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Cholet vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 105-86
25-16 28-20 24-24 28-26
Position#23
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game87.6
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#27
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· La Meilleraie
European cup2025
Meetings · Cholet v Tofas
09 Jan 2026
CHO105
TOF86
06 Mar 2024
CHO77
TOF74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#35
W
109-77
109
77
+32
105avg 86
H19/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 86
A22/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
85-93
85
93
-8
78avg 86
A03/12
French Cup
Limoges
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 86
H06/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
52avg 86
A14/12
LNB
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 86
H17/12
Champions League
Paris
#2
L
84-107
84
107
-23
73avg 86
A21/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
63avg 86
H23/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
84avg 86
A26/12
LNB
Tofas
#27
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 86
A06/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
30-20
22-26
23-11
16-24
10-10
20-22
22-21
20-26
23-21
17-29
25-17
27-22
19-27
20-15
25-24
26-22
20-25
25-21
16-17
14-28
28-16
22-20
23-25
23-29
25-26
15-24
21-28
14-35
20-23
19-20
19-17
23-28
26-18
22-16
23-22
18-26
22-18
12-18
23-27
173.6Avg total
85.2Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.787.6175.3+0.143%
Season at home (3)96.089.7185.7+6.333%
Season away (4)81.586.0167.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)85.288.4173.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.492.8175.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.693.4174.0-12.820%
vs Similar (10)82.784.7167.4-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.683.1170.7+4.464%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 82
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 82
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
89avg 82
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 82
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 82
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
101avg 82
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
92-82
92
82
+10
83avg 82
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
94avg 82
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 82
H06/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
18-22
13-24
24-16
22-22
25-25
12-13
27-19
19-26
24-20
24-21
20-25
20-18
22-24
23-18
16-22
14-21
16-12
29-8
21-21
18-28
24-18
20-19
22-19
13-19
22-14
15-21
22-19
17-22
20-22
25-24
30-14
37-28
13-21
18-15
24-28
26-18
18-22
18-12
27-23
168.2Avg total
85.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.483.7167.1-0.357%
Season at home (4)85.583.8169.2+1.875%
Season away (3)80.783.7164.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)85.982.3168.2+3.650%
Last 5 (5)90.686.0176.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.778.9159.6+1.856%
vs Similar (15)82.684.9167.5-2.333%
vs Weaker (6)91.280.0171.2+11.283%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
CholetTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#35
W
64-40
64
40
+24
H19/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A22/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A03/12
French Cup
Limoges
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/12
LNB
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/12
Champions League
Paris
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A21/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
34-58
34
58
-24
H23/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A26/12
LNB
Tofas
#27
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/01
Champions League
90.2Avg total
43.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.586.0-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.642.586.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.544.385.8-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.490.2-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.649.492.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.051.492.4-10.40%-
vs Similar (10)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.141.185.1+3.057%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/01
Champions League
82.3Avg total
40.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.182.4+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.339.783.0+3.659%-
Last 30 away (13)40.940.681.5+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.882.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.484.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.739.180.8+2.656%-
vs Similar (15)40.540.981.4-0.327%-
vs Weaker (6)47.539.787.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.5
47.3%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
33.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.919.1
73.7%
74.1%19.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.5
54.8%
52.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.2
35.2%
33.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.016.3
67.9%
74.1%16.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LWLLLWWLLW
Tofas
WLWLWWLLWL
#23
League position
#27
-3.7
Net rating
+4.7
106.6
Offensive rating
110.0
110.3
Defensive rating
105.3
48.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.2%
3-point %
35.2%
66.7%
Assist %
72.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 110.0Defence110.3 · 105.3Shooting48.3% · 54.0%3-point %33.2% · 35.2%Ball care16.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 27.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cholet   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cholet wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
06/01/26Tofas v Cholet89-75
06/03/24Cholet v Tofas77-74
07/02/24Tofas v Cholet84-71
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26ATofas75-89
26/12/25ALe Portel94-84
23/12/25HMonaco72-95
21/12/25AParis84-107
17/12/25HJoventut Badalona87-89
14/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne87-85
06/12/25HLimoges91-88
03/12/25AStrasbourg85-93
22/11/25ASaint Quentin68-77
19/11/25HBursaspor109-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26HCholet89-75
02/01/26AKarsiyaka101-107 OT
26/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.92-82
20/12/25ABesiktas72-73
16/12/25HTrapani99-93 OT
13/12/25HManisa80-62
09/12/25ABnei Herzliya81-82
05/12/25ATrabzonspor87-92
23/11/25HAnadolu Efes86-79
16/11/25AMerkezefendi72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game87.796.081.5
Allowed / game87.689.786.0
Point differential+0.1+6.3-4.5
Avg total175.3185.7167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Tofas
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game83.485.580.7
Allowed / game83.783.883.7
Point differential-0.3+1.8-3.0
Avg total167.1169.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%95.872.5+23.3
2 Gran Canaria660100%86.370.8+15.5
3 Joventut Badalona660100%88.575.8+12.7
4 Chalon/Saone1110191%93.483.6+9.7
5 Alba Berlin65183%91.580.5+11.0
6 AEK Athens65183%82.371.8+10.5
7 Galatasaray65183%89.079.0+10.0
8 Tenerife64267%86.579.0+7.5
9 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
10 Rytas64267%94.089.0+5.0
11 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
12 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
13 Levice117464%80.078.7+1.3
14 Wurzburg85362%80.475.0+5.4
15 Hapoel Holon74357%81.375.1+6.1
16 Tofas74357%83.483.7-0.3
17 Le Mans84450%86.176.0+10.1
18 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
19 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
20 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
21 Szolnoki Olaj84450%75.275.1+0.1
22 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
23 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
24 AS Karditsas84450%79.284.5-5.2
25 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
26 Mersin SK84450%80.088.6-8.6
27 Cholet73443%87.787.6+0.1
28 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
29 Trieste83538%82.983.8-0.9
30 Spartak Subotica83538%78.279.4-1.1
31 Nymburk83538%82.885.0-2.2
32 Heidelberg83538%79.582.1-2.6
33 Promitheas83538%80.186.5-6.4
34 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
35 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
36 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet25282428105
Tofas1620242686
← all games of the day
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