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Mornar Bar vs Primorje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-87
20-23 28-29 23-15 28-20
Position#4
Record18-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#3
Record19-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game83.7
MontenegroPrva A LigaPrva A Liga - Quarter-finals· Topolica Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Primorje
11 Apr 2026
MBA99
PRIM87
11 Feb 2026
MBA94
PRIM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Primorje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
71-113
71
113
-42
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
101-89
101
89
+12
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
117-109 OT
117
109
+8
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
26-22
27-31
24-17
25-24
23-19
32-21
14-20
25-23
14-31
18-25
25-17
11-29
16-29
17-22
27-33
33-14
17-28
30-23
21-24
21-19
19-23
26-21
25-20
20-18
8-23
19-23
19-26
28-17
21-19
17-16
24-27
25-18
14-33
25-24
23-26
23-26
26-18
29-29
24-29
183.2Avg total
90.1Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.283.5170.7+3.769%
Season at home (13)90.481.6172.0+8.885%
Season away (13)83.985.4169.3-1.554%
Last 10 (10)90.193.1183.2-3.060%
Last 5 (5)90.292.4182.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.590.6167.1-14.120%
vs Similar (9)91.283.7174.9+7.678%
vs Weaker (11)85.183.6168.7+1.564%
This opponent (Primorje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrimorjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/02
Prva A Liga
Student Igokea
#12
W
96-93
96
93
+3
A03/03
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
A08/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
106-111
106
111
-5
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
111-85
111
85
+26
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
21-19
26-30
15-21
24-25
19-23
21-32
20-14
19-19
22-23
32-21
14-13
23-32
17-17
27-16
29-28
29-12
29-19
16-16
17-25
27-34
29-25
20-21
30-31
20-18
23-32
14-18
27-22
28-23
23-20
35-24
25-18
27-18
19-21
22-25
24-28
15-23
21-28
12-21
17-19
181.3Avg total
91.6Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.683.7175.3+7.873%
Season at home (13)93.582.9176.4+10.585%
Season away (13)89.784.5174.2+5.262%
Last 10 (10)91.689.7181.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)94.696.2190.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.689.1165.7-12.60%
vs Similar (2)96.084.5180.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.182.6172.7+7.576%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
Mornar BarPrimorje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H04/04
Prva A Liga
87.0Avg total
42.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.583.7+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.340.685.9+4.771%-
Last 30 away (16)39.542.481.9-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.883.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.143.281.3-5.130%-
vs Similar (9)45.941.687.4+4.367%-
vs Weaker (11)42.940.082.9+2.955%-
This opponent (Primorje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrimorjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/02
Prva A Liga
Student Igokea
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A03/03
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A08/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H04/04
Prva A Liga
90.0Avg total
45.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.885.1+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.685.9+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)43.441.084.4+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.844.290.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.494.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.445.986.3-5.429%-
vs Similar (2)46.541.087.5+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.439.184.5+6.371%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.6
57.3%
58.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.8
30.4%
31.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.917.0
65.6%
69.7%17.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Primorjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Primorje: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.924.2
59.2%
58.8%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.8
32.4%
31.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.616.9
66.0%
69.7%16.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WLWLWWLLWW
Primorje
LWWLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#3
-7.2
Net rating
+0.5
106.3
Offensive rating
112.5
113.5
Defensive rating
112.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
4.8%
Turnover %
3.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.4%
3-point %
32.4%
52.3%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 112.5Defence113.5 · 112.0Shooting52.3% · 54.9%3-point %30.4% · 32.4%Ball care4.8% · 3.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Primorje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
1
Primorje wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26Mornar Bar v Primorje94-84
16/11/25Primorje v Mornar Bar83-71
18/01/22Primorje v Mornar Bar66-98
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HPodgorica117-109 OT
28/03/26ASutjeska87-101
21/03/26HKotor90-79
16/03/26ALovcen Cetinje66-90
11/03/26ADanilovgrad91-83
08/03/26HJedinstvo101-89
05/03/26AZlatibor71-113
14/02/26ADecic82-96
11/02/26HPrimorje94-84
07/02/26AStudentski Centar102-87
Primorjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HVukovi Zeta65-91
29/03/26AIbar Rozaje107-104 OT
21/03/26HUlcinj111-85
15/03/26APodgorica84-90
11/03/26HSutjeska106-111
08/03/26AKotor91-72
03/03/26AStudent Igokea96-93
15/02/26HLovcen Cetinje87-76
11/02/26AMornar Bar84-94
08/02/26HJedinstvo85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%85%54%
Points / game87.290.483.9
Allowed / game83.581.685.4
Point differential+3.7+8.8-1.5
Avg total170.7172.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Primorje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL73%
HomeWWLWL85%
AwayLLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%85%62%
Points / game91.693.589.7
Allowed / game83.782.984.5
Point differential+7.8+10.5+5.2
Avg total175.3176.4174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2621581%98.081.2+16.9
2 Primorje2619773%91.683.7+7.8
3 Mornar Bar2618869%87.283.5+3.7
4 Lovcen Cetinje2617965%78.875.2+3.6
5 Jedinstvo26151158%87.085.5+1.5
6 Podgorica26141254%82.179.4+2.7
7 Kotor26121446%78.380.8-2.4
8 Studentski Centar26111542%81.582.7-1.3
9 Decic26111542%87.390.8-3.6
10 Vukovi Zeta26101638%83.085.2-2.2
11 Tivat26101638%89.493.7-4.3
12 Danilovgrad26101638%79.485.2-5.8
13 Ibar Rozaje2691735%78.384.5-6.2
14 Ulcinj2652119%78.488.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2028232899
Primorje2329152087
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