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Alabama vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-48
47-19 38-29
Position#19
Record21-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game70.3
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#179
Record15-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Alabama v Mississippi St.
25 Feb 2026
ALAB100
MISS75
25 Feb 2025
ALAB111
MISS73
03 Feb 2024
ALAB99
MISS67
10 Mar 2023
ALAB72
MISS49
25 Jan 2023
ALAB66
MISS63
16 Feb 2022
ALAB80
MISS75
12 Mar 2021
ALAB85
MISS48
23 Jan 2021
ALAB81
MISS73
08 Jan 2020
ALAB90
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#125
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H04/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A06/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
115-82
115
82
+33
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
32-34
36-30
42-30
28-44
37-24
39-36
42-42
51-38
64-44
33-29
49-49
38-39
28-42
34-21
30-38
37-27
33-31
30-36
59-43
148.0Avg total
77.1Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.670.3149.9+9.378%
Season at home (17)80.569.1149.5+11.482%
Season away (10)78.172.4150.5+5.770%
Last 10 (10)77.170.9148.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)79.669.4149.0+10.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.672.3150.9+6.370%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#20
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A03/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A06/02
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H11/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
L
51-72
51
72
-21
H13/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A20/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-28
23-33
36-30
39-29
39-41
41-53
30-45
21-27
31-25
35-31
38-23
31-25
21-34
38-30
29-33
34-24
34-32
37-46
44-30
30-43
131.5Avg total
65.3Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.666.0135.6+3.654%
Season at home (17)69.463.9133.4+5.553%
Season away (11)69.969.1139.0+0.855%
Last 10 (10)65.366.2131.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)67.264.0131.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.671.9136.4-7.314%
vs Similar (15)69.569.2138.7+0.353%
vs Weaker (8)74.254.1128.4+20.188%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
AlabamaMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#125
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A06/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H03/03
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A06/03
NCAA
68.7Avg total
35.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.470.0+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.433.971.4+3.563%-
Last 30 away (11)35.332.467.6+2.955%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.268.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.464.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)38.431.870.2+6.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)35.834.169.9+1.660%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#20
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A03/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/02
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H13/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A20/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H27/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A11/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
32.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.663.6+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.730.363.1+2.467%-
Last 30 away (12)33.530.964.4+2.658%-
Last 10 (10)32.432.164.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.463.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.032.762.7-2.729%-
vs Similar (15)32.131.163.1+1.067%-
vs Weaker (8)37.527.865.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alabama wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21Mississippi St. v Alabama59-64
23/01/21Alabama v Mississippi St.81-73
26/02/20Mississippi St. v Alabama80-73
09/01/20Alabama v Mississippi St.90-69
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21AGeorgia89-79
03/03/21HAuburn70-58
27/02/21AMississippi St.64-59
25/02/21AArkansas66-81
20/02/21HVanderbilt82-78
13/02/21HGeorgia115-82
09/02/21ASouth Carolina81-78
06/02/21AMissouri65-68
04/02/21HLSU78-60
30/01/21AOklahoma61-66
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21AKentucky74-73
06/03/21AAuburn71-78
04/03/21ATexas A&M63-57
27/02/21HAlabama59-64
25/02/21HSouth Carolina69-48
20/02/21AOle Miss66-56
13/02/21HVanderbilt51-72
11/02/21HLSU80-94
06/02/21ASouth Carolina75-59
03/02/21AArkansas45-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %78%82%70%
Points / game79.680.578.1
Allowed / game70.369.172.4
Point differential+9.3+11.4+5.7
Avg total149.9149.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%65%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWLLWL53%
AwayWWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %54%53%55%
Points / game69.669.469.9
Allowed / game66.063.969.1
Point differential+3.6+5.5+0.8
Avg total135.6133.4139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%41%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas2621581%83.370.7+12.7
2 Alabama2721678%79.670.3+9.3
3 Texas2518772%74.668.1+6.5
4 Tennessee2417771%72.562.7+9.8
5 LSU2416867%82.775.4+7.2
6 Missouri2416867%74.072.0+2.0
7 Florida2214864%74.369.5+4.9
8 Ole Miss26161062%69.062.9+6.0
9 Oklahoma25151060%74.869.2+5.5
10 Georgia26141254%77.578.0-0.5
11 Mississippi St.28151354%69.666.0+3.6
12 Auburn27131448%77.276.4+0.7
13 Texas A&M1881044%64.366.9-2.7
14 Kentucky2591636%70.470.2+0.3
15 Vanderbilt2591636%71.872.4-0.6
16 South Carolina2161529%72.579.1-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama473885
Mississippi St.192948
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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