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Boston College vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 76-74 (OT)
29-26 35-38 12-10
Position#298
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#334
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston College winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#246
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
60-66 OT
60
66
-6
A15/03
NCAA
Providence
#22
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A19/03
NIT
UNLV
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A25/03
NIT
Citadel
#361
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H05/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A08/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-32
0-0
34-33
0-0
40-28
0-0
36-27
0-0
35-29
0-0
22-28
0-0
31-30
0-0
31-27
0-0
37-37
0-0
33-42
0-0
37-28
0-0
32-32
0-0
20-33
0-0
35-47
0-0
46-41
0-0
26-28
0-0
38-31
0-0
44-30
0-0
43-24
0-0
39-28
135.3Avg total
70.9Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.064.4136.4+7.680%
Season at home (4)76.260.5136.8+15.8100%
Season away (1)55.080.0135.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)70.964.4135.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)72.064.4136.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.879.8146.7-13.017%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.469.4142.8+3.950%
vs Weaker (5)75.068.4143.4+6.6100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-46
40-47
36-33
38-42
36-31
33-28
27-14
33-21
31-34
28-41
36-39
29-33
43-29
47-32
33-32
42-43
34-37
44-31
35-30
36-31
146.0Avg total
75.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.073.6156.6+9.480%
Season at home (3)93.078.3171.3+14.7100%
Season away (2)68.066.5134.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)75.570.5146.0+5.060%
Last 5 (5)83.073.6156.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.676.4145.0-7.944%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.871.8143.6+0.044%
vs Weaker (4)78.869.5148.2+9.275%
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +2.1+2.1
Boston CollegeMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#246
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A15/03
NCAA
Providence
#22
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A19/03
NIT
UNLV
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/03
NIT
Citadel
#361
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H05/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H25/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
37.4Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.069.8-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.234.771.9+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)32.335.467.7-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.431.368.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.468.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.537.871.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.633.769.2+1.944%-
vs Weaker (5)34.037.671.6-3.620%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/11
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A24/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.567.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.733.866.5-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)33.235.168.3-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.567.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.469.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.937.168.0-6.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.134.167.2-0.956%-
vs Weaker (4)34.831.566.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boston College wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HOld Dominion82-52
19/11/24HLoyola Maryland82-61
16/11/24HTemple72-69
08/11/24AVCU Rams55-80
05/11/24HCitadel69-60
25/03/24AUNLV70-79
19/03/24AProvidence62-57
15/03/24AVirginia60-66 OT
14/03/24AClemson76-55
12/03/24HMiami (FL)81-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24AHigh Point71-61
20/11/24HUT Arlington78-68
16/11/24HTulsa111-106 OT
12/11/24HMissouri Southern State90-61
04/11/24AButler65-72
08/03/24AIndiana State59-75
07/03/24AMurray State60-35
03/03/24HIllinois (Chi.)69-59
29/02/24AIllinois State74-75
24/02/24ABelmont78-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston College
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game72.076.255.0
Allowed / game64.460.580.0
Point differential+7.6+15.8-25.0
Avg total136.4136.8135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game83.093.068.0
Allowed / game73.678.366.5
Point differential+9.4+14.7+1.5
Avg total156.6171.3134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State550100%82.663.0+19.6
2 Stanford660100%79.262.7+16.5
3 Pittsburgh76186%84.363.1+21.1
4 Florida State76186%77.465.0+12.4
5 Wake Forest76186%72.966.3+6.6
6 Clemson65183%79.063.0+16.0
7 California65183%79.773.8+5.8
8 Duke54180%84.657.4+27.2
9 Notre Dame54180%82.268.4+13.8
10 Boston College54180%72.064.4+7.6
11 North Carolina43175%93.273.0+20.2
12 Louisville43175%81.062.8+18.2
13 SMU Mustangs64267%89.772.8+16.8
14 Syracuse53260%80.879.6+1.2
15 Virginia53260%58.861.0-2.2
16 Miami (FL)63350%84.572.7+11.8
17 Virginia Tech63350%70.870.2+0.7
18 Georgia Tech52340%77.277.4-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech550100%87.067.8+19.2
2 Liberty76186%75.461.4+14.0
3 Kennesaw State65183%89.371.7+17.7
4 Missouri State54180%83.073.6+9.4
5 UTEP43175%79.869.5+10.2
6 Middle Tenn. St.75271%81.472.4+9.0
7 Western Kentucky53260%81.072.8+8.2
8 New Mexico State53260%73.869.6+4.2
9 Sam Houston St.53260%84.681.4+3.2
10 Jacksonville State74357%79.067.4+11.6
11 Delaware63350%78.879.0-0.2
12 Florida International72529%74.068.6+5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Boston College29351276
Missouri State26381074
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