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Belmont vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-55
26-25 42-30
Position#9
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game68.4
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Murray State
USA
Position#180
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Belmont v Murray State
31 Jan 2026
BELM103
MURR86
02 Mar 2025
BELM70
MURR60
07 Feb 2024
BELM69
MURR64
17 Jan 2023
BELM80
MURR65
15 Jan 2022
BELM60
MURR82
30 Dec 2020
BELM68
MURR55
07 Mar 2020
BELM76
MURR75
06 Feb 2020
BELM71
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#47
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Howard
#336
W
95-78
95
78
+17
A26/11
NCAA
George Mason
#128
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#288
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A28/11
NCAA
Samford
#298
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#134
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A13/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#330
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
43-43
48-27
47-51
41-40
36-27
37-29
36-32
39-52
44-44
33-26
46-38
47-38
34-33
34-20
30-33
34-27
54-36
36-27
36-36
147.9Avg total
78.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.168.4147.6+10.789%
Season at home (4)75.870.0145.8+5.875%
Season away (5)81.867.2149.0+14.6100%
Last 10 (10)78.869.1147.9+9.790%
Last 5 (5)76.862.8139.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.274.6148.8-0.460%
vs Weaker (25)79.666.6146.2+13.092%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#60
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
173-95
173
95
+78
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H05/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H09/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A12/12
NCAA
Transylvania
#428
W
90-49
90
49
+41
H16/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
39-28
36-29
37-32
32-33
43-43
87-41
86-54
30-34
31-44
44-31
32-34
41-18
46-39
32-40
34-30
38-29
52-20
39-33
31-41
153.2Avg total
84.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.069.7158.7+19.357%
Season at home (4)106.566.5173.0+40.0100%
Season away (3)65.774.0139.7-8.30%
Last 10 (10)84.668.6153.2+16.060%
Last 5 (5)77.863.0140.8+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.369.2142.5+4.250%
vs Weaker (23)80.466.2146.7+14.278%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +6.6+6.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +6.6+6.6
BelmontMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#47
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Howard
#336
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A26/11
NCAA
George Mason
#128
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#288
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A28/11
NCAA
Samford
#298
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#134
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#330
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A22/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
38.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.030.668.6+7.497%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.530.967.4+5.593%-
Last 30 away (15)39.530.369.7+9.2100%-
Last 10 (10)38.231.870.0+6.490%-
Last 5 (5)36.827.664.4+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.031.466.4+3.6100%-
vs Weaker (25)38.630.469.0+8.196%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
87-41
87
41
+46
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H09/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/12
NCAA
Transylvania
#428
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H16/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A22/12
NCAA
73.6Avg total
41.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.030.568.5+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.629.571.1+12.188%-
Last 30 away (14)34.031.665.6+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.532.173.6+9.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.830.269.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.532.865.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (23)39.230.069.2+9.283%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Belmont wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
08/03/20Belmont v Murray State76-75
07/02/20Belmont v Murray State71-64
24/01/20Murray State v Belmont85-75
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/20AEvansville72-63
19/12/20ATennessee State88-63
17/12/20HKennesaw State64-53
13/12/20ALipscomb81-71
09/12/20HTennessee State79-64
05/12/20HSamford83-96
28/11/20AQueens Royals73-61
27/11/20HGeorge Mason77-67
26/11/20AHoward95-78
08/03/20HMurray State76-75
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/20AAustin Peay70-74
16/12/20HTransylvania90-49
12/12/20ASouthern Illinois66-70
09/12/20HAustin Peay87-57
05/12/20HIllinois State76-65
03/12/20AMiddle Tenn. St.61-78
29/11/20HGreenville173-95
08/03/20ABelmont75-76
07/03/20HAustin Peay73-61
01/03/20HAustin Peay75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%75%100%
Points / game79.175.881.8
Allowed / game68.470.067.2
Point differential+10.7+5.8+14.6
Avg total147.6145.8149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%75%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game89.0106.565.7
Allowed / game69.766.574.0
Point differential+19.3+40.0-8.3
Avg total158.7173.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake11110100%84.760.8+23.9
2 Belmont98189%79.168.4+10.7
3 Southern Illinois87188%77.166.8+10.4
4 Illinois (Chi.)75271%71.667.6+4.0
5 Bradley96367%74.959.3+15.6
6 Murray State74357%89.069.7+19.3
7 Indiana State73443%67.971.6-3.7
8 Valparaiso83538%71.567.5+4.0
9 Illinois State83538%82.983.8-0.9
10 Evansville83538%66.271.4-5.1
11 Northern Iowa72529%76.075.1+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont264268
Murray State253055
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