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Mogi vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 88-76
27-20 19-12 22-20 20-24
Position#8
Record12-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.4
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#19
Record5-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game87.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mogi v Cearense
04 Nov 2026
MOGI v CEAR
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MOGI88
CEAR76
02 Apr 2025
MOGI75
CEAR63
25 Oct 2023
MOGI63
CEAR65
03 Dec 2021
MOGI86
CEAR79
26 Feb 2021
MOGI84
CEAR94
27 Jan 2020
MOGI78
CEAR73
21 Apr 2019
MOGI73
CEAR71
19 Apr 2019
MOGI96
CEAR71
20 Oct 2018
MOGI100
CEAR72
09 Nov 2017
MOGI80
CEAR62
10 Dec 2016
MOGI92
CEAR75
24 Apr 2016
MOGI95
CEAR80
16 Apr 2016
MOGI67
CEAR64
14 Feb 2016
MOGI78
CEAR73
10 Feb 2015
MOGI80
CEAR84
29 Mar 2014
MOGI96
CEAR74
06 Apr 2013
MOGI80
CEAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
58-62
58
62
-4
47avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
44avg 67
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
45avg 67
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
50avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
71-56
71
56
+15
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
90-76
90
76
+14
80avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
63avg 67
A05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
18-9
9-13
12-15
15-16
16-9
13-20
13-23
21-19
18-23
14-24
8-13
14-26
12-18
17-21
18-20
15-18
9-24
20-18
22-21
12-20
22-11
16-14
21-11
34-24
14-19
25-16
17-17
25-7
16-16
11-18
15-19
16-14
22-29
18-19
19-19
17-19
14-28
24-10
14-13
139.3Avg total
67.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.069.4145.4+6.552%
Season at home (10)80.062.5142.5+17.570%
Season away (13)72.874.8147.6-1.938%
Last 10 (10)67.571.8139.3-4.330%
Last 5 (5)74.468.6143.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.682.2152.8-11.711%
vs Similar (10)69.472.3141.7-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.663.6148.3+21.091%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
62-95
62
95
-33
50avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
52-68
52
68
-16
39avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
64avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 68
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
73-78
73
78
-5
71avg 68
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 68
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 68
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 68
A07/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
12-20
16-24
13-17
19-18
7-20
12-15
14-15
18-24
28-16
18-33
17-26
24-19
12-21
19-16
23-30
11-21
20-23
27-20
23-24
20-10
18-25
24-14
11-29
26-22
24-21
15-20
21-19
15-23
18-14
22-19
11-15
28-25
13-25
22-25
19-22
19-26
18-16
18-28
21-26
159.7Avg total
73.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.687.9165.5-10.320%
Season at home (14)77.786.6164.3-8.921%
Season away (11)77.589.6167.1-12.218%
Last 10 (10)73.786.0159.7-12.310%
Last 5 (5)76.684.8161.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.987.9163.8-12.013%
vs Similar (7)80.379.6159.9+0.757%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
MogiCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A05/02
NBB
72.3Avg total
34.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.875.5+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.533.676.1+8.877%-
Last 30 away (17)35.739.375.0-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.472.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.475.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.441.677.0-6.111%-
vs Similar (10)35.435.470.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.234.378.5+9.982%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/02
NBB
79.4Avg total
37.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.281.6-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.541.980.4-3.535%-
Last 30 away (13)38.444.883.2-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)37.142.379.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.343.882.0-5.526%-
vs Similar (7)39.041.180.1-2.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.813.1
44.0%
52.2%26.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.410.2
29.7%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.59.9
63.9%
72.8%9.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.916.8
43.2%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.8
29.1%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.413.4
72.8%
72.8%13.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLWWWLLLLL
Cearense
LLLWLLLLLL
#8
League position
#19
-6.1
Net rating
-19.2
86.4
Offensive rating
85.1
92.5
Defensive rating
104.3
44.2%
Effective FG%
43.4%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.7%
3-point %
29.1%
61.4%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 85.1Defence92.5 · 104.3Shooting44.2% · 43.4%3-point %29.7% · 29.1%Ball care18.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 25.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Mogi   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mogi wins
5
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
10/11/25Cearense v Mogi76-80
02/04/25Mogi v Cearense75-63
06/12/24Cearense v Mogi76-69
24/01/24Cearense v Mogi93-75
25/10/23Mogi v Cearense63-65
04/03/22Cearense v Mogi82-75
03/12/21Mogi v Cearense86-79
26/02/21Mogi v Cearense84-94
14/12/20Cearense v Mogi85-88
27/01/20Mogi v Cearense78-73
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26ABotafogo69-70
22/01/26AFlamengo75-81
20/01/26AVasco67-60
10/01/26HMinas90-76
29/12/25HCaxias do Sul71-56
27/12/25APaulistano66-81
23/12/25AFranca61-85
19/12/25ASao Jose61-79
16/12/25HBrasilia57-68
12/12/25ABauru58-62
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ACorinthians Paulista76-96
04/02/26ASao Jose82-97
20/01/26HUnifacisa66-71
16/01/26HBotafogo86-82
13/01/26HVasco73-78
10/01/26HFlamengo81-88
29/12/25HCruzeiro78-86
27/12/25HMinas81-99
23/12/25ACaxias do Sul52-68
21/12/25AUniao Corinthians62-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %52%70%38%
Points / game76.080.072.8
Allowed / game69.462.574.8
Point differential+6.5+17.5-1.9
Avg total145.4142.5147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%70%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLLWL21%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %20%21%18%
Points / game77.677.777.5
Allowed / game87.986.689.6
Point differential-10.3-8.9-12.2
Avg total165.5164.3167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%7%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2420483%87.675.1+12.5
2 Flamengo2420483%87.476.3+11.1
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
5 Brasilia2619773%81.571.4+10.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2517868%83.277.6+5.7
7 Sao Jose2516964%83.179.4+3.8
8 Paulistano2415962%81.277.0+4.2
9 Unifacisa24131154%81.080.1+0.9
10 Mogi23121152%76.069.4+6.5
11 Bauru25131252%77.477.9-0.5
12 Uniao Corinthians24121250%79.882.3-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul24101442%72.277.8-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2371630%79.185.4-6.3
15 Rio Claro2471729%76.086.7-10.7
16 Pato2561924%73.480.4-7.1
17 Botafogo2451921%72.282.3-10.2
18 Cearense2552020%77.687.9-10.3
19 Vasco2542116%69.179.2-10.0
20 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi2719222088
Cearense2012202476
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