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Morehead State vs Chattanooga Mocs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 87-80
40-36 47-44
Position#34
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#103
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chattanooga Mocs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#20
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
94-53
94
53
+41
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A30/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-30
0-0
27-39
0-0
32-38
0-0
35-55
0-0
38-50
0-0
49-20
0-0
47-20
0-0
29-42
0-0
28-45
0-0
38-30
0-0
36-36
0-0
26-37
0-0
25-37
0-0
22-20
0-0
42-31
0-0
36-33
0-0
58-20
0-0
27-27
0-0
34-23
136.4Avg total
69.7Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.265.8137.0+5.562%
Season at home (3)88.053.0141.0+35.0100%
Season away (5)61.273.4134.6-12.240%
Last 10 (10)69.766.7136.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)68.858.8127.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (15)68.569.7138.3-1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)71.659.3130.9+12.385%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A05/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Covenant
#600
W
89-44
89
44
+45
H07/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
77-85 OT
77
85
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
43-45
35-34
39-28
33-38
46-50
42-20
47-24
33-27
48-44
35-32
37-32
29-34
39-29
40-36
30-34
35-25
37-31
27-41
41-41
146.2Avg total
76.5Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.366.4141.7+8.971%
Season at home (5)75.662.4138.0+13.280%
Season away (2)74.576.5151.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.569.7146.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)71.470.0141.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.781.3150.0-12.70%
vs Similar (13)75.275.3150.5-0.138%
vs Weaker (13)75.069.2144.2+5.869%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +4.9+4.9
Morehead StateChattanooga Mocs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A30/11
NCAA
65.8Avg total
32.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.564.8+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.528.164.6+8.486%-
Last 30 away (16)32.432.665.0-0.156%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.765.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)29.829.459.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (15)34.332.366.7+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.127.462.5+7.785%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Covenant
#600
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H07/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A29/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
35.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.169.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.433.671.0+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)34.932.667.5+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)35.132.467.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.666.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.740.073.7-6.30%-
vs Similar (13)35.836.472.2-0.646%-
vs Weaker (13)36.629.265.8+7.485%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
0
Chattanooga Mocs wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AAustin Peay61-50
22/11/23HMidway94-53
20/11/23ABellarmine64-51
18/11/23APenn State51-74
15/11/23HMercer74-66
11/11/23APurdue57-87
09/11/23HShawnee State96-40
07/11/23AAlabama73-105
19/03/23AUAB59-77
15/03/23AClemson68-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23ALipscomb68-82
26/11/23HSoutheast Missouri State72-56
24/11/23HEvansville77-85 OT
19/11/23HTennessee Tech68-63
15/11/23HBellarmine72-64
11/11/23ALouisville81-71
07/11/23HCovenant89-44
07/03/23AFurman79-88
05/03/23AWofford74-62
04/03/23ASamford85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game71.288.061.2
Allowed / game65.853.073.4
Point differential+5.5+35.0-12.2
Avg total137.0141.0134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game75.375.674.5
Allowed / game66.462.476.5
Point differential+8.9+13.2-2.0
Avg total141.7138.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State96367%76.770.3+6.3
2 Morehead State85362%71.265.8+5.5
3 UT Martin95456%84.483.3+1.1
4 Siu Edwardsville95456%69.769.0+0.7
5 UALR84450%81.680.4+1.2
6 Eastern Illinois94544%71.262.8+8.4
7 Lindenwood83538%64.974.1-9.2
8 Western Illinois93633%70.071.7-1.7
9 Tennessee Tech82625%67.477.8-10.4
10 Southern Indiana92722%67.169.0-1.9
11 Southeast Missouri State71614%60.680.3-19.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Greensboro76186%78.968.3+10.6
2 Western Carolina76186%78.067.7+10.3
3 Samford86275%82.872.9+9.9
4 Chattanooga Mocs75271%75.366.4+8.9
5 Citadel95456%69.364.9+4.4
6 Furman84450%82.278.8+3.5
7 East Tennessee St84450%67.569.8-2.2
8 Wofford83538%77.882.0-4.2
9 Mercer72529%65.473.6-8.1
10 VMI92722%72.072.4-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State404787
Chattanooga Mocs364480
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