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Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 95-82
51-35 44-47
Position#101
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#294
Record1-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game60.9
Allowed / game84.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#197
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
53-92
53
92
-39
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
40-42
33-35
23-29
31-26
31-32
33-34
35-37
40-25
41-30
26-48
27-44
38-30
52-33
39-33
33-27
23-36
28-39
39-32
27-23
133.6Avg total
67.0Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.866.7135.5+2.267%
Season at home (4)72.062.0134.0+10.075%
Season away (2)62.576.0138.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)67.066.6133.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)66.469.0135.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.474.2133.6-14.820%
vs Similar (12)68.371.5139.8-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.765.5144.2+13.373%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#304
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H04/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A06/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
61-96
61
96
-35
A10/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
53-85
53
85
-32
A12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
47-92
47
92
-45
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A24/11
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
60-97
60
97
-37
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-29
45-42
31-40
39-39
32-43
29-53
30-38
23-47
20-43
27-49
38-21
32-46
33-35
30-55
32-35
35-38
35-37
31-38
35-41
25-56
147.0Avg total
64.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)60.984.4145.2-23.512%
Season at home (2)68.071.0139.0-3.050%
Season away (6)58.588.8147.3-30.30%
Last 10 (10)64.582.5147.0-18.020%
Last 5 (5)65.280.4145.6-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.284.1151.4-16.914%
vs Similar (2)72.570.0142.5+2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -14.7-14.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -14.7-14.7
Arkansas StateCentral Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#197
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
33.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.865.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.829.666.5+7.276%-
Last 30 away (13)29.434.764.1-5.323%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.066.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.868.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.238.267.4-9.020%-
vs Similar (12)30.230.660.8-0.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.331.169.4+7.273%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#304
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A24/11
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
32.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.638.972.5-5.320%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.837.975.7-0.140%-
Last 30 away (20)31.539.470.8-7.910%-
Last 10 (10)32.936.269.1-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.868.4+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.439.372.7-5.918%-
vs Similar (2)36.533.069.5+3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
Central Arkansas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HUMKC66-55
27/11/21HMorehead State51-75
20/11/21ASoutheast Missouri State72-60
16/11/21HCentral Baptist90-63
13/11/21AIllinois53-92
10/11/21HHarding81-55
06/03/21AGeorgia State68-71
05/03/21HGeorgia Southern62-58
27/02/21AUT Arlington56-64
27/02/21AUT Arlington71-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21AArkansas60-97
26/11/21HPresbyterian66-75
25/11/21AVMI67-73
24/11/21ANew Orleans63-90
20/11/21HOral Roberts70-67
18/11/21ABaylor47-92
12/11/21AButler53-85
10/11/21ASt. Louis Billikens61-96
06/03/21ANorthwestern St.70-79
04/03/21HSE Louisiana88-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game68.872.062.5
Allowed / game66.762.076.0
Point differential+2.2+10.0-13.5
Avg total135.5134.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %12%50%0%
Points / game60.968.058.5
Allowed / game84.471.088.8
Point differential-23.5-3.0-30.3
Avg total145.2139.0147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama97278%77.359.2+18.1
2 James Madison97278%79.264.2+15.0
3 Texas State75271%76.067.9+8.1
4 Coastal Carolina64267%73.766.3+7.3
5 Arkansas State64267%68.866.7+2.2
6 Troy85362%74.166.0+8.1
7 Georgia Southern74357%69.459.9+9.6
8 Georgia State74357%77.971.0+6.9
9 Marshall74357%82.776.6+6.1
10 Louisiana Lafayette74357%72.067.9+4.1
11 Appalachian State95456%70.357.9+12.4
12 Louisiana Monroe84450%80.478.4+2.0
13 Southern Miss84450%64.071.4-7.4
14 Old Dominion83538%61.965.1-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville64267%65.054.2+10.8
2 Florida Gulf Coast96367%79.071.3+7.7
3 Eastern Kentucky85362%82.870.2+12.5
4 Lipscomb85362%81.479.8+1.6
5 North Alabama74357%74.362.1+12.1
6 Austin Peay63350%68.072.2-4.2
7 Stetson62433%63.771.0-7.3
8 Bellarmine82625%63.574.2-10.8
9 North Florida92722%69.373.1-3.8
10 Central Arkansas81712%60.984.4-23.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State514495
Central Arkansas354782
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