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Montana vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 71-82
37-38 34-44
Position#186
Record14-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#144
Record14-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana v Montana State
14 Feb 2026
MONT71
MONT82
25 Jan 2025
MONT77
MONT70
13 Mar 2024
MONT70
MONT85
17 Feb 2024
MONT88
MONT69
21 Jan 2023
MONT64
MONT67
27 Feb 2022
MONT80
MONT74
01 Feb 2020
MONT78
MONT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A09/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-30
35-43
33-28
32-38
31-32
36-44
50-36
48-36
36-43
45-22
35-30
34-30
33-28
31-32
32-49
47-37
36-34
38-48
19-29
54-39
145.7Avg total
74.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.773.0151.6+5.756%
Season at home (14)80.868.0148.8+12.864%
Season away (11)76.079.3155.3-3.345%
Last 10 (10)74.970.8145.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)71.871.2143.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.885.8158.6-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.075.4151.4+0.657%
vs Weaker (8)85.166.5151.6+18.688%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-23
49-41
48-30
41-62
32-31
44-36
36-27
37-41
38-34
36-28
45-42
46-46
38-45
42-38
21-23
33-40
36-26
37-40
34-37
37-35
147.4Avg total
74.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.670.7148.3+6.956%
Season at home (12)83.866.7150.4+17.183%
Season away (13)71.974.5146.4-2.531%
Last 10 (10)74.972.5147.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)73.874.4148.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.074.8139.8-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.170.7145.8+4.464%
vs Weaker (14)78.668.4147.0+10.157%
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -0.5-0.5
MontanaMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A09/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H07/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.368.6+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.330.165.4+5.247%-
Last 30 away (13)35.337.572.8-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.968.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.065.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.440.072.4-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.233.466.6-0.243%-
vs Weaker (8)39.232.571.8+6.862%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.968.6+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.531.673.2+9.985%-
Last 30 away (17)33.132.165.1+1.035%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.866.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.669.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.034.863.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.431.267.5+5.273%-
vs Weaker (14)38.632.471.0+6.150%-
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Montana wins
5
Montana State wins
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HIdaho73-68
06/02/26HEast. Washington74-82
01/02/26ASacramento State79-86
30/01/26APortland State64-60
24/01/26HIdaho State69-60
23/01/26HWeber State81-65
20/01/26ANorthern Arizona98-72
18/01/26AMontana State67-76
10/01/26AEast. Washington65-66
09/01/26AIdaho79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HEast. Washington71-72
06/02/26HIdaho73-66
31/01/26APortland State54-63
30/01/26ASacramento State80-83
25/01/26HWeber State91-88
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67
10/01/26AIdaho89-92
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%64%45%
Points / game78.780.876.0
Allowed / game73.068.079.3
Point differential+5.7+12.8-3.3
Avg total151.6148.8155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%83%31%
Points / game77.683.871.9
Allowed / game70.766.774.5
Point differential+6.9+17.1-2.5
Avg total148.3150.4146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2417771%77.869.8+8.0
2 Northern Colorado27171063%83.076.7+6.3
3 Montana State25141156%77.670.7+6.9
4 Montana25141156%78.773.0+5.7
5 Idaho26141254%79.573.7+5.8
6 Weber State27131448%81.677.1+4.4
7 Idaho State27101737%74.376.0-1.7
8 Northern Arizona27101737%72.676.0-3.4
9 Sacramento State2591636%78.982.3-3.4
10 East. Washington2691735%77.180.1-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana373471
Montana State384482
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