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Mornar Bar vs Vojvodina Novi Sad Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 80-81
Projected total 160.2
Scheduled
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.0
Mornar Bar
Vs
46%
54%
■ MBA 46%■ VOJV 54%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.1/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Vojvodina Novi Sad
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 3· Topolica Sport Hall
Other2026
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Vojvodina Novi Sad
18 Nov 2026
MBA v VOJV
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
MBA70
VOJV84
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Mornar Bar will host Vojvodina Novi Sad on 18 November 2026 in the ABA League 2, and the matchup feels razor-thin, with only a slight edge for Vojvodina. Mornar's overall record of 1-1, 74.0 points per game and 77.0 points allowed per game places them ninth, while Vojvodina sits at 2-0, 77.5 points per game and 69.0 points allowed per game in fifth place. In recent form Mornar went 2-3 over their last five games, dropping 71-81 to Sencur and 76-103 to Buducnost, but they also beat Borac Banja Luka 77-73. Vojvodina has been stronger, winning 4-1 in their last five, with a 101-69 triumph over Radnicki and a 76-62 win over Borac Banja Luka, though they fell 64-81 to Dynamic. Their head-to-head record shows Vojvodina winning the sole encounter, 84-70 on 27 January 2026. Pythia assigns a 54% chance to Vojvodina and 46% to Mornar, projecting a 80-81 scoreline and a 160.2 total. The model also estimates a 5% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by a single point, and Vojvodina's recent 101-69 win over Radnicki suggests they may keep the edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar win
46.3%fair 2.16
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vojvodina Novi Sad win
53.7%fair 1.86
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
66-90
66
90
-24
53avg 75
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 75
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
87-101
87
101
-14
73avg 75
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
117-109 OT
117
109
+8
111avg 75
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
99-87
99
87
+12
90avg 75
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
100-98
100
98
+2
94avg 75
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 75
A24/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
62avg 75
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Borac Banja Luka
#13
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 75
A21/10
ABA League 2
Sencur
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
60avg 75
A30/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
8-23
19-23
19-26
28-17
21-19
17-16
24-27
25-18
14-33
25-24
23-26
23-26
26-18
29-29
24-29
20-23
28-29
23-15
28-20
30-23
31-26
18-29
21-20
25-29
19-34
15-20
30-22
17-27
19-30
17-18
23-28
24-20
18-13
16-20
19-20
21-19
20-25
13-21
17-16
179.8Avg total
87.2Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.077.0151.0-3.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)74.077.0151.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)87.292.6179.8-5.450%
Last 5 (5)82.692.0174.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.992.8173.7-11.831%
vs Similar (7)92.087.1179.1+4.971%
vs Weaker (10)86.082.6168.6+3.480%
This opponent (Vojvodina Novi Sad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vojvodina Novi SadLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSad
Date
Competition
Hercegovac
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
69avg 77
A18/04
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
75-100
75
100
-25
62avg 77
H25/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
74avg 77
H04/10
First League
KK Metalac
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A11/10
First League
Sencur
#7
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 77
H14/10
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H18/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#16
W
74-54
74
54
+20
70avg 77
H23/10
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#13
W
76-62
76
62
+14
68avg 77
H29/10
ABA League 2
Dynamic
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A01/11
First League
Radnicki
#13
W
101-69
101
69
+32
no box
H06/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-24
19-19
26-21
26-27
17-31
14-19
18-23
21-24
20-20
26-15
12-18
25-13
19-18
19-24
18-18
23-21
19-16
14-23
23-16
22-22
27-20
17-19
24-21
18-17
16-15
26-7
14-15
14-10
20-17
22-14
20-21
15-14
15-18
19-28
15-21
25-20
23-14
31-22
22-13
155.8Avg total
79.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.569.0146.5+8.5100%
Season at home (2)77.569.0146.5+8.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.975.9155.8+4.070%
Last 5 (5)81.069.6150.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.886.4166.2-6.640%
vs Similar (11)82.583.8166.4-1.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.174.2157.3+8.986%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
55.5%
Under 157.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
43.5%
Under 162.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
32.2%
Under 167.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Mornar Bar total 79.5
Over 79.5
49.9%
Under 79.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar Bar total 83.5
Over 83.5
34.9%
Under 83.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar Bar total 87.5
Over 87.5
22.1%
Under 87.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vojvodina Novi Sad total 75.5
Over 75.5
68.8%
Under 75.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vojvodina Novi Sad total 79.5
Over 79.5
54.0%
Under 79.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vojvodina Novi Sad total 83.5
Over 83.5
38.7%
Under 83.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Mornar Bar -3
MBA -3
37.3%
VOJV +3
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
MBA
No market prices yet.
