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Minnesota vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-81 (OT)
31-40 40-31 13-10
Position#226
Record8-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#44
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota v Michigan
16 Jan 2025
MINN84
MICH81
08 Dec 2022
MINN75
MICH90
16 Jan 2021
MINN75
MICH57
12 Jan 2020
MINN75
MICH67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A29/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H05/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A09/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A11/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
22-30
38-26
41-36
30-42
42-48
31-44
36-38
20-21
54-39
55-37
35-31
27-28
34-53
28-27
36-37
29-30
30-50
35-32
36-45
145.8Avg total
71.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.468.1136.4+0.347%
Season at home (13)70.366.2136.5+4.162%
Season away (4)62.074.0136.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)71.274.6145.8-3.430%
Last 5 (5)73.879.0152.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.575.8144.4-7.323%
vs Similar (14)71.669.4141.0+2.357%
vs Weaker (2)69.570.0139.5-0.550%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#82
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
37-23
26-32
41-32
40-37
45-46
49-45
38-44
43-38
43-49
54-29
35-29
59-31
53-33
42-38
43-36
47-37
47-38
48-38
43-37
159.6Avg total
87.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.168.1153.2+17.081%
Season at home (11)88.367.5155.7+20.882%
Season away (5)78.269.6147.8+8.680%
Last 10 (10)87.472.2159.6+15.280%
Last 5 (5)94.269.2163.4+25.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.780.8145.5-16.17%
vs Similar (9)86.869.9156.7+16.978%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.065.9148.9+17.186%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
MinnesotaMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/01
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.265.6-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.530.761.2-0.233%-
Last 30 away (12)35.236.972.1-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.463.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.830.865.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.333.864.1-3.531%-
vs Similar (14)34.232.366.5+1.950%-
vs Weaker (2)31.033.564.5-2.50%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#82
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H12/01
NCAA
80.4Avg total
44.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.875.2+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.636.079.6+7.682%-
Last 30 away (13)31.537.869.3-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.580.4+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)50.034.684.6+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.839.972.6-7.129%-
vs Similar (9)44.234.478.7+9.889%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.133.675.7+8.6100%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minnesota wins
3
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Michigan v Minnesota71-73
22/01/23Michigan v Minnesota60-56
09/12/22Minnesota v Michigan75-90
11/12/21Michigan v Minnesota65-75
16/01/21Minnesota v Michigan75-57
07/01/21Michigan v Minnesota82-57
12/01/20Minnesota v Michigan75-67
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25AMaryland71-77
11/01/25AWisconsin59-80
07/01/25HOhio State88-89 OT
03/01/25HPurdue61-81
29/12/24HMorgan State90-68
21/12/24HFairleigh Dickinson74-60
09/12/24AIndiana67-82
05/12/24HMichigan State72-90
01/12/24HBethune-Cookman79-62
29/11/24AWake Forest51-57
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HWashington91-75
08/01/25AUCLA94-75
05/01/25AUSC85-74
30/12/24HWestern Kentucky112-64
22/12/24HIPFW89-58
19/12/24HOklahoma86-87
11/12/24HArkansas87-89
07/12/24HIowa85-83
04/12/24AWisconsin67-64
28/11/24HXavier78-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %47%62%0%
Points / game68.470.362.0
Allowed / game68.166.274.0
Point differential+0.3+4.1-12.0
Avg total136.4136.5136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (6)-
Overtime %12%15%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeLLWWW82%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %81%82%80%
Points / game85.188.378.2
Allowed / game68.167.569.6
Point differential+17.0+20.8+8.6
Avg total153.2155.7147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%73%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1715288%81.867.1+14.7
2 Oregon1715288%79.470.2+9.2
3 Wisconsin1714382%82.470.4+11.9
4 Michigan1613381%85.168.1+17.0
5 Purdue1814478%77.967.9+9.9
6 Maryland1713476%84.663.8+20.8
7 Illinois1713476%87.367.3+20.0
8 Nebraska1612475%76.969.1+7.9
9 Indiana1813572%77.572.3+5.2
10 Iowa1712571%89.578.0+11.5
11 Penn State1812667%84.471.7+12.7
12 UCLA1711665%74.663.4+11.2
13 USC1711665%77.571.6+5.9
14 Northwestern1610662%73.766.9+6.8
15 Ohio State1710759%80.471.1+9.3
16 Rutgers179853%76.474.2+2.2
17 Washington179853%72.172.2-0.1
18 Minnesota178947%68.468.1+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Minnesota31401384
Michigan40311081
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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