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Mogi vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:10
Final 69-70
20-15 14-18 17-20 18-17
Position#8
Record14-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#14
Record7-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
45avg 67
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
50avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
71-56
71
56
+15
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
90-76
90
76
+14
80avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
63avg 67
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 67
H09/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
58avg 67
H11/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
18-23
14-24
8-13
14-26
12-18
17-21
18-20
15-18
9-24
20-18
22-21
12-20
22-11
16-14
21-11
34-24
14-19
25-16
17-17
25-7
16-16
11-18
15-19
16-14
22-29
18-19
19-19
17-19
14-28
24-10
14-13
27-20
19-12
22-20
20-24
16-15
13-10
19-17
19-19
144.0Avg total
71.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.169.4145.4+6.756%
Season at home (12)79.663.5143.1+16.175%
Season away (13)72.874.8147.6-1.938%
Last 10 (10)71.572.5144.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)73.269.6142.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.682.2152.8-11.711%
vs Similar (9)67.971.0138.9-3.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.964.7149.6+20.292%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 72
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
74avg 72
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 72
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
89avg 72
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 72
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
53avg 72
A14/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-18
19-14
30-14
21-22
19-21
26-18
14-32
21-17
15-23
23-10
20-25
11-18
24-20
22-21
20-26
19-24
21-12
16-19
30-23
17-23
21-17
27-19
18-36
27-26
22-18
24-22
18-32
27-20
26-19
17-25
19-17
19-25
17-17
16-18
25-20
9-26
19-29
20-24
19-16
166.3Avg total
81.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.685.8164.4-7.229%
Season at home (13)81.185.8166.9-4.838%
Season away (11)75.785.7161.5-10.018%
Last 10 (10)81.884.5166.3-2.740%
Last 5 (5)81.489.8171.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.390.1167.3-12.87%
vs Similar (5)75.282.8158.0-7.640%
vs Weaker (4)88.073.5161.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
MogiCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H11/02
NBB
72.8Avg total
35.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.875.2+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.433.374.7+8.179%-
Last 30 away (16)35.939.875.7-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.272.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.071.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.441.677.0-6.111%-
vs Similar (9)33.735.669.2-1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.334.178.4+10.283%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A14/02
NBB
80.9Avg total
39.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)37.844.081.8-6.125%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.944.082.9-5.123%-
Last 30 away (11)36.543.980.5-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.480.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.845.481.2-9.67%-
vs Similar (5)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
vs Weaker (4)42.538.881.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.014.0
46.7%
52.2%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.610.7
30.1%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.111.3
66.1%
72.8%11.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.3
51.3%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.918.0
78.6%
72.8%18.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WWLLWWWLLL
Cruzeiro
LLWLLWLWLW
#8
League position
#14
+0.1
Net rating
-3.6
87.9
Offensive rating
100.6
87.8
Defensive rating
104.1
45.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.1%
3-point %
33.2%
60.7%
Assist %
68.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 100.6Defence87.8 · 104.1Shooting45.8% · 50.7%3-point %30.1% · 33.2%Ball care17.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Mogi   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mogi wins
0
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Cruzeiro v Mogi84-103
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HUnifacisa67-61
09/02/26HCearense88-76
05/02/26ABotafogo69-70
22/01/26AFlamengo75-81
20/01/26AVasco67-60
10/01/26HMinas90-76
29/12/25HCaxias do Sul71-56
27/12/25APaulistano66-81
23/12/25AFranca61-85
19/12/25ASao Jose61-79
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AFranca67-95
06/02/26ABauru77-80
19/01/26HPato89-81
15/01/26ASao Jose91-98
10/01/26ACorinthians Paulista83-95
29/12/25ACearense86-78
27/12/25AUnifacisa77-85
23/12/25HVasco79-75
21/12/25HFlamengo80-93
16/12/25HBotafogo89-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game76.179.672.8
Allowed / game69.463.574.8
Point differential+6.7+16.1-1.9
Avg total145.4143.1147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLWLWW38%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %29%38%18%
Points / game78.681.175.7
Allowed / game85.885.885.7
Point differential-7.2-4.8-10.0
Avg total164.4166.9161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2621581%89.475.0+14.5
2 Pinheiros2621581%86.274.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2621581%87.176.7+10.4
4 Minas2519676%86.580.5+6.0
5 Brasilia2619773%81.571.4+10.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2618869%83.277.5+5.7
7 Sao Jose27171063%82.379.1+3.2
8 Paulistano26161062%80.776.6+4.1
9 Mogi25141156%76.169.4+6.7
10 Bauru27151256%78.978.1+0.8
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians26131350%79.081.5-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Rio Claro2581732%76.686.7-10.0
15 Cruzeiro2471729%78.685.8-7.2
16 Pato2671927%74.179.9-5.8
17 Botafogo2552020%72.082.8-10.8
18 Cearense2652119%77.587.9-10.4
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2742315%69.379.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi2014171869
Cruzeiro1518201770
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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