%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game85.990.082.4
Allowed / game84.783.585.8
Point differential+1.2+6.5-3.4
Avg total170.6173.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Santos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game84.686.882.0
Allowed / game89.289.389.1
Point differential-4.6-2.5-7.1
Avg total173.8176.1171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2620677%85.373.5+11.8
2 Astros2618869%88.180.2+7.9
3 Fuerza Regia2618869%89.885.3+4.5
4 Panteras2617965%88.785.0+3.7
5 Lobos Plateados27171063%84.380.5+3.8
6 Dorados27161159%85.384.9+0.5
7 Mineros26141254%85.984.7+1.2
8 Gambusinos26111542%79.782.5-2.8
9 Diablos Rojos26111542%81.784.6-2.9
10 Abejas27111641%85.085.3-0.3
11 Santos26101638%84.689.2-4.6
12 El Calor de Cancun2791833%81.485.0-3.5
13 Freseros2791833%85.391.9-6.6
14 Correcaminos2742315%82.294.0-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mineros2328242196
Santos1417232175
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