PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Botafogo vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 70-69
19-17 28-14 10-24 13-14
Position#16
Record4-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#8
Record12-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.4
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Mogi
05 Feb 2026
BOTA70
MOGI69
27 Dec 2024
BOTA97
MOGI85
05 Mar 2024
BOTA84
MOGI87
20 Dec 2019
BOTA69
MOGI79
01 Nov 2018
BOTA90
MOGI86
21 Nov 2017
BOTA65
MOGI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 63
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-84
61
84
-23
50avg 63
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
65-89
65
89
-24
45avg 63
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 63
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 63
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-104
71
104
-33
63avg 63
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 63
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 63
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 63
H21/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
20-20
22-19
16-21
15-21
18-20
16-26
12-17
19-18
18-22
14-19
14-30
23-28
17-24
22-14
26-29
25-21
16-25
13-20
10-11
21-16
13-32
20-27
17-29
24-21
8-23
17-12
19-21
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
26-18
18-20
23-30
22-12
158.2Avg total
73.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.382.9155.2-10.717%
Season at home (10)76.178.1154.2-2.040%
Season away (13)69.386.6155.9-17.30%
Last 10 (10)73.684.6158.2-11.010%
Last 5 (5)76.684.2160.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.986.0156.8-15.112%
vs Similar (6)78.876.8155.7+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 67
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
58-62
58
62
-4
47avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
44avg 67
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
45avg 67
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
50avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
71-56
71
56
+15
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
90-76
90
76
+14
80avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
12-27
27-14
14-22
19-25
18-9
9-13
12-15
15-16
16-9
13-20
13-23
21-19
18-23
14-24
8-13
14-26
12-18
17-21
18-20
15-18
9-24
20-18
22-21
12-20
22-11
16-14
21-11
34-24
14-19
25-16
17-17
25-7
16-16
11-18
15-19
16-14
22-29
18-19
19-19
140.7Avg total
67.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.369.4145.7+6.955%
Season at home (10)80.062.5142.5+17.570%
Season away (12)73.275.2148.3-2.042%
Last 10 (10)67.573.2140.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)73.870.8144.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.182.2152.3-12.110%
vs Similar (10)69.472.3141.7-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.263.0149.2+23.2100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
BotafogoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
NBB
81.1Avg total
37.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.842.579.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.838.978.8+0.954%-
Last 30 away (17)34.445.279.6-10.812%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.581.1-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.280.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.843.279.0-7.425%-
vs Similar (6)40.739.780.3+1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
NBB
72.1Avg total
34.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.675.4+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.1+8.071%-
Last 30 away (16)36.038.874.8-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.572.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.641.477.0-5.810%-
vs Similar (10)35.435.470.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.533.078.5+12.590%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.5
47.9%
52.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.6
29.1%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
72.8%12.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.212.9
42.7%
52.2%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.0
29.9%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.810.7
63.7%
72.8%10.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WLLLLLLLLL
Mogi
LWWWLLLLLL
#16
League position
#8
-17.5
Net rating
-8.3
92.8
Offensive rating
87.3
110.3
Defensive rating
95.6
46.2%
Effective FG%
43.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.1%
3-point %
29.9%
62.5%
Assist %
62.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 87.3Defence110.3 · 95.6Shooting46.2% · 43.8%3-point %29.1% · 29.9%Ball care16.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Botafogo wins
7
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Mogi v Botafogo87-45
27/12/24Botafogo v Mogi97-85
14/10/24Mogi v Botafogo70-72 OT
05/03/24Botafogo v Mogi84-87 OT
20/11/23Mogi v Botafogo86-81
06/03/20Mogi v Botafogo89-61
21/12/19Botafogo v Mogi69-79
16/03/19Mogi v Botafogo89-72
01/11/18Botafogo v Mogi90-86
22/01/18Mogi v Botafogo84-70
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HSao Jose89-80
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74
16/01/26ACearense82-86
13/01/26AUnifacisa68-77
29/12/25AFlamengo71-104
27/12/25APinheiros64-77
18/12/25AMinas88-95
16/12/25ACruzeiro65-89
13/12/25HUniao Corinthians61-84
08/12/25HCaxias do Sul75-80
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26AFlamengo75-81
20/01/26AVasco67-60
10/01/26HMinas90-76
29/12/25HCaxias do Sul71-56
27/12/25APaulistano66-81
23/12/25AFranca61-85
19/12/25ASao Jose61-79
16/12/25HBrasilia57-68
12/12/25ABauru58-62
10/12/25APinheiros69-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %17%40%0%
Points / game72.376.169.3
Allowed / game82.978.186.6
Point differential-10.7-2.0-17.3
Avg total155.2154.2155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%70%42%
Points / game76.380.073.2
Allowed / game69.462.575.2
Point differential+6.9+17.5-2.0
Avg total145.7142.5148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%70%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2420483%87.675.1+12.5
2 Flamengo2420483%87.476.3+11.1
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
5 Brasilia2518772%81.471.8+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Sao Jose2415962%83.079.4+3.5
8 Paulistano2314961%81.077.2+3.9
9 Unifacisa23131057%81.279.8+1.3
10 Mogi22121055%76.369.4+6.9
11 Bauru24121250%77.378.0-0.7
12 Uniao Corinthians24121250%79.882.3-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul24101442%72.277.8-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2271532%79.285.6-6.4
15 Rio Claro2471729%76.086.7-10.7
16 Pato2561924%73.480.4-7.1
17 Cearense2451921%77.787.6-9.9
18 Botafogo2341917%72.382.9-10.7
19 Vasco2442017%69.579.0-9.5
20 Osasco2442017%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1928101370
Mogi1714241469
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.