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Missouri State vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-70
45-30 61-40
Position#49
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#294
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game85.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Missouri State v Central Arkansas
18 Dec 2021
MISS106
CENT70
01 Dec 2020
MISS v CENT
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#308
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H14/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
92-66
92
66
+26
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
A02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H04/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A09/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
36-31
33-22
44-33
55-25
37-41
43-45
33-32
32-19
40-35
34-32
30-32
27-35
41-39
42-28
39-27
27-25
42-35
40-33
35-30
140.5Avg total
76.2Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.867.5145.3+10.464%
Season at home (7)76.069.6145.6+6.457%
Season away (4)81.063.8144.8+17.275%
Last 10 (10)76.264.3140.5+11.970%
Last 5 (5)73.466.2139.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.871.8131.6-12.00%
vs Similar (6)73.561.2134.7+12.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.667.2143.7+9.478%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#249
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A06/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
61-96
61
96
-35
A10/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
53-85
53
85
-32
A12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
47-92
47
92
-45
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A24/11
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
60-97
60
97
-37
A02/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-40
39-39
32-43
29-53
30-38
23-47
20-43
27-49
38-21
32-46
33-35
30-55
32-35
35-38
35-37
31-38
35-41
25-56
35-51
47-44
148.8Avg total
63.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)63.285.6148.8-22.311%
Season at home (2)68.071.0139.0-3.050%
Season away (7)61.989.7151.6-27.90%
Last 10 (10)63.984.9148.8-21.010%
Last 5 (5)67.686.0153.6-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.284.4151.6-17.214%
vs Similar (2)72.570.0142.5+2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -14.7-14.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -14.7-14.7
Missouri StateCentral Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#308
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
55-25
55
25
+30
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H04/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A09/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
37.5Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.267.7+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.930.865.8+4.167%-
Last 30 away (12)38.831.770.5+7.275%-
Last 10 (10)37.529.366.8+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)34.030.664.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.038.669.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (6)35.028.063.0+7.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.430.568.9+7.978%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#249
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A24/11
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
32.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.539.372.8-5.817%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.837.975.7-0.140%-
Last 30 away (20)31.340.071.3-8.75%-
Last 10 (10)32.138.470.5-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.873.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.239.873.0-6.514%-
vs Similar (2)36.533.069.5+3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
Central Arkansas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21HSouth Dakota St.75-63
11/12/21HOral Roberts69-60
09/12/21AUALR81-55
04/12/21HBrigham Young68-74
02/12/21AIllinois State74-79 OT
24/11/21HGeorge Washington72-54
24/11/21HEast Tennessee St76-77
23/11/21ALong Beach State92-66
18/11/21ASam Houston St.77-55
14/11/21HAlabama State78-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21AArkansas State82-95
02/12/21AArkansas60-97
26/11/21HPresbyterian66-75
25/11/21AVMI67-73
24/11/21ANew Orleans63-90
20/11/21HOral Roberts70-67
18/11/21ABaylor47-92
12/11/21AButler53-85
10/11/21ASt. Louis Billikens61-96
06/03/21ANorthwestern St.70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%57%75%
Points / game77.876.081.0
Allowed / game67.569.663.8
Point differential+10.4+6.4+17.2
Avg total145.3145.6144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%43%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %11%50%0%
Points / game63.268.061.9
Allowed / game85.671.089.7
Point differential-22.3-3.0-27.9
Avg total148.8139.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State1210283%75.969.1+6.8
2 Delaware129375%75.768.4+7.2
3 Middle Tenn. St.118373%77.564.8+12.7
4 Louisiana Tech118373%79.071.8+7.2
5 Western Kentucky128467%78.665.7+12.9
6 Liberty117464%69.755.3+14.5
7 Missouri State117464%77.867.5+10.4
8 UTEP106460%70.464.7+5.7
9 Jacksonville State105550%71.967.8+4.1
10 Sam Houston St.114736%73.966.0+7.9
11 Kennesaw State114736%76.472.1+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Gulf Coast129375%78.669.9+8.7
2 Jacksonville107370%67.454.1+13.3
3 North Alabama117464%75.457.3+18.1
4 Eastern Kentucky137654%83.272.5+10.7
5 Bellarmine136746%70.567.5+3.1
6 Lipscomb125742%74.980.8-5.8
7 Stetson104640%66.367.0-0.7
8 Austin Peay104640%69.271.6-2.4
9 North Florida134931%69.572.8-3.4
10 Central Arkansas91811%63.285.6-22.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State4561106
Central Arkansas304070
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