PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monaco vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-79
24-17 25-29 19-14 21-19
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game83.6
Monaco 🏆
France
vs
Position#5
Record12-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game85.0
FranceLNBRound 21· Salle Gaston Medecin
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Monaco v Cholet
07 Mar 2026
MCO89
CHO79
20 Oct 2024
MCO89
CHO72
05 May 2024
MCO66
CHO79
30 Apr 2023
MCO94
CHO86
14 Nov 2021
MCO102
CHO59
29 Mar 2021
MCO76
CHO97
28 Mar 2020
MCO v CHO
upcoming
04 Mar 2019
MCO88
CHO67
14 Oct 2017
MCO86
CHO62
21 Nov 2016
MCO93
CHO68
10 May 2016
MCO91
CHO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 90
H30/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
113-86
113
86
+27
119avg 90
H01/02
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 90
A03/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 90
A05/02
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 90
A08/02
LNB
Baskonia
#18
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 90
H13/02
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 90
A15/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 90
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 90
H26/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
70-88
70
88
-18
64avg 90
A05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
21-22
14-18
17-22
26-19
27-21
29-21
31-25
18-35
20-21
22-20
27-28
23-24
16-24
24-20
19-23
17-14
28-20
24-21
23-23
29-24
17-26
28-23
28-19
17-24
28-14
23-18
13-20
22-18
24-24
25-23
27-30
17-30
23-19
23-19
23-23
15-20
21-24
16-22
18-22
177.8Avg total
89.3Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)95.483.6179.0+11.890%
Season at home (9)97.688.0185.6+9.678%
Season away (11)93.680.0173.6+13.6100%
Last 10 (10)89.388.5177.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)87.488.4175.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.095.0193.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (13)92.391.6183.9+0.754%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.782.1176.8+12.780%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
84avg 84
A26/12
LNB
Tofas
#27
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 84
A06/01
Champions League
Tofas
#27
W
105-86
105
86
+19
110avg 84
H09/01
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
83avg 84
A11/01
LNB
Tofas
#27
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A14/01
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
96avg 84
H17/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
65avg 84
A24/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
102-96
102
96
+6
98avg 84
H31/01
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
67avg 84
A08/02
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 84
H13/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
26-18
22-16
23-22
18-26
22-18
12-18
23-27
25-16
28-20
24-24
28-26
24-20
16-16
20-24
24-24
15-23
18-19
19-20
30-22
26-20
19-17
26-16
22-27
23-32
19-21
11-16
24-18
17-26
26-22
33-20
26-28
14-23
18-11
22-21
24-15
25-15
13-30
22-27
31-13
175.3Avg total
89.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.885.0170.9+0.860%
Season at home (10)88.784.0172.7+4.770%
Season away (10)83.086.1169.1-3.150%
Last 10 (10)89.585.8175.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)88.283.6171.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.693.4174.0-12.820%
vs Similar (8)85.282.6167.9+2.650%
vs Weaker (16)89.684.8174.3+4.869%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
MonacoCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H01/02
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A03/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A05/02
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A08/02
LNB
Baskonia
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/02
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A15/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H26/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A05/03
Euroleague
88.4Avg total
43.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.342.890.1+4.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.044.094.0+6.080%-
Last 30 away (15)44.741.586.2+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.588.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.687.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.042.088.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (13)44.644.088.6+0.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.640.789.3+7.980%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A26/12
LNB
Tofas
#27
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/01
Champions League
Tofas
#27
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H09/01
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A11/01
LNB
Tofas
#27
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A14/01
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A24/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/01
LNB
Limoges
#13
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A08/02
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H13/02
LNB
83.6Avg total
41.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.286.0-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.542.588.0+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)40.543.884.3-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.183.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.483.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.051.492.4-10.40%-
vs Similar (8)44.443.487.8+1.062%-
vs Weaker (16)42.640.382.9+2.350%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.619.5
61.7%
54.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
34.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.7%
75.1%16.0
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.9
50.0%
54.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.4%
34.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws29.422.1
75.2%
75.1%22.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LLWWWWLLWL
Cholet
WWWLWLWWLW
#1
League position
#5
+3.9
Net rating
-4.0
93.0
Offensive rating
100.0
89.1
Defensive rating
104.0
58.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.46
35.8%
3-point %
32.4%
74.6%
Assist %
66.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 100.0Defence89.1 · 104.0Shooting58.1% · 49.4%3-point %35.8% · 32.4%Ball care14.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds- · 29.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Monaco   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Monaco wins
3
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Cholet v Monaco72-95
02/03/25Cholet v Monaco84-95
20/10/24Monaco v Cholet89-72
05/05/24Monaco v Cholet66-79
08/10/23Cholet v Monaco69-75
30/04/23Monaco v Cholet94-86
15/01/23Cholet v Monaco88-89
17/05/22Cholet v Monaco92-85
14/11/21Monaco v Cholet102-59
29/03/21Monaco v Cholet76-97
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AFenerbahce70-88
26/02/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-91
17/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-95
15/02/26ANanterre81-76
13/02/26HBaskonia102-92
08/02/26AChalon/Saone92-78
05/02/26ABayern82-91
03/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas87-104
01/02/26HLe Portel113-86
30/01/26HVirtus Bologna82-84
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HGravelines-Dunkerque91-85
08/02/26ALimoges78-70
31/01/26HJL Bourg102-96
24/01/26AChalon/Saone77-87
17/01/26HSaint Quentin93-80
14/01/26ATofas82-84
11/01/26AGravelines-Dunkerque98-97 OT
09/01/26HTofas105-86
06/01/26ATofas75-89
26/12/25ALe Portel94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %90%78%100%
Points / game95.497.693.6
Allowed / game83.688.080.0
Point differential+11.8+9.6+13.6
Avg total179.0185.6173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%44%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Cholet
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game85.888.783.0
Allowed / game85.084.086.1
Point differential+0.8+4.7-3.1
Avg total170.9172.7169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2018290%95.483.6+11.8
2 Paris2015575%100.083.2+16.9
3 Nanterre2115671%87.281.7+5.5
4 Strasbourg2014670%84.683.2+1.4
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne2013765%88.879.8+9.0
6 Le Mans2113862%88.485.0+3.4
7 JL Bourg2012860%86.583.5+3.0
8 Cholet2012860%85.885.0+0.8
9 Dijon2191243%88.088.2-0.2
10 Chalon/Saone2191243%83.387.3-4.0
11 Nancy2181338%85.188.0-2.9
12 Boulazac2071335%81.583.5-2.0
13 Limoges2071335%83.989.0-5.1
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque2061430%81.589.9-8.4
15 Saint Quentin2141719%78.486.4-8.0
16 Le Portel201195%75.496.3-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2425192189
Cholet1729141979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.