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Alabama vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-75
34-30 46-45
Position#147
Record16-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game75.5
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#171
Record14-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Alabama v Mississippi St.
25 Feb 2026
ALAB100
MISS75
25 Feb 2025
ALAB111
MISS73
03 Feb 2024
ALAB99
MISS67
10 Mar 2023
ALAB72
MISS49
25 Jan 2023
ALAB66
MISS63
16 Feb 2022
ALAB80
MISS75
12 Mar 2021
ALAB85
MISS48
23 Jan 2021
ALAB81
MISS73
08 Jan 2020
ALAB90
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H12/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A15/01
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
42-41
41-37
35-41
33-32
37-35
36-40
50-36
42-36
34-46
38-34
49-44
37-51
44-49
27-33
28-33
49-38
48-45
37-32
31-35
155.1Avg total
77.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.475.5155.9+4.964%
Season at home (15)79.671.1150.7+8.580%
Season away (10)81.682.2163.8-0.640%
Last 10 (10)77.377.8155.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)77.678.8156.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.575.8155.3+3.771%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.272.4152.6+7.870%
vs Weaker (6)81.778.3160.0+3.350%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#353
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Alabama
#147
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
74-82 OT
74
82
-8
A26/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
53-36
37-41
41-35
41-35
31-45
42-41
36-19
24-37
48-35
22-37
28-39
45-23
33-41
25-25
30-38
33-35
30-37
22-37
43-32
141.5Avg total
70.1Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.766.7139.4+6.058%
Season at home (17)76.163.7139.8+12.482%
Season away (7)64.474.0138.4-9.60%
Last 10 (10)70.171.4141.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)62.268.8131.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.975.3137.1-13.414%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.563.3137.8+11.380%
vs Weaker (7)75.969.9145.7+6.057%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
AlabamaMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H12/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A15/01
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
37.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.772.8+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.935.070.8+0.960%-
Last 30 away (10)39.737.176.8+2.670%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.374.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.436.073.4+1.457%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.234.170.3+2.170%-
vs Weaker (6)38.237.775.8+0.567%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#353
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/01
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A26/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H02/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A13/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
32.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.166.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.030.567.5+6.568%-
Last 30 away (11)29.834.964.7-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.767.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.431.460.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.935.762.6-8.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.428.465.8+9.080%-
vs Weaker (7)35.637.473.0-1.943%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alabama wins
2
Mississippi St. wins
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22HArkansas68-67
10/02/22AOle Miss97-83
06/02/22HKentucky55-66
02/02/22AAuburn81-100
29/01/22HBaylor87-78
25/01/22AGeorgia76-82
22/01/22HMissouri86-76
20/01/22HLSU70-67
15/01/22AMississippi St.76-78
12/01/22HAuburn77-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/22ALSU65-69
10/02/22HTennessee63-72
06/02/22AArkansas55-63
02/02/22HSouth Carolina78-64
29/01/22ATexas Tech50-76
26/01/22AKentucky74-82 OT
22/01/22HOle Miss78-60
19/01/22AFlorida72-80
15/01/22HAlabama78-76
13/01/22HGeorgia88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %64%80%40%
Points / game80.479.681.6
Allowed / game75.571.182.2
Point differential+4.9+8.5-0.6
Avg total155.9150.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)71% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL58%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24177
Win %58%82%0%
Points / game72.776.164.4
Allowed / game66.763.774.0
Point differential+6.0+12.4-9.6
Avg total139.4139.8138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %8%6%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2523292%80.066.6+13.4
2 Kentucky2621581%80.664.7+15.9
3 Arkansas2620677%78.167.8+10.2
4 Tennessee2519676%74.463.1+11.4
5 Texas2619773%68.957.6+11.3
6 LSU2518772%72.661.1+11.4
7 Alabama2516964%80.475.5+4.9
8 Texas A&M26161062%72.266.1+6.1
9 Florida26161062%70.064.1+5.8
10 South Carolina25151060%71.669.3+2.3
11 Mississippi St.24141058%72.766.7+6.0
12 Vanderbilt24131154%68.865.5+3.2
13 Oklahoma26141254%70.064.5+5.5
14 Ole Miss26121446%68.267.6+0.5
15 Missouri25101540%66.070.6-4.6
16 Georgia2561924%70.677.1-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama344680
Mississippi St.304575
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