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Tofas vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-75
26-18 18-22 18-12 27-23
Position#27
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game85.2
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#23
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2025
Meetings · Tofas v Cholet
14 Jan 2026
TOF84
CHO82
06 Jan 2026
TOF89
CHO75
07 Feb 2024
TOF84
CHO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 82
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 82
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 82
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
89avg 82
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 82
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 82
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
101avg 82
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
92-82
92
82
+10
83avg 82
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
94avg 82
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
16-21
10-20
22-21
17-16
18-22
13-24
24-16
22-22
25-25
12-13
27-19
19-26
24-20
24-21
20-25
20-18
22-24
23-18
16-22
14-21
16-12
29-8
21-21
18-28
24-18
20-19
22-19
13-19
22-14
15-21
22-19
17-22
20-22
25-24
30-14
37-28
13-21
18-15
24-28
166.8Avg total
84.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.585.2167.7-2.750%
Season at home (3)84.386.7171.0-2.367%
Season away (3)80.783.7164.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.082.8166.8+1.240%
Last 5 (5)88.883.4172.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.881.3160.1-2.644%
vs Similar (15)82.684.9167.5-2.333%
vs Weaker (6)91.280.0171.2+11.283%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 87
H14/11
LNB
Bursaspor
#35
W
109-77
109
77
+32
105avg 87
H19/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 87
A22/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
85-93
85
93
-8
78avg 87
A03/12
French Cup
Limoges
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 87
H06/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
52avg 87
A14/12
LNB
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 87
H17/12
Champions League
Paris
#2
L
84-107
84
107
-23
73avg 87
A21/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
63avg 87
H23/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
84avg 87
A26/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
22-14
13-29
16-17
34-20
30-20
22-26
23-11
16-24
10-10
20-22
22-21
20-26
23-21
17-29
25-17
27-22
19-27
20-15
25-24
26-22
20-25
25-21
16-17
14-28
28-16
22-20
23-25
23-29
25-26
15-24
21-28
14-35
20-23
19-20
19-17
23-28
26-18
22-16
23-22
172.6Avg total
85.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.887.3177.2+2.550%
Season at home (3)96.089.7185.7+6.333%
Season away (3)83.785.0168.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)85.387.3172.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)84.892.0176.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.693.4174.0-12.820%
vs Similar (11)81.786.5168.3-4.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.582.7171.2+5.869%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
TofasCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.6Avg total
39.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.482.4+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.239.782.9+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.181.7-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.781.6-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.840.080.8+0.844%-
vs Similar (15)40.540.981.4-0.327%-
vs Weaker (6)47.539.787.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/11
LNB
Bursaspor
#35
W
64-40
64
40
+24
H19/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A22/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A03/12
French Cup
Limoges
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/12
LNB
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/12
Champions League
Paris
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A21/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
34-58
34
58
-24
H23/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A26/12
LNB
89.7Avg total
44.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.786.1-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.642.586.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.244.886.0-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.289.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.850.093.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.051.492.4-10.40%-
vs Similar (11)40.543.383.8-2.745%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.440.885.2+3.562%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.6
52.5%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
33.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.517.4
68.2%
74.1%17.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.0
48.6%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
33.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.019.4
74.6%
74.1%19.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLWWLLWLL
Cholet
WLLLWWLLWL
#27
League position
#23
+1.3
Net rating
-2.4
108.3
Offensive rating
107.5
107.0
Defensive rating
109.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.3%
3-point %
34.0%
72.5%
Assist %
65.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 107.5Defence107.0 · 109.9Shooting52.7% · 49.5%3-point %35.3% · 34.0%Ball care16.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
1
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Cholet v Tofas77-74
07/02/24Tofas v Cholet84-71
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26AKarsiyaka101-107 OT
26/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.92-82
20/12/25ABesiktas72-73
16/12/25HTrapani99-93 OT
13/12/25HManisa80-62
09/12/25ABnei Herzliya81-82
05/12/25ATrabzonspor87-92
23/11/25HAnadolu Efes86-79
16/11/25AMerkezefendi72-78
11/11/25ATenerife70-80
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25ALe Portel94-84
23/12/25HMonaco72-95
21/12/25AParis84-107
17/12/25HJoventut Badalona87-89
14/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne87-85
06/12/25HLimoges91-88
03/12/25AStrasbourg85-93
22/11/25ASaint Quentin68-77
19/11/25HBursaspor109-77
14/11/25HNanterre76-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.584.380.7
Allowed / game85.286.783.7
Point differential-2.7-2.3-3.0
Avg total167.7171.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Cholet
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game89.896.083.7
Allowed / game87.389.785.0
Point differential+2.5+6.3-1.3
Avg total177.2185.7168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%95.872.5+23.3
2 Gran Canaria660100%86.370.8+15.5
3 Joventut Badalona660100%88.575.8+12.7
4 Chalon/Saone98189%93.684.4+9.1
5 Alba Berlin65183%91.580.5+11.0
6 AEK Athens65183%82.371.8+10.5
7 Galatasaray65183%89.079.0+10.0
8 Levice107370%82.479.2+3.2
9 Tenerife64267%86.579.0+7.5
10 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
11 Rytas64267%94.089.0+5.0
12 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
13 Mersin SK64267%82.084.0-2.0
14 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
15 Hapoel Holon74357%81.375.1+6.1
16 Wurzburg74357%81.377.7+3.6
17 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
18 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
19 Cholet63350%89.887.3+2.5
20 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
21 Szolnoki Olaj63350%75.273.2+2.0
22 Spartak Subotica63350%78.277.0+1.2
23 Heidelberg63350%83.784.5-0.8
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
25 Tofas63350%82.585.2-2.7
26 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
27 Promitheas63350%80.284.5-4.3
28 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
29 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
30 Le Mans62433%80.776.7+4.0
31 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
32 Trieste62433%83.586.5-3.0
33 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
34 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
35 AS Karditsas62433%76.886.5-9.7
36 Nymburk61517%85.391.0-5.7
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2618182789
Cholet1822122375
← all games of the day
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