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Mississippi St. vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 64-58
21-21 43-37
Position#130
Record13-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#22
Record16-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Auburn
18 Feb 2026
MISS91
AUBU85
27 Jan 2024
MISS64
AUBU58
02 Mar 2022
MISS68
AUBU81
04 Jan 2020
MISS68
AUBU80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-41
32-40
36-32
36-22
29-29
41-31
41-22
44-40
28-30
34-38
35-22
42-50
38-40
36-42
29-47
48-43
36-21
32-34
34-43
36-36
144.3Avg total
74.0Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.766.4141.1+8.368%
Season at home (13)77.364.1141.4+13.285%
Season away (6)69.071.3140.3-2.333%
Last 10 (10)74.070.3144.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)73.275.6148.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.778.0145.7-10.333%
vs Similar (16)71.466.9138.4+4.550%
vs Weaker (11)72.761.6134.4+11.191%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#249
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H23/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
101-66
101
66
+35
H31/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
83-51
83
51
+32
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H10/01
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H13/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A18/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H21/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-35
42-40
46-25
36-37
49-27
52-39
51-32
37-36
37-30
46-21
30-22
36-33
51-34
42-44
41-24
39-41
46-27
36-32
30-44
45-35
149.9Avg total
84.1Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.366.0149.3+17.384%
Season at home (11)84.964.3149.2+20.6100%
Season away (8)81.068.4149.4+12.662%
Last 10 (10)84.165.8149.9+18.390%
Last 5 (5)79.267.2146.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.279.5153.8-5.225%
vs Similar (6)73.574.2147.7-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)83.066.3149.3+16.885%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +13.0+13.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +13.0+13.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
Mississippi St.Auburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/01
NCAA
68.6Avg total
35.9Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.831.064.8+2.959%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.228.664.8+7.576%-
Last 30 away (12)30.534.264.8-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.768.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.669.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.336.765.0-8.333%-
vs Similar (15)33.431.865.2+1.653%-
vs Weaker (11)35.928.364.2+7.673%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#249
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H23/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H31/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H10/01
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H13/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A18/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H21/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A25/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
43.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.730.470.2+9.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.728.470.1+13.281%-
Last 30 away (14)37.532.770.2+4.864%-
Last 10 (10)43.030.073.0+13.090%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.269.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.033.870.8+3.250%-
vs Similar (6)34.231.866.0+2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.029.471.3+12.690%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
4
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Auburn v Mississippi St.69-63
03/03/22Mississippi St. v Auburn68-81 OT
06/03/21Auburn v Mississippi St.78-71
04/01/20Mississippi St. v Auburn68-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24AFlorida70-79
20/01/24HVanderbilt68-55
18/01/24AKentucky77-90
14/01/24HAlabama74-82
11/01/24HTennessee77-72
06/01/24ASouth Carolina62-68
31/12/23HBethune-Cookman85-62
23/12/23ARutgers70-60
17/12/23HNorth Texas72-54
14/12/23HMurray State85-81
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24AAlabama75-79
21/01/24HOle Miss82-59
18/01/24AVanderbilt80-65
13/01/24HLSU93-78
10/01/24HTexas A&M66-55
06/01/24AArkansas83-51
03/01/24HPenn88-68
31/12/23HChattanooga Mocs101-66
23/12/23HAlabama State82-62
17/12/23HUSC91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL68%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %68%85%33%
Points / game74.777.369.0
Allowed / game66.464.171.3
Point differential+8.3+13.2-2.3
Avg total141.1141.4140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Auburn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %84%100%62%
Points / game83.384.981.0
Allowed / game66.064.368.4
Point differential+17.3+20.6+12.6
Avg total149.3149.2149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+84%100%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2017385%73.264.5+8.8
2 Auburn1916384%83.366.0+17.3
3 Ole Miss1916384%76.770.2+6.5
4 Tennessee1814478%79.766.3+13.4
5 Kentucky1814478%89.977.3+12.6
6 Oklahoma2015575%78.566.5+12.0
7 Texas2014670%76.867.8+8.9
8 Florida2014670%85.476.8+8.6
9 Georgia2014670%77.373.2+4.2
10 Alabama1913668%88.674.9+13.7
11 Mississippi St.1913668%74.766.4+8.3
12 Texas A&M1912763%74.168.2+5.9
13 LSU1911858%76.170.2+5.9
14 Arkansas1910953%76.277.5-1.3
15 Missouri2081240%73.673.5+0.1
16 Vanderbilt1851328%67.271.9-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.214364
Auburn213758
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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