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Mississippi St. vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-81 (OT)
28-40 33-21 7-20
Position#171
Record17-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game66.2
Mississippi St.
USA
vs
Auburn 🏆
USA
Position#11
Record25-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Auburn
18 Feb 2026
MISS91
AUBU85
27 Jan 2024
MISS64
AUBU58
02 Mar 2022
MISS68
AUBU81
04 Jan 2020
MISS68
AUBU80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#46
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-37
28-39
45-23
33-41
25-25
30-38
33-35
30-37
22-37
43-32
30-34
45-46
34-23
34-26
31-23
27-33
23-35
33-31
30-32
44-37
130.6Avg total
64.2Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.666.2137.8+5.359%
Season at home (19)75.563.2138.7+12.384%
Season away (10)64.072.0136.0-8.010%
Last 10 (10)64.266.4130.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)66.264.0130.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)64.273.7137.8-9.517%
vs Similar (16)73.864.0137.8+9.869%
vs Weaker (8)71.666.5138.1+5.162%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#288
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A26/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#147
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H24/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
24-23
39-27
47-41
51-37
49-44
42-30
32-42
25-28
41-38
33-18
42-40
42-38
52-42
21-22
41-41
43-31
34-33
31-25
31-42
144.8Avg total
76.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.166.9146.0+12.286%
Season at home (18)84.967.4152.4+17.594%
Season away (11)69.565.9135.5+3.673%
Last 10 (10)76.168.7144.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)74.066.4140.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.058.0129.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (8)76.472.8149.1+3.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.565.2145.7+15.295%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.7+0.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.7+0.7
Mississippi St.Auburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#46
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H02/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H26/02
NCAA
59.9Avg total
29.5Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.565.1+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.430.166.5+6.368%-
Last 30 away (11)28.733.962.6-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)29.530.459.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)29.629.459.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.233.862.0-5.717%-
vs Similar (16)35.428.964.3+6.469%-
vs Weaker (8)34.134.969.0-0.850%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#288
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#147
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
21-22
21
22
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
64.5Avg total
35.8Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.230.767.9+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.530.870.3+8.779%-
Last 30 away (11)33.430.563.9+2.855%-
Last 10 (10)35.828.764.5+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.026.860.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.027.064.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (8)31.530.662.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.430.970.3+8.576%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
2
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
06/03/21Auburn v Mississippi St.78-71
04/01/20Mississippi St. v Auburn68-80
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HVanderbilt74-69
23/02/22ASouth Carolina56-66
21/02/22AMissouri58-56
19/02/22HMissouri68-49
17/02/22AAlabama75-80
13/02/22ALSU65-69
10/02/22HTennessee63-72
06/02/22AArkansas55-63
02/02/22HSouth Carolina78-64
29/01/22ATexas Tech50-76
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22ATennessee62-67
24/02/22HOle Miss77-64
19/02/22AFlorida62-63
17/02/22HVanderbilt94-80
12/02/22HTexas A&M75-58
09/02/22AArkansas76-80 OT
05/02/22AGeorgia74-72
02/02/22HAlabama100-81
29/01/22HOklahoma86-68
26/01/22AMissouri55-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %59%84%10%
Points / game71.675.564.0
Allowed / game66.263.272.0
Point differential+5.3+12.3-8.0
Avg total137.8138.7136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%68%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Auburn
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL86%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLLL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %86%94%73%
Points / game79.184.969.5
Allowed / game66.967.465.9
Point differential+12.2+17.5+3.6
Avg total146.0152.4135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%89%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)-57% (7)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2925486%79.166.9+12.2
2 Kentucky3024680%80.465.8+14.6
3 Arkansas2923679%77.467.6+9.9
4 Tennessee2922776%73.563.0+10.5
5 Texas3021970%68.859.1+9.7
6 LSU2920969%72.961.9+11.0
7 Texas A&M30191163%73.366.8+6.5
8 Florida30191163%70.765.4+5.4
9 Alabama30191163%80.276.1+4.1
10 South Carolina29181162%71.769.8+1.9
11 Mississippi St.29171259%71.666.2+5.3
12 Oklahoma30161453%68.564.7+3.8
13 Vanderbilt29141548%69.767.7+2.0
14 Ole Miss30131743%68.668.7-0.1
15 Missouri30102033%64.770.7-6.0
16 Georgia3062420%70.578.2-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Mississippi St.2833768
Auburn40212081
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