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FMP Beograd vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-81
20-27 21-14 19-21 23-19
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game88.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4
Domestic2021
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar
04 Apr 2025
FBE87
MBA72
06 Apr 2024
FBE111
MBA94
15 Apr 2023
FBE101
MBA76
17 Oct 2021
FBE83
MBA81
05 Apr 2021
FBE94
MBA92
08 Dec 2018
FBE82
MBA84
05 Jan 2018
FBE79
MBA84
15 Jan 2017
FBE92
MBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
A30/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
89avg 74
H05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 74
A08/04
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 74
A11/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 74
H26/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H27/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A29/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 74
A26/09
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 74
H01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
no box
A11/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
20-15
23-18
23-21
31-24
29-21
10-27
24-20
13-21
14-28
26-26
21-22
32-27
16-11
18-20
18-18
26-30
19-18
21-20
25-17
20-27
18-20
12-15
17-15
17-20
26-20
20-26
22-26
20-26
17-20
22-18
13-18
29-23
17-15
21-22
22-21
18-18
16-23
20-22
23-14
167.8Avg total
82.4Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.384.0168.3+0.367%
Season at home (1)89.081.0170.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)82.085.5167.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)82.485.4167.8-3.050%
Last 5 (5)81.084.2165.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.191.0173.1-8.925%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.884.5170.2+1.258%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
W
95-88
95
88
+7
no box
H06/06
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
no box
A10/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H12/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
no box
A14/06
Prva A Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
L
89-104
89
104
-15
83avg 72
H15/09
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
61avg 72
H24/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 72
A02/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 72
H09/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
24-22
28-29
19-22
21-21
18-22
22-21
20-10
18-22
18-31
16-29
25-15
16-20
23-20
17-15
17-25
20-21
12-20
19-30
19-23
17-19
21-33
25-33
26-19
16-28
16-23
27-16
18-20
28-25
10-20
16-21
26-23
22-23
15-22
18-15
30-30
11-23
13-14
21-15
23-23
167.3Avg total
79.5Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.788.7169.3-8.00%
Season at home (2)81.088.5169.5-7.50%
Season away (1)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)79.587.8167.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)79.889.0168.8-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.585.8165.4-6.327%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker (7)73.765.4139.1+8.371%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
FMP BeogradMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A30/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A08/04
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H26/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H27/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A29/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/09
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/10
ABA League
84.4Avg total
40.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.746.187.8-4.428%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.946.189.0-3.133%-
Last 30 away (14)40.446.186.6-5.721%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.684.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.482.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.848.590.3-6.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.443.686.0-1.242%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/06
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A10/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A14/06
Prva A Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H15/09
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H24/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H09/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
80.7Avg total
36.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.644.886.3-3.234%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.844.588.3-0.743%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.084.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.344.480.7-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)33.846.079.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.043.882.8-4.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.446.289.6-2.830%-
vs Weaker (6)45.245.290.3+0.050%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.6
52.8%
52.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
73.4%16.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.419.3
61.5%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.0
38.0%
34.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
73.4%15.9
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLLWWLWL
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLWW
#6
League position
#11
-4.6
Net rating
-7.0
107.6
Offensive rating
118.0
112.2
Defensive rating
125.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
59.4%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
60.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.0%
3-point %
38.0%
59.4%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 118.0Defence112.2 · 125.0Shooting52.7% · 59.4%3-point %35.0% · 38.0%Ball care17.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds27.3% · 22.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FMP Beograd wins
5
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/21ACedevita Olimpija92-89 OT
01/10/21HIgokea89-81
26/09/21ABuducnost72-82
29/05/21ABorac Mozzart85-92
27/05/21HBorac Mozzart67-77
26/04/21HKK Krka Novo mesto91-85
11/04/21AMega Soccerbet84-76
08/04/21APartizan74-97
05/04/21HMornar Bar94-92
30/03/21ABorac Mozzart76-83
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/21ABahcesehir Kol.68-75
09/10/21HBorac Mozzart85-90
02/10/21AKK Krka Novo mesto80-89
24/09/21HCibona77-87
15/09/21HBC Kalev/Cramo89-104
14/06/21ABuducnost70-94
12/06/21HBuducnost73-80
10/06/21ABuducnost77-97
08/06/21AStudentski Centar81-74
06/06/21HStudentski Centar95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.389.082.0
Allowed / game84.081.085.5
Point differential+0.3+8.0-3.5
Avg total168.3170.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2021
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.781.080.0
Allowed / game88.788.589.0
Point differential-8.0-7.5-9.0
Avg total169.3169.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan440100%76.262.5+13.8
2 Buducnost43175%75.269.2+6.0
3 Cibona43175%76.276.8-0.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija32167%87.374.7+12.7
5 Crvena zvezda32167%78.766.3+12.3
6 FMP Beograd32167%84.384.0+0.3
7 Mega Basket42250%81.577.2+4.2
8 Borac Mozzart42250%83.882.2+1.5
9 KK Krka Novo mesto42250%74.276.8-2.5
10 Igokea42250%78.881.8-3.0
11 Studentski Centar42250%80.088.0-8.0
12 Mornar Bar3030%80.788.7-8.0
13 Zadar4040%71.080.0-9.0
14 Split4040%70.085.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2021192383
Mornar Bar2714211981
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