VOJV
No market prices yet.
Spread Mornar Bar 0
MBA 0
46.3%
VOJV 0
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
MBA
No market prices yet.
VOJV
No market prices yet.
Spread Mornar Bar +3
MBA +3
55.5%
VOJV -3
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
MBA
No market prices yet.
VOJV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Mornar BarVojvodina Novi Sad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A24/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Borac Banja Luka
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A21/10
ABA League 2
Sencur
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/10
ABA League 2
90.7Avg total
43.7Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.087.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.444.089.4+1.462%-
Last 30 away (17)42.144.086.1-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)43.747.090.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.849.294.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.647.188.7-5.531%-
vs Similar (7)47.043.190.1+3.971%-
vs Weaker (10)43.640.684.2+3.060%-
This opponent (Vojvodina Novi Sad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vojvodina Novi SadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hercegovac
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A18/04
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H25/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H04/10
First League
KK Metalac
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A11/10
First League
Sencur
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/10
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H18/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#16
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/10
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#13
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H29/10
ABA League 2
Dynamic
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/11
First League
Radnicki
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H06/11
First League
78.2Avg total
40.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.881.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.681.2+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.081.8+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.278.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.472.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
vs Similar (11)43.643.587.1+0.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.336.176.4+4.171%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.4
55.2%
52.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.2
33.3%
33.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.811.8
62.8%
70.8%11.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vojvodina Novi Sadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vojvodina Novi Sad: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.3
55.6%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.96.9
26.6%
33.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
70.8%15.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLLWWWLWL
Vojvodina Novi Sad
WLWWWWWWLL
#9
League position
#5
-6.6
Net rating
+0.7
106.4
Offensive rating
90.2
113.0
Defensive rating
89.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
3.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.3%
3-point %
26.6%
50.9%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 90.2Defence113.0 · 89.5Shooting52.9% · 49.3%3-point %33.3% · 26.6%Ball care3.3% · 16.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Vojvodina Novi Sad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
1
Vojvodina Novi Sad wins
DateGameScore
27/01/26Mornar Bar v Vojvodina Novi Sad70-84
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ASencur71-81
21/10/26ABorac Banja Luka77-73
28/04/26HBuducnost76-103
24/04/26ABuducnost89-105
18/04/26APrimorje100-98
11/04/26HPrimorje99-87
04/04/26HPodgorica117-109 OT
28/03/26ASutjeska87-101
21/03/26HKotor90-79
16/03/26ALovcen Cetinje66-90
Vojvodina Novi Sadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HRadnicki101-69
01/11/26ADynamic64-81
29/10/26HBorac Banja Luka76-62
23/10/26HBKK Radnicki74-54
18/10/26HCacak 9490-82
14/10/26HSencur79-76
11/10/26AKK Metalac81-73
04/10/26HMladost Zemun79-77
25/04/26HOKK Beograd75-100
18/04/26AHercegovac80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total151.0-151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Vojvodina Novi Sad
ABA League 2 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.577.5-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+8.5+8.5-
Avg total146.5146.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda220100%109.078.5+30.5
2 Hercegovac220100%91.573.0+18.5
3 Zlatibor220100%100.089.0+11.0
4 Sutjeska220100%86.077.5+8.5
5 Vojvodina Novi Sad220100%77.569.0+8.5
6 Primorje21150%94.591.0+3.5
7 Sencur21150%78.575.0+3.5
8 KK Triglav Kranj21150%79.081.5-2.5
9 Mornar Bar21150%74.077.0-3.0
10 Basket Zivinice21150%71.579.5-8.0
11 Sloboda Uzice1010%76.078.0-2.0
12 Cedevita Junior2020%70.577.0-6.5
13 Borac Banja Luka2020%67.576.5-9.0
14 MZT Skopje1010%75.085.0-10.0
15 Podgorica2020%80.094.0-14.0
16 TFT Skopje2020%71.5106.5-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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