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Crvena zvezda vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 104-71
23-16 27-16 25-27 29-12
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 8
Domestic2018
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2024
CZV91
MBA72
20 Nov 2023
CZV95
MBA75
10 Dec 2022
CZV93
MBA77
30 Jan 2022
CZV81
MBA74
18 Oct 2020
CZV93
MBA62
17 Nov 2018
CZV104
MBA71
02 Apr 2018
CZV88
MBA69
18 Mar 2018
CZV91
MBA63
01 Oct 2017
CZV88
MBA77
30 Jan 2017
CZV82
MBA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A07/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H14/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
17-15
20-19
14-15
16-17
28-16
16-25
25-21
25-23
27-21
23-11
21-20
31-15
7-24
12-17
11-13
25-12
20-20
15-17
21-23
26-13
18-13
25-21
18-10
22-14
28-20
22-18
22-27
17-21
16-29
24-23
23-22
22-23
21-13
22-13
18-11
29-29
16-15
17-32
13-15
156.5Avg total
82.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.670.1155.7+15.4100%
Season at home (4)87.072.0159.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)83.767.7151.3+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.274.3156.5+7.970%
Last 5 (5)83.876.4160.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.376.6156.9+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.172.6158.7+13.591%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H14/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H17/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A21/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A24/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H28/10
ABA League
Rytas
#11
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H14/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
25-22
22-23
25-35
23-27
14-20
24-20
24-29
18-27
29-16
20-18
26-22
19-36
20-27
17-17
19-18
17-29
23-19
21-19
19-17
23-26
26-23
8-22
12-21
10-28
26-14
13-21
24-21
12-23
21-27
14-22
26-18
25-32
18-30
23-20
29-17
20-21
25-19
20-20
21-23
172.9Avg total
82.6Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.987.3170.1-4.429%
Season at home (3)90.792.3183.0-1.733%
Season away (4)77.083.5160.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)82.690.3172.9-7.730%
Last 5 (5)79.289.6168.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.092.1174.1-10.133%
vs Similar (11)80.580.6161.1-0.245%
vs Weaker (9)88.272.4160.7+15.889%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
Crvena zvezdaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/11
Eurocup
81.0Avg total
44.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.136.681.6+8.587%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.637.282.8+8.493%-
Last 30 away (15)44.535.980.5+8.680%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.081.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.081.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.337.977.1+1.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.135.983.0+11.295%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H17/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A24/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
ABA League
Rytas
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Eurocup
89.9Avg total
41.9Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.084.2-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.285.5-0.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.982.9-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)41.948.089.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.248.689.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.248.791.9-5.433%-
vs Similar (11)38.442.180.5-3.727%-
vs Weaker (9)42.338.180.4+4.256%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.2
58.0%
51.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.7
36.1%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
72.5%14.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.2
52.4%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
33.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
72.5%16.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWLWWWLWWW
Mornar Bar
WLLLLLLWLW
#1
League position
#10
+11.0
Net rating
-9.6
108.3
Offensive rating
108.0
97.3
Defensive rating
117.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.1%
3-point %
36.8%
70.6%
Assist %
50.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 108.0Defence97.3 · 117.6Shooting56.5% · 53.7%3-point %36.1% · 36.8%Ball care20.6% · 20.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/18HMonaco75-91
10/11/18APetrol Olimpija83-60
07/11/18AUlm80-95
03/11/18HCedevita94-79
30/10/18HGalatasaray87-57
27/10/18AFMP Beograd81-72
24/10/18ABrescia61-69
20/10/18HIgokea96-75
16/10/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
13/10/18HKK Krka Novo mesto80-66
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/18HTorino86-83
11/11/18HBuducnost95-99
07/11/18AUnics Kazan73-90
04/11/18ACibona73-84
31/10/18HRytas69-92
28/10/18HMega Bemax80-84
24/10/18AFrankfurt75-98
21/10/18AZadar93-83
17/10/18HUnicaja85-96
14/10/18HPartizan97-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.687.083.7
Allowed / game70.172.067.7
Point differential+15.4+15.0+16.0
Avg total155.7159.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game82.990.777.0
Allowed / game87.392.383.5
Point differential-4.4-1.7-6.5
Avg total170.1183.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda770100%85.670.1+15.4
2 Mega Bemax76186%83.977.7+6.1
3 Buducnost75271%80.473.6+6.9
4 Partizan74357%84.482.3+2.1
5 Cedevita84450%84.682.2+2.4
6 FMP Beograd84450%80.482.1-1.8
7 Cibona73443%78.481.3-2.9
8 Igokea83538%84.888.5-3.8
9 Mornar Bar72529%82.987.3-4.4
10 Zadar72529%84.089.1-5.1
11 KK Krka Novo mesto72529%72.182.9-10.7
12 Petrol Olimpija82625%80.884.1-3.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda23272529104
Mornar Bar1616271271
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