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FMP Beograd vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-84
14-23 15-18 24-23 29-20
Position#6
Record4-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game90.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10
Domestic2018
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar
04 Apr 2025
FBE87
MBA72
06 Apr 2024
FBE111
MBA94
15 Apr 2023
FBE101
MBA76
17 Oct 2021
FBE83
MBA81
05 Apr 2021
FBE94
MBA92
08 Dec 2018
FBE82
MBA84
05 Jan 2018
FBE79
MBA84
15 Jan 2017
FBE92
MBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A11/06
Super League
Zadar
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A06/10
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
H13/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A22/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A02/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H12/11
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A24/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
21-35
19-21
22-20
17-22
26-24
30-22
26-18
15-17
20-23
16-26
10-23
24-22
20-19
18-10
17-28
12-22
16-26
15-9
16-22
12-25
20-20
17-15
23-21
18-21
26-14
14-27
27-12
33-20
26-18
18-24
16-3
16-25
19-22
19-26
27-22
21-16
12-17
22-22
31-33
165.9Avg total
81.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.082.8163.8-1.844%
Season at home (5)87.683.0170.6+4.660%
Season away (4)72.882.5155.2-9.825%
Last 10 (10)81.784.2165.9-2.540%
Last 5 (5)83.480.6164.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.784.4157.1-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.981.2162.1-0.250%
vs Weaker (11)92.571.5164.0+21.1100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A24/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H28/10
ABA League
Rytas
#11
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H26/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-36
20-27
17-17
19-18
17-29
23-19
21-19
19-17
23-26
26-23
8-22
12-21
10-28
26-14
13-21
24-21
12-23
21-27
14-22
26-18
25-32
18-30
23-20
29-17
20-21
25-19
20-20
21-23
16-23
16-27
27-25
12-29
15-31
26-31
13-26
22-23
23-27
19-27
27-19
28-30
174.3Avg total
79.5Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.190.9174.0-7.822%
Season at home (4)92.295.0187.2-2.825%
Season away (5)75.887.6163.4-11.820%
Last 10 (10)79.594.8174.3-15.310%
Last 5 (5)85.0100.0185.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.594.9175.4-14.527%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.782.3164.0-0.545%
vs Weaker (7)87.771.9159.6+15.986%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -9.6-9.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
FMP BeogradMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A11/06
Super League
Zadar
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/10
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H12/11
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A24/11
ABA League
82.9Avg total
40.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.081.6+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.581.5+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.481.7+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.982.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.744.780.4-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.838.879.6+1.950%-
vs Weaker (11)49.035.584.5+13.591%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A24/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
ABA League
Rytas
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/11
ABA League
92.0Avg total
40.0Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.185.0-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.743.886.5-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.244.383.5-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.052.092.0-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)40.653.694.2-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.050.092.0-8.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.842.981.7-4.127%-
vs Weaker (7)42.136.178.3+6.071%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.8
53.8%
51.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.17.7
27.4%
33.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws25.218.4
73.0%
72.5%18.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.2
49.6%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.7%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.3
73.7%
72.5%14.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWWLLWLWL
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#10
-6.9
Net rating
-20.3
100.6
Offensive rating
103.7
107.5
Defensive rating
124.0
48.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.4%
3-point %
33.7%
65.1%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 103.7Defence107.5 · 124.0Shooting48.0% · 50.0%3-point %27.4% · 33.7%Ball care19.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
FMP Beograd wins
2
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
05/01/18FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar79-84
14/10/17Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd73-81
15/01/17FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar92-85
14/10/16Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd82-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/18APetrol Olimpija86-88
17/11/18HCedevita81-95
12/11/18HKK Krka Novo mesto93-65
02/11/18AIgokea85-74
27/10/18HCrvena zvezda72-81
22/10/18ABuducnost59-79
13/10/18HCibona93-88 OT
06/10/18AMega Bemax61-89
01/10/18HZadar99-86
11/06/18ACrvena zvezda88-97
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/18HIgokea97-103
21/11/18AUnicaja76-111
17/11/18ACrvena zvezda71-104
14/11/18HTorino86-83
11/11/18HBuducnost95-99
07/11/18AUnics Kazan73-90
04/11/18ACibona73-84
31/10/18HRytas69-92
28/10/18HMega Bemax80-84
24/10/18AFrankfurt75-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game81.087.672.8
Allowed / game82.883.082.5
Point differential-1.8+4.6-9.8
Avg total163.8170.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game83.192.275.8
Allowed / game90.995.087.6
Point differential-7.8-2.8-11.8
Avg total174.0187.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda990100%86.770.3+16.3
2 Buducnost97278%80.872.8+8.0
3 Mega Bemax97278%82.078.4+3.6
4 Cedevita106460%87.681.5+6.1
5 Partizan105550%83.081.2+1.8
6 FMP Beograd94544%81.082.8-1.8
7 Igokea104640%86.590.2-3.7
8 Zadar93633%83.886.6-2.8
9 Cibona93633%77.283.1-5.9
10 KK Krka Novo mesto93633%73.683.7-10.1
11 Petrol Olimpija103730%81.685.4-3.8
12 Mornar Bar92722%83.190.9-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1415242982
Mornar Bar2318232084
← all games of the day
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