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Missouri State vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-56
31-25 37-31
Position#334
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#115
Record7-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A14/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#381
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-29
47-32
33-32
42-43
34-37
44-31
35-30
36-31
26-29
38-35
24-36
31-39
33-42
39-25
40-36
37-44
27-34
51-57
23-24
38-25
150.1Avg total
76.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.673.3148.9+2.455%
Season at home (6)78.773.2151.8+5.567%
Season away (5)72.073.4145.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)76.773.4150.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)68.672.4141.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.077.7144.7-10.733%
vs Similar (17)73.474.5147.8-1.141%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.0153.5+9.5100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#309
W
94-53
94
53
+41
A09/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H14/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A17/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H30/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H06/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-28
47-25
37-34
54-52
30-27
34-32
32-37
44-42
30-28
37-23
43-21
38-27
33-42
43-42
28-28
32-43
27-31
56-35
30-33
28-27
140.7Avg total
75.0Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.964.0140.9+12.964%
Season at home (7)81.465.9147.3+15.671%
Season away (4)69.060.8129.8+8.250%
Last 10 (10)75.065.7140.7+9.360%
Last 5 (5)71.665.8137.4+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.876.2141.0-11.40%
vs Similar (14)75.473.9149.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)74.262.1136.3+12.180%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +6.5+6.5
Missouri StateUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A24/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#381
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H19/12
NCAA
64.7Avg total
31.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.535.467.9-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.235.567.7-3.336%-
Last 30 away (16)32.735.468.1-2.744%-
Last 10 (10)31.832.964.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.463.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.137.667.7-7.422%-
vs Similar (17)32.934.967.8-2.147%-
vs Weaker (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#309
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A09/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A17/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H30/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A08/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/12
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.7Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.666.3-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.935.167.1-3.233%-
Last 30 away (12)33.931.265.2+2.758%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.964.6+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.231.063.2+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.041.067.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (14)33.635.368.9-1.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.128.862.9+5.370%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
UC Santa Barbara wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HLincoln Mo.61-49
14/12/24AWashington State78-91
08/12/24HIndiana State77-80
01/12/24AOral Roberts72-67
26/11/24HSouth Dakota St.55-75
26/11/24ABoston College74-76 OT
24/11/24AHigh Point71-61
20/11/24HUT Arlington78-68
16/11/24HTulsa111-106 OT
12/11/24HMissouri Southern State90-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24ALoyola Marymount58-60
15/12/24HWisc. Green Bay83-66
08/12/24AUC Davis60-71
06/12/24HUC San Diego76-84
30/11/24HMiss. Valley St.81-48
27/11/24HEast. Washington67-51
21/11/24HUTEP76-79
17/11/24ASan Jose State64-59
14/11/24HFresno State91-86
09/11/24APortland94-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game75.678.772.0
Allowed / game73.373.273.4
Point differential+2.4+5.5-1.4
Avg total148.9151.8145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game76.981.469.0
Allowed / game64.065.960.8
Point differential+12.9+15.6+8.2
Avg total140.9147.3129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1312192%81.458.2+23.2
2 Louisiana Tech1311285%80.567.0+13.5
3 Middle Tenn. St.129375%80.870.2+10.7
4 Western Kentucky129375%82.073.2+8.8
5 UTEP129375%74.166.4+7.7
6 Jacksonville State127558%79.169.7+9.4
7 Kennesaw State127558%78.574.7+3.8
8 Delaware127558%78.274.8+3.3
9 Missouri State116555%75.673.3+2.4
10 New Mexico State126650%73.771.8+1.8
11 Sam Houston St.126650%78.779.3-0.7
12 Florida International125742%73.870.6+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego1311285%78.363.5+14.8
2 UC Irvine1210283%73.263.1+10.1
3 CS Northridge128467%80.971.8+9.2
4 Hawaii96367%74.770.0+4.7
5 UC Santa Barbara117464%76.964.0+12.9
6 UC Riverside138562%71.571.8-0.2
7 UC Davis127558%68.473.0-4.6
8 CSU Bakersfield136746%75.068.8+6.2
9 Cal Poly146843%83.985.7-1.8
10 Long Beach State135838%66.171.1-5.0
11 CS Fullerton124833%60.971.0-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State313768
UC Santa Barbara253156
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