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Chernomorets vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 95-82
26-16 19-13 28-30 22-23
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game71.1
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game73.0
BulgariaNBLRound 8· Boycho Branzov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia
15 Mar 2024
CHER92
CSKA66
09 Mar 2024
CHER78
CSKA68
26 Nov 2023
CHER95
CSKA82
04 Feb 2023
CHER100
CSKA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H01/06
NBL
Boras
#18
W
109-105 OT
109
105
+4
58avg 78
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#39
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 78
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
85avg 78
A09/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 78
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
71avg 78
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
101-66
101
66
+35
98avg 78
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
86-62
86
62
+24
83avg 78
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
67avg 78
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 78
H18/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-21
18-15
14-24
23-21
19-23
21-17
24-26
17-29
27-24
18-22
23-21
17-4
24-22
29-26
16-22
10-17
23-10
24-19
17-19
23-22
22-25
25-11
8-17
25-16
23-18
29-17
24-15
32-12
24-9
13-24
17-17
22-11
13-21
13-10
30-33
23-26
21-20
24-20
22-15
164.4Avg total
86.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.771.1155.9+13.6100%
Season at home (4)87.868.5156.2+19.2100%
Season away (3)80.774.7155.3+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.278.2164.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)86.671.8158.4+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.183.5165.5-1.445%
vs Similar (7)82.477.0159.4+5.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.873.5166.4+19.3100%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
75avg 79
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 79
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 79
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 79
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-64
99
64
+35
96avg 79
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 79
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 79
H19/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-31
15-17
21-26
23-13
22-17
25-24
18-17
26-17
24-19
20-23
16-13
19-19
18-16
25-10
18-17
18-17
35-13
15-19
19-21
15-23
20-13
23-21
20-28
20-14
18-15
21-22
26-21
20-17
24-16
37-13
18-18
12-24
16-12
20-24
30-19
23-17
21-20
19-18
20-24
159.3Avg total
84.7Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.373.0157.3+11.371%
Season at home (4)85.072.5157.5+12.575%
Season away (3)83.373.7157.0+9.767%
Last 10 (10)84.774.6159.3+10.170%
Last 5 (5)84.675.8160.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.979.5161.4+2.564%
vs Similar (8)87.578.6166.1+8.988%
vs Weaker (10)89.978.5168.4+11.470%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
ChernomoretsCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/06
NBL
Boras
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#39
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A09/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
56-21
56
21
+35
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/11
NBL
80.5Avg total
43.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.779.6+6.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.635.279.8+9.460%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.379.3+2.853%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.480.5+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.081.6+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.239.178.3+0.136%-
vs Similar (7)42.038.680.6+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.933.080.9+14.982%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/11
NBL
77.2Avg total
42.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.081.1+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.537.380.7+6.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.738.781.4+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.135.177.2+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.138.479.5+2.755%-
vs Similar (8)46.436.082.4+10.475%-
vs Weaker (10)43.239.983.1+3.370%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.023.1
60.8%
54.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.9
31.7%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.9
71.4%
71.1%13.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.3
58.0%
54.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.1
27.8%
31.3%24.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.7%
71.1%14.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/7 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WWWWWWWLWL
CSKA Sofia
WLWWLWWWWL
#2
League position
#5
+13.4
Net rating
+15.5
114.1
Offensive rating
112.0
100.6
Defensive rating
96.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.7%
3-point %
27.8%
58.0%
Assist %
76.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 112.0Defence100.6 · 96.5Shooting55.2% · 50.9%3-point %31.7% · 27.8%Ball care18.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.7% · 36.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Chernomorets   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chernomorets wins
2
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
12/04/23CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets88-86
04/02/23Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia100-84
05/12/22CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets80-63
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HBalkan90-81
11/11/23ACherno More78-75
04/11/23HYambol86-62
26/10/23HMinyor101-66
22/10/23ASpartak Pleven78-75
16/10/23HRilski Sportist74-65
09/10/23ABeroe86-74
05/10/23HKataja85-96
04/10/23ABoras109-105 OT
01/06/23HBalkan75-83
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-79
13/11/23ARilski Sportist78-79
04/11/23HCherno More99-64
30/10/23ALevski85-72
21/10/23HMinyor78-85
14/10/23AAcademic Plovdiv87-70
07/10/23HYambol80-62
28/05/23HRilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23ARilski Sportist88-71
19/05/23HBalkan83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.787.880.7
Allowed / game71.168.574.7
Point differential+13.6+19.2+6.0
Avg total155.9156.2155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game84.385.083.3
Allowed / game73.072.573.7
Point differential+11.3+12.5+9.7
Avg total157.3157.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets770100%84.771.1+13.6
2 Balkan86275%81.977.2+4.6
3 CSKA Sofia75271%84.373.0+11.3
4 Spartak Pleven84450%87.279.9+7.4
5 Rilski Sportist84450%76.674.4+2.2
6 Levski84450%78.077.9+0.1
7 Yambol84450%81.185.2-4.1
8 Shumen83538%84.685.0-0.4
9 Beroe83538%83.086.1-3.1
10 Minyor83538%75.288.2-13.0
11 Academic Plovdiv82625%78.085.1-7.1
12 Cherno More82625%77.585.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets2619282295
CSKA Sofia1613302382
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