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Shumen vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-89
25-20 19-22 9-19 25-28
Position#6
Record3-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game85.6
Shumen
Bulgaria
vs
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#2
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game71.8
BulgariaNBLRound 10· Arena Shumen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shumen v Chernomorets
02 Dec 2023
SHUM78
CHER89
04 Mar 2023
SHUM70
CHER85
21 Dec 2022
SHUM79
CHER94
14 Mar 2022
SHUM88
CHER85
05 Jan 2022
SHUM68
CHER77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Levski
#6
L
62-86
62
86
-24
no box
H26/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 67
A07/10
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
76-92
76
92
-16
60avg 67
H14/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
86-75
86
75
+11
75avg 67
A21/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
78-80
78
80
-2
59avg 67
H27/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 67
A06/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
85-67
85
67
+18
58avg 67
A10/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
82-91
82
91
-9
66avg 67
H17/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
H25/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 67
A29/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
18-19
17-20
9-18
16-18
23-22
26-27
18-21
19-20
17-19
19-30
21-23
28-17
17-26
18-19
23-13
17-20
22-22
18-24
21-14
29-24
21-19
26-22
16-21
17-23
30-14
15-23
23-7
20-10
9-32
27-25
26-24
27-22
16-17
20-24
23-23
22-15
20-21
17-36
13-18
166.7Avg total
81.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.285.6168.8-2.333%
Season at home (4)82.891.0173.8-8.20%
Season away (5)83.681.2164.8+2.460%
Last 10 (10)81.185.6166.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)85.287.0172.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.790.5168.2-12.822%
vs Similar (4)79.581.2160.8-1.825%
vs Weaker (3)83.389.7173.0-6.333%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Kataja
#39
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 80
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
85avg 80
A09/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 80
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
71avg 80
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
101-66
101
66
+35
98avg 80
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
86-62
86
62
+24
83avg 80
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
67avg 80
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 80
H18/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
95-82
95
82
+13
93avg 80
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
83avg 80
A29/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
27-24
18-22
23-21
17-4
24-22
29-26
16-22
10-17
23-10
24-19
17-19
23-22
22-25
25-11
8-17
25-16
23-18
29-17
24-15
32-12
24-9
13-24
17-17
22-11
13-21
13-10
30-33
23-26
21-20
24-20
22-15
26-16
19-13
28-30
22-23
22-18
14-19
21-16
22-13
159.4Avg total
85.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.271.8157.0+13.4100%
Season at home (5)89.271.2160.4+18.0100%
Season away (4)80.272.5152.8+7.8100%
Last 10 (10)85.274.2159.4+11.090%
Last 5 (5)85.673.2158.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.183.5165.5-1.445%
vs Similar (7)82.477.0159.4+5.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.474.3166.6+18.1100%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
ShumenChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H26/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/10
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H27/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A06/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A10/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H17/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/11
NBL
81.5Avg total
40.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.584.4-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.243.981.1-6.721%-
Last 30 away (16)42.145.187.2-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.981.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.481.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.746.085.7-6.330%-
vs Similar (4)41.838.880.5+3.050%-
vs Weaker (3)38.341.379.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#39
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A09/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
56-21
56
21
+35
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/11
NBL
77.9Avg total
42.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.979.3+5.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.835.480.2+9.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.038.478.4+1.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.735.277.9+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.076.2+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.239.178.3+0.136%-
vs Similar (7)42.038.680.6+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.733.580.2+13.373%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.6
50.1%
54.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.6
31.0%
31.3%22.9
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.5%
71.1%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.3
60.4%
54.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.8
32.7%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.313.6
70.5%
71.1%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
LLLWWLWLLL
Chernomorets
WWWWWWWWWL
#6
League position
#2
-3.9
Net rating
+15.5
101.9
Offensive rating
113.3
105.9
Defensive rating
97.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
55.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.0%
3-point %
32.7%
51.7%
Assist %
62.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 113.3Defence105.9 · 97.7Shooting48.8% · 55.6%3-point %31.0% · 32.7%Ball care18.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Shumen   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shumen wins
5
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Shumen v Chernomorets70-85
21/12/22Shumen v Chernomorets79-94
08/10/22Chernomorets v Shumen94-87
14/03/22Shumen v Chernomorets88-85
05/01/22Shumen v Chernomorets68-77
16/10/21Chernomorets v Shumen114-63
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23ACSKA Sofia72-90
25/11/23HSpartak Pleven95-101 OT
17/11/23HCherno More82-91
10/11/23ALevski85-67
06/11/23AMinyor92-86
27/10/23HAcademic Plovdiv78-80
21/10/23ARilski Sportist86-75
14/10/23HBeroe76-92
07/10/23ABalkan83-88
26/04/23HLevski62-86
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv79-66
26/11/23HCSKA Sofia95-82
18/11/23HBalkan90-81
11/11/23ACherno More78-75
04/11/23HYambol86-62
26/10/23HMinyor101-66
22/10/23ASpartak Pleven78-75
16/10/23HRilski Sportist74-65
09/10/23ABeroe86-74
05/10/23HKataja85-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%0%60%
Points / game83.282.883.6
Allowed / game85.691.081.2
Point differential-2.3-8.2+2.4
Avg total168.8173.8164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.289.280.2
Allowed / game71.871.272.5
Point differential+13.4+18.0+7.8
Avg total157.0160.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets990100%85.271.8+13.4
2 CSKA Sofia96367%84.775.3+9.3
3 Balkan96367%81.077.0+4.0
4 Spartak Pleven95456%86.878.6+8.2
5 Rilski Sportist95456%76.972.8+4.1
6 Yambol95456%80.783.4-2.8
7 Beroe94544%82.184.8-2.7
8 Levski104640%76.578.4-1.9
9 Minyor104640%74.985.6-10.7
10 Shumen93633%83.285.6-2.3
11 Academic Plovdiv92722%76.784.4-7.8
12 Cherno More92722%75.685.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shumen251992578
Chernomorets2022192889
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