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Montana vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 62-73
32-26 30-47
Position#159
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#115
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game62.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A10/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A09/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
34-48
44-28
30-54
44-33
36-41
27-34
39-41
28-29
43-43
25-30
31-38
19-45
44-46
37-49
27-37
43-28
35-31
25-25
37-26
143.0Avg total
69.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.871.8138.5-5.050%
Season at home (2)70.055.0125.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)63.588.5152.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)69.074.0143.0-5.030%
Last 5 (5)64.671.0135.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)64.086.0150.0-22.00%
vs Similar (18)69.672.6142.2-2.950%
vs Weaker (10)74.363.1137.4+11.260%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#272
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H26/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-24
0-0
31-29
0-0
25-29
0-0
36-37
0-0
37-26
0-0
32-36
0-0
24-29
0-0
33-37
0-0
27-48
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-31
0-0
53-36
0-0
59-22
0-0
37-20
0-0
32-25
0-0
47-47
0-0
38-29
0-0
35-25
0-0
38-36
0-0
38-42
136.9Avg total
72.7Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.262.6144.8+19.680%
Season at home (3)85.354.3139.7+31.0100%
Season away (2)77.575.0152.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)72.764.2136.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)82.262.6144.8+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar (14)67.365.5132.8+1.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)69.762.7132.4+7.080%
This opponent (Montana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
MontanaTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A25/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A09/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H18/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H19/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
33.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.067.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.529.066.5+8.567%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.167.6-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.566.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.835.465.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (18)32.933.466.3-0.650%-
vs Weaker (10)36.328.664.9+7.770%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#272
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H26/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/11
NCAA
64.1Avg total
34.2Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.229.763.9+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.227.161.2+7.156%-
Last 30 away (14)34.332.767.0+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)34.229.964.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.228.668.8+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (14)31.930.662.4+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.028.463.4+6.660%-
This opponent (Montana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Montana wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HMerrimack Warriors62-51
18/11/22HSt. Thomas (Minn.)78-59
12/11/22AXavier64-86
09/11/22ADuquesne63-91
10/03/22AWeber State56-68
06/03/22HSacramento State71-72
04/03/22HNorthern Colorado66-75
27/02/22HMontana State80-74
25/02/22ASouthern Utah74-82
18/02/22AIdaho76-82
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-78
17/11/22HMerrimack Warriors73-54
15/11/22AFlorida State79-72
11/11/22HMUW Owls96-42
08/11/22HMontevallo87-67
20/03/22AAbilene Christian70-82
06/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette57-66
05/03/22HUALR69-62
26/02/22HTexas State61-66
24/02/22HUT Arlington59-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game66.870.063.5
Allowed / game71.855.088.5
Point differential-5.0+15.0-25.0
Avg total138.5125.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game82.285.377.5
Allowed / game62.654.375.0
Point differential+19.6+31.0+2.5
Avg total144.8139.7152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sacramento State43175%61.560.8+0.8
2 Montana State42250%70.265.5+4.8
3 Montana42250%66.871.8-5.0
4 Northern Arizona52340%72.066.6+5.4
5 Portland State31233%91.773.7+18.0
6 Weber State31233%62.371.0-8.7
7 Idaho State41325%70.064.0+6.0
8 East. Washington41325%60.870.2-9.5
9 Northern Colorado41325%61.883.8-22.0
10 Idaho51420%74.265.6+8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%105.256.8+48.5
2 Louisiana Lafayette440100%89.070.2+18.8
3 Southern Miss440100%74.256.0+18.2
4 Troy54180%82.262.6+19.6
5 Marshall43175%88.571.0+17.5
6 Coastal Carolina32167%95.056.3+38.7
7 Appalachian State53260%81.468.4+13.0
8 Old Dominion53260%73.669.2+4.4
9 Georgia State53260%67.263.2+4.0
10 Louisiana Monroe42250%82.574.2+8.2
11 Arkansas State42250%70.062.2+7.8
12 Texas State42250%64.565.8-1.2
13 Georgia Southern52340%63.667.6-4.0
14 South Alabama41325%71.567.0+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana323062
Troy264773
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