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Mornar Bar vs Frankfurt Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-87
26-25 16-21 15-18 26-23
Position#22
Record2-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Position#16
Record5-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankfurt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H28/10
ABA League
Rytas
#11
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A08/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
23-19
21-19
19-17
23-26
26-23
8-22
12-21
10-28
26-14
13-21
24-21
12-23
21-27
14-22
26-18
25-32
18-30
23-20
29-17
20-21
25-19
20-20
21-23
16-23
16-27
27-25
12-29
15-31
26-31
13-26
22-23
23-27
19-27
27-19
28-30
23-14
18-15
23-24
20-29
173.6Avg total
80.4Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.893.4171.1-15.625%
Season at home (4)78.592.0170.5-13.525%
Season away (4)77.094.8171.8-17.825%
Last 10 (10)80.493.2173.6-12.820%
Last 5 (5)82.896.6179.4-13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.594.9175.4-14.527%
vs Similar (12)81.982.2164.2-0.350%
vs Weaker (6)89.270.3159.5+18.8100%
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A27/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A31/10
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H04/11
BBL
Torino
#24
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A06/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#12
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H11/11
BBL
Unicaja
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H14/11
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A17/11
BBL
Rytas
#11
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H21/11
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H24/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A07/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
8-21
23-23
24-29
18-22
23-25
14-19
25-17
19-19
26-11
16-24
22-25
24-21
25-15
23-19
13-20
24-22
14-28
26-18
17-23
25-16
8-28
25-19
20-21
20-21
26-30
18-21
26-19
13-16
13-19
21-12
18-16
21-16
28-14
12-16
21-31
18-24
21-25
10-12
25-26
160.8Avg total
78.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.577.1155.6+1.462%
Season at home (4)82.276.8159.0+5.575%
Season away (4)74.877.5152.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)78.782.1160.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)77.880.4158.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.582.5156.0-9.038%
vs Similar (11)78.978.3157.2+0.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)89.572.0161.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
Mornar BarFrankfurt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
ABA League
Rytas
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/12
ABA League
88.8Avg total
40.2Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.843.986.6-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.343.482.7-4.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.248.688.8-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.087.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.050.092.0-8.027%-
vs Similar (12)39.041.880.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (6)42.335.077.3+7.383%-
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A27/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A31/10
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/11
BBL
Torino
#24
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A06/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/11
BBL
Unicaja
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/11
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A17/11
BBL
Rytas
#11
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H21/11
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H24/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/12
BBL
79.9Avg total
38.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.677.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.078.1+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.977.8-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.179.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.880.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.141.576.6-6.431%-
vs Similar (11)40.537.277.7+3.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.9
50.8%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
74.9%13.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frankfurttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frankfurt: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.4
54.5%
51.9%34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.6
38.9%
36.6%31.7
🏀 Free throws12.49.4
75.9%
74.9%9.4
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WLLLWLLLLL
Frankfurt
LWWLLLWWLL
#22
League position
#16
-16.8
Net rating
+1.0
104.2
Offensive rating
111.5
121.0
Defensive rating
110.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
56.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.1%
3-point %
38.9%
56.5%
Assist %
59.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 111.5Defence121.0 · 110.4Shooting50.3% · 56.3%3-point %33.1% · 38.9%Ball care16.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 24.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Frankfurt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
1
Frankfurt wins
DateGameScore
24/10/18Frankfurt v Mornar Bar98-75
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/18AFMP Beograd84-82
26/11/18HIgokea97-103
21/11/18AUnicaja76-111
17/11/18ACrvena zvezda71-104
14/11/18HTorino86-83
11/11/18HBuducnost95-99
07/11/18AUnics Kazan73-90
04/11/18ACibona73-84
31/10/18HRytas69-92
28/10/18HMega Bemax80-84
Frankfurtlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/18AAlba Berlin74-87
24/11/18HBasketball Braunschweig82-77
21/11/18HRytas65-63
17/11/18AGiessen90-91
14/11/18HUnicaja78-84
11/11/18HBayreuth81-91
06/11/18ATorino85-75
04/11/18HBonn83-79
31/10/18AUnics Kazan80-83
27/10/18AOldenburg69-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game77.878.577.0
Allowed / game93.492.094.8
Point differential-15.6-13.5-17.8
Avg total171.1170.5171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankfurt
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game78.582.274.8
Allowed / game77.176.877.5
Point differential+1.4+5.5-2.8
Avg total155.6159.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan98189%87.177.4+9.7
2 Lokomotiv Kuban98189%85.676.0+9.6
3 Unicaja97278%91.181.1+10.0
4 Valencia97278%83.475.1+8.3
5 Alba Berlin97278%90.683.6+7.0
6 Monaco86275%80.074.9+5.1
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne96367%78.673.1+5.4
8 Frankfurt85362%78.577.1+1.4
9 Cedevita95456%84.681.7+2.9
10 MoraBanc Andorra95456%87.084.9+2.1
11 Crvena zvezda84450%77.877.2+0.5
12 Zenit Petersburg94544%86.284.7+1.6
13 Rytas94544%79.279.9-0.7
14 Ulm94544%83.684.6-1.0
15 Turk Telekom94544%77.181.3-4.2
16 Brescia83538%79.180.2-1.1
17 Galatasaray83538%78.984.6-5.8
18 Partizan93633%74.377.7-3.3
19 Tofas93633%90.393.9-3.6
20 Limoges93633%79.484.3-4.9
21 Trento93633%75.082.8-7.8
22 Mornar Bar82625%77.893.4-15.6
23 Gdynia91811%74.285.2-11.0
24 Torino9090%83.689.9-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2616152683
Frankfurt2521182387
← all games of the day
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