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Monferrato vs JuVi Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-74
17-16 15-20 14-9 20-29
Position#24
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#17
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game83.2
ItalySerie A2Round 7· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Meetings · Monferrato v JuVi Cremona
01 Nov 2023
MONF66
JUVI74
04 Dec 2022
MONF80
JUVI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JuVi Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#26
W
78-72 OT
78
72
+6
no box
A28/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
A30/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H03/06
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
H05/06
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 72
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
83avg 72
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 72
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-74
76
74
+2
64avg 72
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 72
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
79-88
79
88
-9
64avg 72
A29/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
9-10
17-16
12-19
15-12
21-17
9-26
23-23
24-18
27-21
20-12
18-23
15-9
24-13
25-21
22-27
21-23
17-19
17-17
23-20
23-32
28-16
17-21
17-22
23-22
15-20
25-22
14-14
15-16
21-25
18-18
22-15
22-17
19-26
23-19
33-30
15-16
22-24
20-17
22-31
160.9Avg total
81.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.083.7165.7-1.733%
Season at home (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
Season away (3)80.385.7166.0-5.30%
Last 10 (10)81.379.6160.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.884.6167.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.681.6159.2-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (23)78.478.5157.0-0.139%
vs Weaker (2)75.582.5158.0-7.00%
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#27
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
H29/04
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
64-51
64
51
+13
no box
A07/05
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
H14/05
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
88avg 84
H30/09
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 84
A07/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
101-77
101
77
+24
102avg 84
H11/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 84
A15/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
99-76
99
76
+23
95avg 84
H23/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 84
A29/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
20-18
28-14
15-16
12-12
17-10
15-12
20-17
17-19
21-7
14-13
18-21
17-31
14-26
21-20
15-15
27-25
19-21
25-23
16-21
28-24
17-17
19-27
27-21
24-21
29-24
22-16
26-16
19-22
20-23
20-20
16-17
32-10
26-28
23-20
18-18
27-20
15-27
13-17
21-21
158.0Avg total
81.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.283.2171.3+5.050%
Season at home (3)95.781.0176.7+14.767%
Season away (3)80.785.3166.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)81.376.7158.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.481.8170.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.476.6157.1+3.861%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
MonferratoJuVi Cremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#26
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A30/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H03/06
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/06
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
40.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.976.8+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.175.2+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.778.3+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.577.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.883.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.640.681.2+0.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.837.075.8+1.957%-
vs Weaker (2)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#27
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H29/04
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A07/05
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H14/05
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A21/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/09
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A07/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H23/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
82.3Avg total
42.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.480.0-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.878.2+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.943.681.6-5.719%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.282.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.443.290.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.444.881.2-8.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.139.179.2+1.156%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.3
48.4%
50.3%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.8
36.5%
34.1%32.5
🏀 Free throws20.013.8
69.2%
74.2%13.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JuVi Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JuVi Cremona: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
50.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.8
36.9%
34.1%29.5
🏀 Free throws23.519.7
83.7%
74.2%19.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LWWLLLWWLW
JuVi Cremona
LWLWWLLWWW
#24
League position
#17
-2.2
Net rating
+6.6
105.8
Offensive rating
115.8
108.0
Defensive rating
109.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.5%
3-point %
36.9%
59.2%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 115.8Defence108.0 · 109.2Shooting51.3% · 55.9%3-point %36.5% · 36.9%Ball care13.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds20.4% · 30.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Monferrato   ■ JuVi Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monferrato wins
1
JuVi Cremona wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23JuVi Cremona v Monferrato72-84
04/12/22Monferrato v JuVi Cremona80-84 OT
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ATreviglio79-88
21/10/23HSebastiani Rieti97-92
14/10/23HAgrigento76-74
11/10/23AVigevano77-78
07/10/23ATrapani85-91
01/10/23HLuiss Roma78-79
05/06/23HChieti Basket86-70
03/06/23HChieti Basket89-74
30/05/23AChieti Basket68-78
28/05/23AChieti Basket78-72 OT
JuVi Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
23/10/23HVigevano99-76
15/10/23ATrapani75-82
11/10/23HLuiss Roma101-77
07/10/23ALatina91-89
30/09/23HCantu87-90
21/05/23ASan Severo67-92
14/05/23HMantova70-60
07/05/23AChieti Basket64-51
29/04/23HRavenna83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game82.083.780.3
Allowed / game83.781.785.7
Point differential-1.7+2.0-5.3
Avg total165.7165.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
JuVi Cremona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game88.295.780.7
Allowed / game83.281.085.3
Point differential+5.0+14.7-4.7
Avg total171.3176.7166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna660100%82.868.2+14.7
2 Cantu65183%93.381.0+12.3
3 Forli65183%80.369.7+10.7
4 Basket Torino65183%83.775.7+8.0
5 Udine65183%84.276.3+7.8
6 Trapani65183%89.383.2+6.2
7 Verona64267%75.271.5+3.7
8 Treviglio64267%82.383.5-1.2
9 Sebastiani Rieti74357%85.680.7+4.9
10 Urania Milano74357%86.384.6+1.7
11 JuVi Cremona63350%88.283.2+5.0
12 Assigeco Piacenza63350%81.378.8+2.5
13 Trieste63350%79.280.2-1.0
14 Nardo73443%79.687.0-7.4
15 Cividale62433%74.775.7-1.0
16 Agrigento62433%70.872.5-1.7
17 Monferrato62433%82.083.7-1.7
18 Rimini62433%73.575.5-2.0
19 Cento62433%73.780.0-6.3
20 Luiss Roma62433%74.284.5-10.3
21 Vigevano61517%79.389.3-10.0
22 Chiusi61517%59.273.2-14.0
23 Orzinuovi71614%74.780.1-5.4
24 Latina6060%77.291.5-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato1715142066
JuVi Cremona162092974
← all games of the day
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