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Minyor vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-80
25-25 13-18 16-23 28-14
Position#10
Record5-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game85.7
Minyor 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Chernomorets
Bulgaria
Position#2
Record13-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game72.1
BulgariaNBLRound 15· Sport Hall Boris Gyuderov
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minyor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinyorBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinyor
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
79avg 70
H06/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 70
A11/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
96avg 70
H19/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
91avg 70
H25/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 70
A29/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 70
A02/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H10/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 70
H16/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 70
H23/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
71avg 70
H29/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
19-21
22-26
21-16
17-25
20-22
13-15
24-24
18-31
27-20
21-16
26-12
19-19
20-20
25-24
29-20
20-24
13-23
18-12
18-18
16-15
22-20
18-21
22-17
14-15
23-23
17-20
19-15
20-18
18-25
19-26
13-28
15-22
15-16
18-16
24-30
18-16
21-22
15-28
22-16
163.2Avg total
79.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.485.7161.1-10.436%
Season at home (7)82.485.4167.9-3.043%
Season away (7)68.386.0154.3-17.729%
Last 10 (10)79.883.4163.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)76.883.4160.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.689.7160.2-19.111%
vs Similar (4)82.078.5160.5+3.575%
vs Weaker (1)92.079.0171.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
86-62
86
62
+24
83avg 79
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
67avg 79
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 79
H18/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
95-82
95
82
+13
93avg 79
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
83avg 79
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 79
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 79
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 79
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
53avg 79
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
91-70
91
70
+21
89avg 79
H29/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-12
24-9
13-24
17-17
22-11
13-21
13-10
30-33
23-26
21-20
24-20
22-15
26-16
19-13
28-30
22-23
22-18
14-19
21-16
22-13
20-25
22-19
19-9
28-25
21-18
22-14
24-19
17-21
23-18
23-17
17-17
23-22
6-24
14-14
26-12
21-19
22-10
25-16
32-21
12-23
157.4Avg total
84.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.672.1156.6+12.593%
Season at home (8)88.471.5159.9+16.9100%
Season away (6)79.572.8152.3+6.783%
Last 10 (10)84.572.9157.4+11.690%
Last 5 (5)83.472.6156.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.685.4168.0-2.944%
vs Similar (8)80.675.2155.9+5.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.172.8162.9+17.2100%
This opponent (Minyor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
MinyorChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinyorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H06/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A29/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H16/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H23/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H29/12
NBL
80.5Avg total
37.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)36.342.979.2-6.621%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.742.481.1-3.714%-
Last 30 away (7)33.943.477.3-9.629%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.680.5-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.474.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.143.478.6-8.322%-
vs Similar (4)36.839.876.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker (1)45.051.096.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
56-21
56
21
+35
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H29/12
NBL
75.4Avg total
41.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.277.8+5.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.934.479.3+10.469%-
Last 30 away (14)37.938.276.1-0.336%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.075.4+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.438.076.4+0.433%-
vs Similar (8)38.637.976.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.733.979.6+11.869%-
This opponent (Minyor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minyortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minyor: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.3
49.1%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.6
33.3%
31.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
71.1%15.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.5
55.6%
54.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.6
31.7%
31.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.811.9
66.9%
71.1%11.9
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minyor
LLLWWLWWLL
Chernomorets
WLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
-10.3
Net rating
+15.5
103.9
Offensive rating
109.6
114.2
Defensive rating
94.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
31.7%
71.7%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 109.6Defence114.2 · 94.2Shooting49.4% · 52.0%3-point %33.3% · 31.7%Ball care20.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds34.0% · 33.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Minyor   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minyor wins
1
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
26/10/23Chernomorets v Minyor101-66
Minyorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HCSKA Sofia76-82
23/12/23HSpartak Pleven72-84
16/12/23HRilski Sportist70-97
10/12/23HCherno More88-81 OT
02/12/23ALevski78-73
29/11/23AYambol69-77
25/11/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-83
19/11/23HBeroe92-79
11/11/23ABalkan74-86
06/11/23HShumen86-92
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HSpartak Pleven91-70
23/12/23ARilski Sportist67-69
16/12/23HBeroe86-74
09/12/23HLevski84-72
02/12/23AShumen89-78
29/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv79-66
26/11/23HCSKA Sofia95-82
18/11/23HBalkan90-81
11/11/23ACherno More78-75
04/11/23HYambol86-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minyor
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game75.482.468.3
Allowed / game85.785.486.0
Point differential-10.4-3.0-17.7
Avg total161.1167.9154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %93%100%83%
Points / game84.688.479.5
Allowed / game72.171.572.8
Point differential+12.5+16.9+6.7
Avg total156.6159.9152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1413193%84.672.1+12.5
2 CSKA Sofia1411379%87.276.8+10.4
3 Rilski Sportist149564%81.975.1+6.8
4 Spartak Pleven149564%85.679.3+6.3
5 Balkan148657%81.779.8+1.9
6 Beroe146843%81.184.4-3.2
7 Yambol146843%80.885.4-4.6
8 Cherno More146843%79.684.7-5.1
9 Minyor145936%75.485.7-10.4
10 Levski1441029%75.378.1-2.9
11 Shumen1441029%83.686.9-3.3
12 Academic Plovdiv1431121%76.885.4-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minyor2513162882
Chernomorets2518231480
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