PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Morehead State vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-56
32-33 34-23
Position#33
Record13-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game62.4
vs
Position#180
Record8-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Morehead State v Murray State
12 Feb 2022
MORE53
MURR57
04 Feb 2021
MORE66
MURR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A02/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A15/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A16/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H22/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
76-44
76
44
+32
H23/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-32
32-34
36-29
25-27
25-28
32-26
29-26
27-29
41-23
46-38
31-31
33-19
34-29
42-36
32-22
44-22
35-32
50-34
39-32
35-23
125.9Avg total
68.7Scored
57.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.162.4129.5+4.768%
Season at home (10)69.660.2129.8+9.480%
Season away (9)64.364.8129.1-0.456%
Last 10 (10)68.757.2125.9+11.590%
Last 5 (5)75.056.0131.0+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)61.671.8133.4-10.220%
vs Similar (14)66.868.6135.4-1.950%
vs Weaker (11)72.060.3132.3+11.782%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#175
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A22/12
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
79-57
79
57
+22
A16/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
31-41
25-26
30-42
29-36
27-25
38-33
30-41
32-27
47-30
36-38
46-47
33-26
39-37
31-22
42-31
37-32
34-40
36-24
41-36
137.0Avg total
70.3Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.567.6146.1+10.950%
Season at home (9)86.766.7153.3+20.067%
Season away (7)68.068.7136.7-0.729%
Last 10 (10)70.366.7137.0+3.640%
Last 5 (5)75.066.6141.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)72.071.1143.1+0.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)77.264.3141.5+13.071%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
Morehead StateMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A02/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A15/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A16/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H22/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A30/01
NCAA
60.5Avg total
32.1Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.264.4-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.531.665.1+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)30.932.863.7-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)32.128.460.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.263.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.236.666.8-6.420%-
vs Similar (14)31.032.263.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)34.530.264.7+4.464%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#175
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A22/12
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A31/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H02/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A16/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A02/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
33.6Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.929.865.7+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.430.268.5+8.276%-
Last 30 away (13)32.729.462.1+3.354%-
Last 10 (10)33.629.763.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.463.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.632.665.1+0.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.328.766.0+8.781%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Morehead State wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
02/01/21Murray State v Morehead State56-61
15/02/20Murray State v Morehead State85-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21ATennessee Tech74-55
29/01/21AJacksonville State85-66
23/01/21HUT Martin76-44
22/01/21HSoutheast Missouri State76-65
16/01/21ASoutheast Missouri State64-50
15/01/21AEastern Illinois87-61
09/01/21HJacksonville State56-55
08/01/21HTennessee Tech57-54
02/01/21AMurray State61-56
21/12/20AClemson51-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21ASoutheast Missouri State77-60
31/01/21HBelmont71-72
29/01/21HTennessee State73-53
24/01/21HTennessee Tech72-63
22/01/21HJacksonville State82-85
16/01/21AUT Martin79-57
08/01/21AEastern Illinois68-74
02/01/21HMorehead State56-61
31/12/20ABelmont55-68
22/12/20AAustin Peay70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game67.169.664.3
Allowed / game62.460.264.8
Point differential+4.7+9.4-0.4
Avg total129.5129.8129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%67%29%
Points / game78.586.768.0
Allowed / game67.666.768.7
Point differential+10.9+20.0-0.7
Avg total146.1153.3136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State1913668%67.162.4+4.7
2 UALR168850%71.269.9+1.3
3 Siu Edwardsville157847%67.971.5-3.6
4 Southeast Missouri State1761135%68.170.4-2.3
5 UT Martin1551033%65.877.9-12.1
6 Eastern Illinois1961332%68.274.3-6.1
7 Western Illinois1531220%72.079.1-7.1
8 Tennessee State1631319%65.769.9-4.2
9 Tennessee Tech1821611%63.977.3-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake17170100%82.961.7+21.2
2 Belmont2019195%82.269.0+13.2
3 Illinois (Chi.)159660%70.970.5+0.5
4 Indiana State1710759%67.867.9-0.1
5 Southern Illinois148657%70.469.6+0.7
6 Murray State168850%78.567.6+10.9
7 Evansville168850%64.667.2-2.6
8 Bradley1991047%70.764.4+6.3
9 Valparaiso1761135%66.970.0-3.1
10 Northern Iowa1651131%70.272.6-2.4
11 Illinois State1751229%73.577.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State323466
Murray State332356
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.